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Fact check: Murkowski ads against Kelly Tshibaka tell lies about her position on birth control pills through the mail

By ROBERT FARLEY | FACTCHECK.ORG

A super PAC supporting Sen. Lisa Murkowski claims in several TV ads that her top challenger, Kelly Tshibaka, “wants to ban birth control in the mail.” Tshibaka has said she would ban the sale of the morning-after pill via the mail, but the ads leave the misleading impression she would ban all forms of birth control.

The ads attacking Tshibaka come from Alaskans for L.I.S.A. (Leadership in a Strong Alaska), a super PAC that backs Murkowski. The first two 30-second ads each feature a different woman who says some version of, “I’ve seen the video. Kelly Tshibaka says she wants to ban birth control in the mail. That’s nuts.”

The issue of contraceptives by mail is particularly crucial in Alaska, where many of the “communities are located off the road system,” another video states.

A third ad follows the same script, but includes a clip of Tshibaka saying, “I would want to make it illegal to send those pills at all.” A woman in that ad then says, “Kelly Tshibaka says she wants to ban birth control in the mail. That’s nuts.” 

The video of Tshibaka is from a small campaign event on March 12. The quality of the audio in the video is not great. We could not make out the entirety of the question Tshibaka was asked, but the gist of it was about making it illegal to order abortion pills by mail, not birth control pills.

“So, yeah, I need to think about that more,” Tshibaka said. “I would want to make it illegal to send those pills at all, so you can’t order those pills. And I know from my time working at Postal Service that we can actually stop sending those pills through the mail. We can actually block them in the mail. If we were to pass that kind of act, the Postal Service can block them using data because I was on the team that developed those models. Creating, so a criminal act of a recipient, the drugmaker, the sender, there’s a whole chain there, right, that we would have to prosecute. It’s an interesting question that I’ll need to think through.”

That clearly marks Tshibaka’s support for banning the distribution via the mail of what is commonly referred to as “the abortion pill,” which is mifepristone taken in conjunction with misoprostol. The Food and Drug Administration approved the medication to end a pregnancy through 10 weeks of gestation.

A man in the audience at the March 12 campaign event then asked Tshibaka if “birth control fall[s] underneath that same category.”

Tshibaka says “it would.” Tshibaka then mentioned abortifacients (drugs that induce abortions), but due to the poor quality of the video, it was unclear to us which forms of birth control she was saying that she believes fall into that category. We reached out to the Tshibaka campaign for clarification, but we got no response.

However, a video posted on Tshibaka’s campaign website makes clear that she considers the Plan B pill, and similar medication known as morning-after pills, to be a pill “that cause[s] abortions” and therefore one that she favors banning via mail. A morning-after pill is taken within five days of unprotected sex to reduce the chance of pregnancy.

Read the rest of this column at FactCheck.org.

Commentary: There’s no excuse for Sen. Mitch McConnell’s attack on Alaska GOP candidate Kelly Tshibaka

By SUZANNE DOWNING

Sen. Mitch McConnell has no excuse. The ads his political group is producing to attack Alaska Republican Senate candidate Kelly Tshibaka are beyond the pale.

Campaign attacks intensify in October because as the election runway gets shorter, it takes a sharp message to catch voters’ attention and seal the deal. But the money being spent by McConnell and his Senate Leadership Fund to attack a fellow Republican — one who may win and join the Senate to be his colleague — should shock the sensibilities of all conservatives. 

And it is shocking Alaskans, indeed. McConnell’s determination to destroy another Republican’s reputation is driving Alaskans away from the Republican Party because they don’t distinguish the difference between the state Republican Party and the national Republican establishment, which appears to be operating contrary to the wishes of Alaska conservatives.

It’s one thing for the campaigns to attack each other’s candidates. That’s the unfortunate part of campaigning for office, setting forth the “contrast” for voters.

This year, Alaska’s new open primary sent two Republican candidates for Senate to the general election ballot. It’s unprecedented in Alaska and a result of Sen. Lisa Murkowski’s allies pushing Ballot Measure 2, so that Murkowski would not have to face a Republican primary and its Murkowski-wary voters again.

