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Breaking: Russian nationals land a boat on Alaska island

Village leaders on St. Lawrence Island in Alaska notified the U.S. Coast Guard on Tuesday that two foreign nationals had landed near the community of Gambell, on the far western side of the island. The men arrived in what was described as a small boat.

The village of Gambell, with a population 495, is located on the northwest cape of the island, some 36 miles from the Chukchi Peninsula in the Russian Far East, and Russia can be seen from cape. The island closer to Russia than it is to the Alaskan mainland.

The men are likely to be Russian men escaping their country during a time of war. Russia President Vladimir Putin has put out the orders for men under the age of 65 to report to the Russian military to take part in the invasion of Ukraine, and hundreds of thousands of Russian men are now leaving, as the Kremlin is trying to conscript 300,000 Russians as soldiers.

The U.S. Coast Guard released a statement saying the men are being detained in the village detention facility, but did not yet reveal the nationality of the men.

A spokesperson from Sen. Dan Sullivan’s office said the senator had been contacted by a senior community leader from St. Lawrence Island on Tuesday. Sen. Sullivan called the Secretary of the Department of Homeland Security and spoke to him and another senior DHS official.

“Since those calls, Customs and Border Protection is responding and going through the process to determine the admissibility of these individuals to enter the United States,” his office said.

International news agencies say that the Kremlin is opening military enlistment offices near Russia’s borders in an effort to intercept fleeing Russian men of fighting age. A draft office opened at the Ozinki checkpoint on Russia’s border with Kazakhstan, and another set to open in the Astrakhan region, also on the border with Kazakhstan. So far, news reports say that over 194,000 Russian citizens have fled by car, bicycle or on foot to neighboring Georgia, Kazakhstan, and Finland in an exodus that began the third week of September. More are fleeing to European countries that are loosening the visa restrictions so the men can find safety.

“The mass exodus comes at a time when Russian troops are already deeply demoralized and facing heavy losses on the battlefront in Ukraine. These losses have caused Russia’s advancements in Ukraine to come to a grinding halt, thus the Russian Minister of Defense has called upon 300,000 men to join the Russian Armed Forces,” according to the Warsaw Institute.

“The mobilization has wreaked havoc amongst many Russians. Large numbers of fighting aged men are now seeking to exit Russia swiftly to avoid being sent to the Ukrainian frontline. Neighboring states such as Kazakhstan, Georgia, Finland, and Armenia have seen a  drastic increase in Russian citizens attempting to cross the border. Following the mobilization order from the Kremlin, nearly 200,000 Russians have exited Russia. Georgia’s interior minister announced that nearly 53,000 Russians have crossed the Russo-Georgian border since September 21st, 2022. Additionally, the government of Kazakhstan has reported nearly 98,000 Russians have crossed the border since the announcement of the mobilization,” the Institute writes.

“The influx of Russian citizens has prompted various responses from neighboring governments. The President of Kazakhstan, Kassym‑Jomart Tokayev, said in a statement regarding the exodus of Russians that they, ‘are forced to leave because of the current hopeless situation. We must take care of them and ensure their safety.’ Kazakh law stipulates that Russian passport holders can remain in Kazakhstan visa-free for a period of 30 days, and any longer stays must be registered. However, other countries have been less welcoming of this new rush of Russian  passport holders. The government of Finland recently passed a resolution severely limiting the arrival of Russian passport holders arriving with Schengen tourist visas with limited exceptions. Many Baltic nations have also imposed strict regulations regarding the admittance of Russian passport holders into their countries. The Latvian foreign minister said humanitarian or other visa types would not be issued to Russian citizens seeking to avoid the recently announced military mobilization.”

For such reasons, it’s entirely possible that some men in Russia’s Far East are looking for a boat that will take them to America before the winter storms become a hazard.

This story will be updated.

Update: According to the governor’s office, the two Russians have been transported to Anchorage by a Coast Guard cargo plane, and they’re now in the custody of U.S. Customs and Border Patrol.

Must Read Alaska Show: Pollster Ivan Moore says Murkowski can’t win without her base of Democrat voters

On the Must Read Alaska Show on Wednesday, Alaska Survey Research pollster Ivan Moore talked with show host John Quick about all three of the statewide races and how voters are viewing the candidates.

