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Alaska’s August ballot picks will look just like November’s picks in almost all state races, due to open primaries

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In all but three Alaska legislative races, there is no winnowing being done in the Aug. 20 Primary Election. If there are four or fewer candidates in a race, they all automatically advance to November.

Since Ballot Measure 2 went into effect in 2022 and gave Alaska an “open” Primary, allowing Sen. Lisa Murkowski to bypass a Republican primary, it’s now the top four vote getters who proceed to the General Election ballot. Only three legislative races this year have more than four candidates. They are: Senate Seat L, Senate Seat R, and House District 36.

After Ballot Measure 2 passed, the parties have been stripped of their role in providing their most popular candidate to the General Election.

Read more and see the entire list of candidates here:

Unless candidates drop out unexpectedly, that means voters get to vote for candidates in August, and again in November. On the November ballot, however, they’ll rank them in first, second, and third place, using the Ranked-Choice Voting method that applies in the General Election.

Also of note, in the congressional race, the Alaska Libertarian Party did not run a candidate, nor did the Green Party. There are 12 candidates running for Alaska’s one seat in Congress; that will drop to four candidates after the Primary and voters will be able to rank those four candidates in the General Election.

Other notes and observations from watching the Saturday deadline filings:

South Anchorage’s House District 9 race to replace retiring Rep. Laddie Shaw ended up with four candidates running. Republican Brandy Pennington filed on Saturday as a candidate. Two other Republican candidates — Lucy Bauer and Lee Ellis — and one no-party candidate — Ky Holland — are in the race already. Holland is a liberal who signed the recall petition against Gov. Mike Dunleavy. This race is an example of how voters will see the same field of candidates twice in three months.

Brent Johnson of Clam Gulch has filed for House District 6, challenging Rep. Sarah Vance. Johnson is a no-party candidate, while Vance is a Republican. There are others already in this race, including no-party Alana Greear, who is a teacher and NEA activist; and Dawson Slaughter, a Republican.  Johnson had also this week filed to run for Kenai Borough Assembly.

Dana Mock of Fort Greely has filed for House District 36, a seat now being vacated as Rep. Mike Cronk of Tok runs for Senate Seat R. Mock is the chair-elect of the Alaska Association of School Boards, a group that has opposed the governor’s attempts to hold schools accountable. The chair of that group is Anchorage School Board President Margo Bellamy. Mock is a registered Republican. Also in the hunt for House District 36 are: Republican Pam Goode, Libertarian James Fields, Democrat Brandon P. “Putuuqti” Kowalski; Republican Rebecca Schwanke, and Republican Cole Snodgress.

Republican Joy Beth Cottle of Fairbanks has thrown her name in for House District 34. She works for the fire department and has been a fierce advocate for the return to defined benefits for public employees. She is taking on incumbent Rep. Frank Tomaszewski. He is also a Republican. In this case, voters will see two names in August and two names in November, and Ranked-Choice Voting will not apply. In races where there are only two candidates, there is no purpose to ranking.

Republican Harold Borbridge filed for Senate Seat F, now occupied by Republican Sen. James Kaufman. In 2020, he ran against Sen. Josh Revak for what was a special election for then-Senate Seat M; redistricting has reshaped the political boundaries and he is now looking to replace Kaufman, who is one of the Republicans who have put the Democrats in the majority in the Senate. This is another example of a race in which voters will see the same candidates twice but there will be no ranking.

Leighton Radner, a Libertarian from Seward, filed for House District 5, taking on House Rep. Louise Stutes of Kodiak. Stutes is a Republican but has long caucused with the Democrats in the House and was an original member o the liberal Musk Ox Coalition of pro-big government Republicans. There will be no ranking in this race in November.

Republican Ruben A. McNeill filed for House District 35, where Democrat Rep. Ashley Carrick is now serving and has filed for reelection. This is McNeill’s second run for this seat; his first run was in 2022. Voters in November will not rank this race.

Tina Wegener of Sterling has filed to run against Republican Sen. Jesse Bjorkman, who is coming to the end of his first term for the Kenai Peninsula. Wegener changed from unaffiliated to Democrat. Rep. Ben Carpenter, a Republican, and Andy Cizek, an Alaskan Independence Party member, are already in the race. All four will proceed to November’s ballot for ranking.

There are also now four Republicans in the Wasilla House District 28 race, where Rep. Jesse Sumner now serves. Sumner finally filed on Saturday, and Elexie Moore filed last Wednesday. Also in the race is Steve Menard and Jessica Wright. All four will proceed to November’s ballot for ranking.

Primary numbers: Fun facts about the filings at the Division of Elections

The deadline to file for the Aug. 20 primary was 5 p.m. on June 1 at the Division of Elections, and it was a busy day, indeed, for both the aspiring candidates and Election Division staff. Those who were busy filing on the final day had to first have their official financial disclosure notarized and on file with the Alaska Public Offices Commission and be registered with APOC as an official candidate. It’s quite a checklist and for a few, it came down to the wire.