Alaskans have never before seen such ugliness from the  GOP, which appears to be attacking its own candidate all the way into November. 

Normally, once the August primary is over, the internecine battle stops, and Republicans gather behind their candidate. Not this year. The battle only intensified in the Republican world, thanks to the Murkowski ballot, allowing her to scoot past Republican voters and head to the general election without them.

Each of these Republican candidates — Murkowski and Tshibaka — brings with her a separate sensibility and set of values for how to legislate. 

On the left hand, we have Murkowski, the elder warhorse of Alaska and American politics, hardened by years of election cycles and heir to the throne given to her by her father, former Sen. and Gov. Frank Murkowski. She knows how to run an effective campaign, and this year her campaign has done a masterful job, amassing millions in donations from around the country and following a clear message arc, where her deliverables in grants and pork are being delivered at just the right time. She has her own super PAC that does attack ads for her, and she has McConnell’s millions that have unleashed the hounds of hell on her Republican challenger.

On the right hand, we have Tshibaka, the upstart Republican who came home to Alaska after working in Washington, D.C. to raise her children in her homeland and to help keep the 49th state from going off the rails. She doesn’t have the millions, but she does have the support of former President Donald Trump, which is something money can’t buy.

Their personal stories are nearly as different as their politics. Murkowski is blue-blood, while Tshibaka comes from hard-scrabble working class, with parents who once lived in a tent to get by. Murkowski is pro-abortion, pro-gun control, and anti-Trump. Tshibaka is pro-life, pro-Second Amendment, and pro-Trump.

Once McConnell untethered his $6.5 million to destroy Tshibaka, he decided to destroy her completely, and to send a message to any other Republican who would ever dare challenge Murkowski.

McConnell’s Senate Leadership Fund has repeatedly lied about Tshibaka. He has accused her of fraud, and clipped and twisted her own words against her, sharing only a fragment of her story. 

Tshibaka, who endured corrupt attacks against her when she was a government watchdog trying to clean up fraud in the federal government, is having her fight for fair government being used against her, as though she was the one who was committing fraud. 

Alaskans don’t know the full story, but here are the Cliffs Notes: Tshibaka’s job in D.C. was to keep federal employees honest, and some of them filed complaints against her in retaliation. Following a full investigation, she was exonerated and was subsequently promoted.

McConnell and the Senate Leadership Fund are lying to Alaskans. And it’s only early October. We can’t wait to hear what trick McConnell pulls next.

This is McConnell using Republican donor money improperly against a fellow Republican, a complete violation of the Reagan Rule. This is also using Republican money against Alaska itself. 

The McConnell scorched-earth war on Alaska seems like punishment against the Alaska Republican Party, which has endorsed Tshibaka, censured Murkowski, and asked Murkowski to leave the party and run under another political banner.

Why would McConnell do that, when both of these Republicans would still be part of the Republican caucus, and when the Alaska Senate race will not make one iota of difference in bringing the Senate back under Republican leadership? Why not focus on Ohio or Arizona, where seats could be flipped? 

Although Murkowski is a 65% reliable Republican vote, when Tshibaka would probably be a 98% reliable Republican vote, they’re both Republican.

It’s become clear that Sen. Mitch McConnell is conducting a proxy war against former President Donald Trump and using Alaska as his political battlefield. McConnell is leaving carnage and destruction in his wake as he plays his political games with the former president.

Alaskans should take note of what these attack ads really represent.: The Swamp at its worst. They don’t represent Alaska values and they don’t improve the quality of our political dialogue. The Alaska Republican Party should step up immediately and denounce McConnell and his attack on their endorsed candidate. If the party doesn’t, then its districts and regions should do so, one at a time. If none do, then the party’s endorsements are worthless.

As for Murkowski, Alaska’s senior senator is complicit in McConnell’s offense against Alaska if she does not also denounce Monstrous Mitch’s campaign against a fellow Republican.