He acknowledged the criticism of ranked choice voting, in that it threw Sen. Lisa Murkowski a lifeline. He admitted that she is the prime beneficiary of the open primary brought about by Ballot Measure 2 in 2020.

“She [Murkowski] would have had to go through a Republican primary and she would have had zero chance of winning that,” he said.

Moore said in he Senate race, Democrat candidate Pat Chesbro is likely to be eliminated second (after Republican Buzz Kelly is eliminated), and nearly all of her votes will go to Murkowski. A negligible number of Chesbro voters will pick Kelly Tshibaka second.

“The one thing we can say for certain right now as we approach the general [election] in November is that it will go to a Murkowski-Tshibaka final,” he said. And the particular poll he just completed, the result “was like 57-43 to Murkowski.”

Moore said he has polled the Senate race five times in the past year, and Murkowski has won every single time “and it’s ranged from the … 52-48 and 53-47 kind of ball park. Up to 57-43, 58-42. So I see Murkowski as a pretty strong favorite.”

But he said it’s not impossible for Republican Kelly Tshibaka to win. But he referred to the online betting market called PredictIt.org, where people who are betting actual money are making Murkowski the 80% favorite. On PredictIt, that means Tshibaka has a one in five chance of winning.

“She could win,” Moore said of Tshibaka. “Don’t get me wrong. But she’s the underdog.”

Moore said that Murkowski, since losing the primary to Joe Miller in 2010, has moved gradually left to the place where she “has become a pariah amongst the people on the right. For the longest time, her support came from the middle.” He described a bell curve with moderates at the top of the curve. For a while, she was most popular among moderates and no-party people — the swing voters.

After the Obamacare repeal vote in 2017, when Murkowski voted against repealing the controversial Affordable Health Care Act, along with Sen. Susan Collins of Maine and Sen. John McCain of Arizona, “that was it, as far as the conservative right was concerned,” Moore said. There’s nothing she can do to win those voters back.

View the interview at this link.

He went on to say that if he analyzed her record, or “cross tabs” without her name attached, he would have to guess that Murkowski is a Democrat. In fact, he would guess “100% that is a Democrat.”

Moore said Murkowski’s favorable rating is highest on the Left these days, with very low support from the right, and some support from the moderates.

Murkowski is going to have a tough time, now that she is so clearly aligned with the Left, he said.

“You’ve got to obey your master and she’s going to have a tough time … keeping her support base happy and at the same time not becoming a bit of a pariah in her caucus in the Senate,” he said.

Moore said that conservatives should give Ranked Choice Voting another look, because he believes it benefits Republicans in Alaska.

“And if you look at it just objectively, instant runoff is good for Republicans in Alaska because there’s more Republican voters, there are therefore more Republican candidates, and so Republicans are always much more likely to be going against each other in races and splitting the vote. And ranked choice voting prevents these situations.”

The 1994 gubernatorial race was a classic example, he said, where ranked choice voting would have advantaged Republicans.

Republican Jack Coghill pulled away a chunk of vote that otherwise would have gone to the Republican, Moore said. In that race, Democrat Tony Knowles narrowly defeated Republican Jim Campbell and Alaskan Independence Party’s Jack Coghill. If Alaska had ranked choice voting back then, Knowles would not have won.

“And those kinds of situations are going to happen much more for Republicans than Democrats,” he said. “Democrats can barely scare up one candidate in each race. Let alone having two. There’s not really a functional Green Party anymore to siphon off Democrat votes.”

He also believes it’s good public policy and disagrees that it’s too confusing for average voters.

“No, it isn’t [confusing]. It’s not rocket science,” he said.

Price of gas going up again: OPEC, including Russia, agree to cut oil production by 2 million barrels a day

By CASEY HARPER | THE CENTER SQUARE

Gas prices have continued to rise over the past two weeks, and now OPEC has announced a major decision that will likely drive those prices higher.

OPEC said Wednesday it will reduce oil production beginning in November by 2 million barrels per day. OPEC, the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries largely based in the Mideast, said in a statement it made the decision “in light of the uncertainty that surrounds the global economic and oil market outlooks, and the need to enhance the long-term guidance for the oil market, and in line with the successful approach of being proactive, and preemptive…”

President Joe Biden helped lower pricesby releasing one million barrels per day from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve since April, but the reserves – meant for emergency situations like natuural disasters or in the event of war – are now near decades-low levels.