But perhaps Murkowski, too, wishes to destroy the Alaska Republican Party, and Kelly Tshibaka is merely collateral damage.

Suzanne Downing is publisher of Must Read Alaska.

Hot mic: Biden tells Fort Myers mayor ‘No one f–ks with a Biden’ during brief chat in devastated community

President Joe Biden, jovially chatting with Fort Myers Beach Mayor Ray Murphy on Wednesday, was caught on a live microphone saying, “No one f–ks with a Biden,” and chuckling as the mayor collegially appeared to agree with him, although the mayor was possibly just being polite.

Biden traveled to the devastated part of Southwest Florida to see first hand the damage caused by Hurricane Ian late last month.

Biden told residents of the area that he empathizes with their plight due to a house fire that destroyed an “awful lot” of his own home some two decades ago.

Speaking to the mayor, he said, “You were raised the same way I was.”

“I was, I was,” Mayor Murphy said.

No one f—s with a Biden,” Biden continued.

“Goddamn right,” Mayor Murphy replied, although it’s hard to know if he understood the president’s comment.

“And you can’t argue with your brothers outside the house,” Biden said.

“That’s exactly right, that’s exactly right,” Murphy said, politely.

Sen. Dan Sullivan heads to Ohio to campaign for Senate candidate J.D. Vance

Sen. Dan Sullivan is heading to Ohio this week to campaign for J.D. Vance, who is running for U.S. Senate. Vance has been trailing behind Democrat nominee Rep. Tim Ryan, who also has raised more money than Vance and who has campaigned more aggressively this summer.

Ryan’s campaign has branded Vance as not a real Ohioan, but rather a San Francisco transplant.

Vance is the author of the best-selling memoir, “Hillbilly Elegy.” He grew up in Middletown, Ohio. A lawyer, he worked as an investor in San Francisco before returning to Ohio.

Sullivan, Donald Trump, and Donald Trump Jr. are filling in where mega-GOP donor Peter Thiel has left off. Thiel has turned the attention of his network of funders to Arizona to come to the aid of Blake Masters for Senate, who has been trailing in polling to Democrat Sen. Mark Kelly. Masters is a close associate of Thiel, having worked at Thiel Capital earlier this year.

Meanwhile, the Ohio race has gotten a lot tighter, surprising many in a state that Donald Trump won easily in 2020.

Sullivan’s fundraising link for J.D. Vance is at this link.

Coast Guard Cutter Healy reaches North Pole

The U.S. Coast Guard Cutter Healy reached the the North Pole on Sept. 27, 2022, the third time the icebreaker has gone the distance since its commissioning in 1999. It’s the second time a U.S. ship has reached the location unaccompanied, the first being the Healy in 2015.

Healy is the United States’ largest and most technologically advanced icebreaker and is the US Coast Guard’s largest vessel, at 420 feet. It departed Dutch Harbor on Sept. 4 for its journey to 90 degrees latitude. The cutter and crew supported oceanographic research in collaboration with National Science Foundation-funded scientists throughout the journey to the North Pole. Home-ported in Seattle, the cutter has nearly three dozen scientists and technicians on board and staff on board in addition to 100 crew members.

During the cutter’s first Arctic leg of the patrol throughout July and August, the ship traveled to the Beaufort and Chukchi Seas, going as far north as 78 degrees. As a part of the Office of Naval Research’s Arctic Mobile Observing System program, Healy deployed underwater sensors, sea gliders and acoustic buoys to study Arctic hydrodynamics in the marginal and pack ice zones, the Coast Guard reported.

“In addition to enabling Arctic science, Healy also supported U.S. national security objectives for the Arctic region by projecting a persistent ice-capable U.S. presence in U.S. Arctic waters, and patrolling our maritime border with Russia,” the agency said. The ship also spent some of the summer patrolling the water border between the U.S. and Russia.

U.S. Coast Guard Auxiliary photo by Deborah Heldt Cordone.

Breaking: Russian nationals land a boat on Alaska island

Village leaders on St. Lawrence Island in Alaska notified the U.S. Coast Guard on Tuesday that two foreign nationals had landed near the community of Gambell, on the far western side of the island. The men arrived in what was described as a small boat.

The village of Gambell, with a population 495, is located on the northwest cape of the island, some 36 miles from the Chukchi Peninsula in the Russian Far East, and Russia can be seen from cape. The island closer to Russia than it is to the Alaskan mainland.

The men are likely to be Russian men escaping their country during a time of war. Russia President Vladimir Putin has put out the orders for men under the age of 65 to report to the Russian military to take part in the invasion of Ukraine, and hundreds of thousands of Russian men are now leaving, as the Kremlin is trying to conscript 300,000 Russians as soldiers.

The U.S. Coast Guard released a statement saying the men are being detained in the village detention facility, but did not yet reveal the nationality of the men.

A spokesperson from Sen. Dan Sullivan’s office said the senator had been contacted by a senior community leader from St. Lawrence Island on Tuesday. Sen. Sullivan called the Secretary of the Department of Homeland Security and spoke to him and another senior DHS official.

“Since those calls, Customs and Border Protection is responding and going through the process to determine the admissibility of these individuals to enter the United States,” his office said.

International news agencies say that the Kremlin is opening military enlistment offices near Russia’s borders in an effort to intercept fleeing Russian men of fighting age. A draft office opened at the Ozinki checkpoint on Russia’s border with Kazakhstan, and another set to open in the Astrakhan region, also on the border with Kazakhstan. So far, news reports say that over 194,000 Russian citizens have fled by car, bicycle or on foot to neighboring Georgia, Kazakhstan, and Finland in an exodus that began the third week of September. More are fleeing to European countries that are loosening the visa restrictions so the men can find safety.

“The mass exodus comes at a time when Russian troops are already deeply demoralized and facing heavy losses on the battlefront in Ukraine. These losses have caused Russia’s advancements in Ukraine to come to a grinding halt, thus the Russian Minister of Defense has called upon 300,000 men to join the Russian Armed Forces,” according to the Warsaw Institute.

“The mobilization has wreaked havoc amongst many Russians. Large numbers of fighting aged men are now seeking to exit Russia swiftly to avoid being sent to the Ukrainian frontline. Neighboring states such as Kazakhstan, Georgia, Finland, and Armenia have seen a  drastic increase in Russian citizens attempting to cross the border. Following the mobilization order from the Kremlin, nearly 200,000 Russians have exited Russia. Georgia’s interior minister announced that nearly 53,000 Russians have crossed the Russo-Georgian border since September 21st, 2022. Additionally, the government of Kazakhstan has reported nearly 98,000 Russians have crossed the border since the announcement of the mobilization,” the Institute writes.

“The influx of Russian citizens has prompted various responses from neighboring governments. The President of Kazakhstan, Kassym‑Jomart Tokayev, said in a statement regarding the exodus of Russians that they, ‘are forced to leave because of the current hopeless situation. We must take care of them and ensure their safety.’ Kazakh law stipulates that Russian passport holders can remain in Kazakhstan visa-free for a period of 30 days, and any longer stays must be registered. However, other countries have been less welcoming of this new rush of Russian  passport holders. The government of Finland recently passed a resolution severely limiting the arrival of Russian passport holders arriving with Schengen tourist visas with limited exceptions. Many Baltic nations have also imposed strict regulations regarding the admittance of Russian passport holders into their countries. The Latvian foreign minister said humanitarian or other visa types would not be issued to Russian citizens seeking to avoid the recently announced military mobilization.”

For such reasons, it’s entirely possible that some men in Russia’s Far East are looking for a boat that will take them to America before the winter storms become a hazard.

This story will be updated.

Update: According to the governor’s office, the two Russians have been transported to Anchorage by a Coast Guard cargo plane, and they’re now in the custody of U.S. Customs and Border Patrol.

Must Read Alaska Show: Pollster Ivan Moore says Murkowski can’t win without her base of Democrat voters

On the Must Read Alaska Show on Wednesday, Alaska Survey Research pollster Ivan Moore talked with show host John Quick about all three of the statewide races and how voters are viewing the candidates.