“In any event, we will continue to take steps to protect American consumers,” White House Press Secretary Karine Jean-Pierre said during Tuesday’s press briefing. “Our focus, and it’s been very clear for the past several, several months, has been on taking every step to ensure markets are sufficiently supplied to meet demand for a growing global economy.”

Biden told reporters earlier this week he was “concerned” about OPEC’s announcement, calling it “unnecessary.”

According to AAA, the current national average price for a gallon of regular gasoline is $3.83, up from $3.77 a week ago. The recent rise in gas prices is due in part to the effects of Hurricane Ian. In Alaska, AAA says the average price of unleaded is $5.43 a gallon. In June, Fred Meyer on Dimond Blvd. in Anchorage was selling unleaded for $5.46, as shown in the photo above from June 17.

Patrick De Haan, a petroleum expert with Gas Buddy, said he expects OPEC’s decision to drive prices up 15 to 30 cents per gallon.

“Ouch… and up goes oil after OPEC recommendation…” he wrote on Twitter. “It’s VERY nuanced right now because of refinery kinks, but high [gas prices] will soon fall in the West Coast, Great Lakes and others where they exploded, while rising in the Gulf, South, [Southeast], East Coast and [Northeast] because of OPEC’s decision.”

Prices hit an all-time high in June, surpassing $5 per gallon before declining. Current prices, though, are still much higher than when Biden took office. The average price one year ago was $3.20 per gallon.

The Center Square provides news stories for Must Read Alaska.

Rodney Dial reelected mayor of Borough of Ketchikan

Ketchikan Gateway Borough Mayor Rodney Dial, a conservative, is leading with 1,632 votes, or 54% of the vote against challenger Katie Parrott, who has 1,359 votes, in early results for Ketchikan’s Oct. 4 local elections. Approximately 680 ballots are still expected in through the mail and will be counted on Oct. 10, but it appears Dial has won.

In the race for two seats on Ketchikan’s Borough Assembly, incumbent Austin Otos leads with 1,739 votes. Incumbent Glen Thompson is in second with 1,288 votes. Michael Iann Martin is in third, with 1,075 votes. Joshua Titus has 862 votes.

Otos and Thompson will win the three-year seats. Incumbent Assemblyman Jeremy Bynum has chosen to run for State House of Representatives against Rep. Daniel Ortiz.

Melissa O’Bryan and Tom Heutte are apparent winners for the two seats on the school board. O’Bryan has 1,755 votes and Heutte has 1,219. The third-place candidate, Robb Arnold, has 1,036 votes.

The ballot proposition on non-areawide library powers failed, with 692 voting yes and 851 voting no. The measure would have cut library funding, removing a 0.7 mill property tax on residences and business properties in the borough, outside Ketchikan and Saxman city limits. Borough residents and businesses provide close to 40% of the Ketchikan Public Library’s annual budget.

Proponents of the proposition have objections to the push by local the local library to host drag queen story hour and LGBTQ content at the library that targets young children. Proponents predicted it would not pass, and did not mount a strong campaign of any sort, but intended to make a point about the inappropriate gender ideology being pushed by the library.

Voters in the Gateway Borough also chose to keep area-wide representation on the Assembly, by a vote of 2,528 to 397.

City of Ketchikan voters re-elected Mark Flora and Lallette Kistler to three-year terms on the City Council.  Flora is vice mayor of Ketchikan and Kistler is an incumbent, who was appointed to fill out the term of Dave Kiffer, was elected mayor last year.

Jack Finnegan was elected to a one-year City Council term. He is a charter fishing operator and involved in the arts and humanities scene in the First City.

Big 42% turnout for Haines election

HAINES RESULTS

Three seats were on the ballot for the Haines Borough Assembly on Oct. 4.  There were two three-year terms and one one-year seat.

In unofficial results, Gabe Thomas has been reelected to the borough Assembly. Also winning a three-year seat was Ben Aultman-Moore, who is a member of the Lynn Canal Conservation. Winning a one-year seat was Jerry Lapp.

The results keep a business-friendly mindset on the Assembly, not swinging it too far to the left or right.