He acknowledged the criticism of ranked choice voting, in that it threw Sen. Lisa Murkowski a lifeline. He admitted that she is the prime beneficiary of the open primary brought about by Ballot Measure 2 in 2020.

“She [Murkowski] would have had to go through a Republican primary and she would have had zero chance of winning that,” he said.

Moore said in he Senate race, Democrat candidate Pat Chesbro is likely to be eliminated second (after Republican Buzz Kelly is eliminated), and nearly all of her votes will go to Murkowski. A negligible number of Chesbro voters will pick Kelly Tshibaka second.

“The one thing we can say for certain right now as we approach the general [election] in November is that it will go to a Murkowski-Tshibaka final,” he said. And the particular poll he just completed, the result “was like 57-43 to Murkowski.”

Moore said he has polled the Senate race five times in the past year, and Murkowski has won every single time “and it’s ranged from the … 52-48 and 53-47 kind of ball park. Up to 57-43, 58-42. So I see Murkowski as a pretty strong favorite.”

But he said it’s not impossible for Republican Kelly Tshibaka to win. But he referred to the online betting market called PredictIt.org, where people who are betting actual money are making Murkowski the 80% favorite. On PredictIt, that means Tshibaka has a one in five chance of winning.

“She could win,” Moore said of Tshibaka. “Don’t get me wrong. But she’s the underdog.”

Moore said that Murkowski, since losing the primary to Joe Miller in 2010, has moved gradually left to the place where she “has become a pariah amongst the people on the right. For the longest time, her support came from the middle.” He described a bell curve with moderates at the top of the curve. For a while, she was most popular among moderates and no-party people — the swing voters.

After the Obamacare repeal vote in 2017, when Murkowski voted against repealing the controversial Affordable Health Care Act, along with Sen. Susan Collins of Maine and Sen. John McCain of Arizona, “that was it, as far as the conservative right was concerned,” Moore said. There’s nothing she can do to win those voters back.

View the interview at this link.

He went on to say that if he analyzed her record, or “cross tabs” without her name attached, he would have to guess that Murkowski is a Democrat. In fact, he would guess “100% that is a Democrat.”

Moore said Murkowski’s favorable rating is highest on the Left these days, with very low support from the right, and some support from the moderates.

Murkowski is going to have a tough time, now that she is so clearly aligned with the Left, he said.

“You’ve got to obey your master and she’s going to have a tough time … keeping her support base happy and at the same time not becoming a bit of a pariah in her caucus in the Senate,” he said.

Moore said that conservatives should give Ranked Choice Voting another look, because he believes it benefits Republicans in Alaska.

“And if you look at it just objectively, instant runoff is good for Republicans in Alaska because there’s more Republican voters, there are therefore more Republican candidates, and so Republicans are always much more likely to be going against each other in races and splitting the vote. And ranked choice voting prevents these situations.”

The 1994 gubernatorial race was a classic example, he said, where ranked choice voting would have advantaged Republicans.

Republican Jack Coghill pulled away a chunk of vote that otherwise would have gone to the Republican, Moore said. In that race, Democrat Tony Knowles narrowly defeated Republican Jim Campbell and Alaskan Independence Party’s Jack Coghill. If Alaska had ranked choice voting back then, Knowles would not have won.

“And those kinds of situations are going to happen much more for Republicans than Democrats,” he said. “Democrats can barely scare up one candidate in each race. Let alone having two. There’s not really a functional Green Party anymore to siphon off Democrat votes.”

He also believes it’s good public policy and disagrees that it’s too confusing for average voters.

“No, it isn’t [confusing]. It’s not rocket science,” he said.

Price of gas going up again: OPEC, including Russia, agree to cut oil production by 2 million barrels a day

By CASEY HARPER | THE CENTER SQUARE

Gas prices have continued to rise over the past two weeks, and now OPEC has announced a major decision that will likely drive those prices higher.

OPEC said Wednesday it will reduce oil production beginning in November by 2 million barrels per day. OPEC, the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries largely based in the Mideast, said in a statement it made the decision “in light of the uncertainty that surrounds the global economic and oil market outlooks, and the need to enhance the long-term guidance for the oil market, and in line with the successful approach of being proactive, and preemptive…”

President Joe Biden helped lower pricesby releasing one million barrels per day from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve since April, but the reserves – meant for emergency situations like natuural disasters or in the event of war – are now near decades-low levels.

“In any event, we will continue to take steps to protect American consumers,” White House Press Secretary Karine Jean-Pierre said during Tuesday’s press briefing. “Our focus, and it’s been very clear for the past several, several months, has been on taking every step to ensure markets are sufficiently supplied to meet demand for a growing global economy.”

Biden told reporters earlier this week he was “concerned” about OPEC’s announcement, calling it “unnecessary.”

According to AAA, the current national average price for a gallon of regular gasoline is $3.83, up from $3.77 a week ago. The recent rise in gas prices is due in part to the effects of Hurricane Ian. In Alaska, AAA says the average price of unleaded is $5.43 a gallon. In June, Fred Meyer on Dimond Blvd. in Anchorage was selling unleaded for $5.46, as shown in the photo above from June 17.

Patrick De Haan, a petroleum expert with Gas Buddy, said he expects OPEC’s decision to drive prices up 15 to 30 cents per gallon.

“Ouch… and up goes oil after OPEC recommendation…” he wrote on Twitter. “It’s VERY nuanced right now because of refinery kinks, but high [gas prices] will soon fall in the West Coast, Great Lakes and others where they exploded, while rising in the Gulf, South, [Southeast], East Coast and [Northeast] because of OPEC’s decision.”

Prices hit an all-time high in June, surpassing $5 per gallon before declining. Current prices, though, are still much higher than when Biden took office. The average price one year ago was $3.20 per gallon.

The Center Square provides news stories for Must Read Alaska.

Rodney Dial reelected mayor of Borough of Ketchikan

Ketchikan Gateway Borough Mayor Rodney Dial, a conservative, is leading with 1,632 votes, or 54% of the vote against challenger Katie Parrott, who has 1,359 votes, in early results for Ketchikan’s Oct. 4 local elections. Approximately 680 ballots are still expected in through the mail and will be counted on Oct. 10, but it appears Dial has won.

In the race for two seats on Ketchikan’s Borough Assembly, incumbent Austin Otos leads with 1,739 votes. Incumbent Glen Thompson is in second with 1,288 votes. Michael Iann Martin is in third, with 1,075 votes. Joshua Titus has 862 votes.

Otos and Thompson will win the three-year seats. Incumbent Assemblyman Jeremy Bynum has chosen to run for State House of Representatives against Rep. Daniel Ortiz.

Melissa O’Bryan and Tom Heutte are apparent winners for the two seats on the school board. O’Bryan has 1,755 votes and Heutte has 1,219. The third-place candidate, Robb Arnold, has 1,036 votes.

The ballot proposition on non-areawide library powers failed, with 692 voting yes and 851 voting no. The measure would have cut library funding, removing a 0.7 mill property tax on residences and business properties in the borough, outside Ketchikan and Saxman city limits. Borough residents and businesses provide close to 40% of the Ketchikan Public Library’s annual budget.

Proponents of the proposition have objections to the push by local the local library to host drag queen story hour and LGBTQ content at the library that targets young children. Proponents predicted it would not pass, and did not mount a strong campaign of any sort, but intended to make a point about the inappropriate gender ideology being pushed by the library.

Voters in the Gateway Borough also chose to keep area-wide representation on the Assembly, by a vote of 2,528 to 397.

City of Ketchikan voters re-elected Mark Flora and Lallette Kistler to three-year terms on the City Council.  Flora is vice mayor of Ketchikan and Kistler is an incumbent, who was appointed to fill out the term of Dave Kiffer, was elected mayor last year.

Jack Finnegan was elected to a one-year City Council term. He is a charter fishing operator and involved in the arts and humanities scene in the First City.