  • Gabe Thomas – 547
  • Ben Aultman-Moore – 495
  • Jerry Lapp – 482
    Margarette Jones – 464
    Bill Jurewitz – 462
    Eric Holle – 439

For school board, the race is a bit closer, but initially it appears Keely Baumgartner will be seated. She is a Haines High School graduate and first ran for school board as a write-in in 2021.

  • Keely Baumgartner – 709
  • Michelle (Shelly) Sloper, incumbent – 693

SKAGWAY RESULTS

In Skagway, Orion Hanson was reelected to the Skagway Borough Assembly and former Assemblyman Dan Henry was elected to a seat. Hanson is a builder and Henry owns Skagway Fish Company, a restaurant. Luke Rauscher, head mechanic at Alaska Excursions, was elected to the school board; he was unopposed.

Bond Proposition One passed, 278 to 200, authorizing borrowing up to $65 million to replace the ore dock through the Ore Peninsula Redevelopment Base Project.

Correction: An earlier version of this story showed a turnout rate for Skagway of 83%. That was due to the way the votes were shown on the official tally, which was misleading; the actual turnout is over 40%.

Kenai Mayor Gabriel reelected to third term, Homer Mayor Kastner reelected, Sue McClure is new mayor of Seward

Kenai City Mayor Brian Gabriel has been reelected to another term. He was first elected mayor in 2016, and served on the Kenai City Council from 2010 to 2016. He has been a member of the Alaska Bycatch Review Task Force since being appointed by Gov. Mike Dunleavy early this year.

  • Brian Gabriel – 645
  • Teea Winger – 295

Kenai City Council Seat B

  • Alex Douthit – 558
  • Victoria Askin – 454
  • Glenese Pettey, incumbent – 394

KENAI BOROUGH RESULTS

Assembly District 3 – Nikiski

  • Jesse Bjorkman, incumbent – 409
  • Dil Uhlin – 200
  • Chase Griffith – 78

Assembly District 4 – Soldotna

  • Tyson Cox, incumbent – 592
  • Donald Boston – 369

Assembly District 7 – Central

  • Brent Johnson, incumbent, unopposed – 577

HOMER CITY RESULTS

  • Homer Mayor Ken Castner, unopposed, won reelection with 720 votes.

Kastner was first elected in 2018 and served on the city council before that. He has lived in Homer since 1973.

Homer City Council

  • Jason Davis and Storm Hansen have won reelection to the Homer City Council, with 498 and 473 votes respectively.

SEWARD CITY RESULTS

  • Sue McClure has been elected mayor of Seward, having run unopposed.

McClure has served on the city council and as vice mayor. Her term on the city council ends next October and will need to be filled by special election. Current Mayor Christy Terry’s term ends this month, and she did not run for reelection due to relocating to Anchorage, where she was named director of external affairs for the Alaska Railroad.

  • Randy Wells and Kevin Finch were both elected to the Seward City Council, unopposed.

SOLDOTNA CITY RESULTS

Soldotna City Council Seat D

  • Dave Carey, incumbent – 460
  • Erick Hugarte – 166

Soldotna City Council Seat E

  • Lisa Parker, incumbent – 397
  • Garrett Dominick – 196

Bethel, Alaska voters approve Prop. 1, banishing future city-imposed mask mandates

Voters in Bethel, Alaska have had enough of mask mandates. On Oct. 4, 2022, they passed a ballot proposition banning city officials from enacting a mask mandate in the community.

By a vote of 323 to 297, voters approved a proposition on the Oct. 4 ballot that amended municipal code with one simple sentence: “The City of Bethel shall not enact any mandates requiring masks or face coverings.”

The City of Bethel, population 6,548 in the last U.S. Census, has a mask mandate for all City of Bethel-owned buildings during “high community burden levels, according to its most recent Covid-19 policy, which was updated in April. The community burden level is established by the Yukon Kuskokwim Health Corporation for the City of Bethel.

The most recent community-wide mask mandate was passed by the Bethel City Council last December, and was in effect for 60 days for people:

  • Inside of, or in line to enter, any indoor public space;
  • Obtaining services from a healthcare facility;
  • Waiting for or riding on public transportation or while in a taxi or bus;
  • Engaged in work, whether at the workplace or performing work off-site, when: Interacting in-person with any member of the public;
    Working in any space visited by members of the public, regardless of whether anyonefrom the public is present at the time;
  • Working in any space where food is prepared or packaged for sale or distribution to others;
  • Working in or walking through public common areas, such as hallways, stairways, elevators,and parking facilities;
  • In any room or enclosed area where other people (except for members of the person’s ownhousehold or residence) are present when unable to physically distance;
  • Driving or operating any public transportation or taxi service or ride-sharing vehicle;
  • While outdoors in public spaces when maintaining a physical distance of six feet frompersons who are not members of the same household or residence is not feasible.

The ordinance, which has expired, is at this link.

Bethel is considered a Democrat stronghold. Voting in a ban on masks is an unusual move for a liberal community. Turnout in this election was about 15.5% of registered voters.

Bethel voters on Tuesday also voted down a ballot proposition that would prohibit the sale of alcoholic beverages except through a “Restaurant or eating place license, which authorizes the restaurant or eating place to sell beer and wine for consumption only on
the licensed premises; AND Package store license, limited to selling only beer and wine to a person present on licensed premises.”

Preliminary results for the candidates for Bethel City Council:

  • Rose “Sugar” Henderson – 453
  • Sophie Swope – 448
  • Patrick Snow – 414

Red wave: Fairbanks goes conservative, with David Pruhs winning city mayor by decisive margin

Early results are promising for conservative candidates in the local elections in Fairbanks, where conservatives won handily on Tuesday, and where missing precincts favor conservatives. Unofficial results:

Fairbanks City Mayor

  • David Pruhs – 56.59%
  • Valerie Therrien – 42.77%

City Council Seat C

  • Sue Sprinkle – 43%
  • Richard Croteau – 38.30%
  • Sean MacDonald – 17.90%

City Council Seat D

  • Aaron Gibson – 49.87%
  • Crystal Tidwell – 49.40%

Borough Assembly Seat B

  • Brett Rotermund – 52.64%
  • Kuba Grzeda – 46.87%

Borough Assembly Seat C

  • Mindy L. O’Neall – 84.93%

Borough Assembly Seat I

  • Barbara Haney – 51.03%
  • Liz Reeves-Ramos – 48.40%

School Board Seat C

  • Brandy Harty – 49.64%
  • Les Nichols – 49.49%\

School Board Seat D

  • Melissa Burnett – 53.49%
  • Kaneisha Radgosky – 45.93%

The results of the Fairbanks election so far match the efforts of Interior Republicans, an independent group that handed out hundreds of cards listing their preferred candidates for the election.

Sen. Mitch McConnell unleashes vicious October surprise on fellow Republican Senate candidate Kelly Tshibaka

The airwaves are full of the latest “kill shot” on Senate candidate Kelly Tshibaka.

In this ad, the Senate Majority Leadership Fund, run by Senate Minority Leader Sen. Mitch McConnell, makes it appear that Tshibaka actually confesses to committing fraud when she was employed by the federal government. It’s a lie, but this is McConnell’s attempt to prop up Sen. Lisa Murkowski, and this is after all, October, the witching month when the worst of the political ads hit the airwaves.

McConnell has gone against the Alaska Republican Party, which endorsed Thsibaka over 18 months ago, censured Murkowski, and asked Murkowski to leave the party.

“Mitch McConnell has obviously decided he prefers a senator who is a more dependable vote for Joe Biden than anything else. In doing that, he’s ignoring the official position of the Alaska Republican Party, which is that Lisa Murkowski has to go. These ads attacking Kelly Tshibaka are an attempt to override the views of tens of thousands of Alaska Republicans,” said Mary Ann Pruitt, consultant to the campaign.

“This is a dark money ad full of lies. Kelly Tshibaka’s job was to keep federal employees honest, and some of them filed complaints against her in retaliation. Following a full investigation, she was exonerated and was, in fact, subsequently promoted, proving how ridiculous this ad is,” Pruitt said.

“After 21 years in the Senate, Lisa Murkowski knows Alaskans can see that she’s become too liberal and sides with the D.C. insiders over Alaska residents. And her D.C. pals are coming to her defense with smear tactics like this dishonest, negative attack ad. Murkowski always tells us that she’s against dark money — except when it’s being spent to benefit her,” Pruitt said.

McConnell has attacked Tshibaka on her pro-child stance, and blamed her for the state’s high moving expenses. Now, McConnell is accusing an Alaskan of fraud — a claim that is not supported by facts and which is likely something Tshibaka could sue McConnell for.