The Division of Elections worked late on Saturday to get all the candidates who completed their paperwork by 5 p.m. into the division’s website. Must Read Alaska will update this list as needed this weekend.

But first, some observations about the list of candidates who will be on the primary ballot are in order:

12 Number of congressional candidates who filed with Division of Elections. This has been unchanged for several days. The three major candidates remain the same: Democrat Incumbent Rep. Mary Peltola, Republican Nick Begich, and Republican Nancy Dahlstrom.

120 – Number of state legislative candidates who filed for the August 20 primary.

61 – Number of Republicans who filed.

32 – Number of Democrats who filed.

18 – Number of no-party candidates who filed. These are Undeclareds and Nonpartisans, and most historically use a U or an N designation to trick moderate voters into believing they are moderates, and then caucus with Democrats.

3 – Number of Alaskan Independence Party candidates who filed.

3 – Number of Libertarian Party candidates who filed.

3 – Number of unchallenged Republicans. All three are incumbents: Rep. Dan Saddler of Eagle River, Rep. DeLena Johnson of Palmer, and Rep. Cathy Tilton of Wasilla.

5 – Number of unchallenged Democrat or no-party candidates. They are all incumbents: Sen. Jesse Kiehl of Juneau, Sen. Donny Olson of Golovin, Rep. Rebecca Himschoot of Sitka, Rep. Sara Hannan of Juneau, and Rep. Zack Fields of Anchorage.

8 – Total number of legislative seats unopposed.

5 – Number of legislative candidates who filed with their Native names in quotes for the ballot.

17 – Number of legislative races that have more than one Republican in the race. They are Senate Seat D – Bjorkman and Carpenter; Senate Seat F – Borbridge and Kaufman; Senate Seat H, McKay and Vazquez; Senate Seat L – Goecker, Jackson, McCarty, Merrick; Senate Seat N – Wilson, Wright, and Yundt; Senate Seat R – Cronk and Squyres; House District 6 – Slaughter and Vance; House District 7 – Gillham and Ruffridge; House District 8 – Elam and Hillyer; House District 9 – Bauer, Ellis, and Pennington; House District 10 – C. Johnson and Kopp; House District 27 – Eastman and Underwood; House District 28 – Menard, Moore, Sumner, and Wright; House District 30 – Holmes and McCabe; House District 33 – Prax and Welch; House District 34 – Cottle and Tomaszewski; House District 36 – Goode, Mock, Schwanke, and Snodgress.

3 – Number of races that have more than one Democrat in the race. They are House District 15 – Darden and Wells; House District 38 – Jimmie, McCormick, and Sosa; and House District 40 – Burke and Chase.

18 – Number of Democrat and no-declared-party candidates who had signed the petition to recall Gov. Mike Dunleavy in 2019. They are: Janice Park, Forrest Dunbar, Jason Avery, Savannah Fletcher, Rebecca Himschoot, Sara Hannon, Ky Holland, Walter Featherly, Calvin Schrage, Andy Josephson, Alyse Galvin, Cliff Groh, Genevieve Mina, Ted Eischeid, Maxine Dibert, CJ McCormick, Victoria Sosa, and Robyn Burke.

3 – Number of legislative races with more than four candidates. District 36 has 6 candidates; Senate Seat L has 5 candidates and Senate Seat R has 5 candidates. These are the only races that will be impacted by the open primary, which whittles the field to four candidates for the Ranked-Choice General Election.

THE CANDIDATES

SENATE DISTRICT B

Sen. Jesse Kiehl, incumbent Democrat, unchallenged

SENATE DISTRICT D

Sen. Jesse Bjorkman, incumbent Republican

Rep. Ben Carpenter, Republican

Andy Cizek, Alaskan Independence Party

Tina Wegener, Democrat

SENATE DISTRICT F

Harold Borbridge, Republican

Sen. James Kaufman, incumbent Republican

Janice Park, Democrat

SENATE DISTRICT H

Sen. Matt Claman, incumbent Democrat

Rep. Tom McKay, Republican

Former Rep. Liz Vazquez, Republican

SENATE DISTRICT J

Sen. Forrest Dunbar, incumbent Democrat

Cheronda Smith, no party

SENATE DISTRICT L

Jared Goecker, Republican

Lee Hammermeister, Democrat

Sharon Jackson, Republican

Ken McCarty, Republican

Sen. Kelly Merrick, incumbent Republican

SENATE DISTRICT N

Sen. David Wilson, incumbent Republican

Stephen Wright, Republican

Rob Yundt, Republican

SENATE DISTRICT P

Leslie Hajdukovich, Republican

Sen. Scott Kawasaki, incumbent Democrat

SENATE DISTRICT R

Jason Avery, Democrat

Rep. Mike Cronk, Republican

Savannah Fletcher, no party

James Squyres, Republican

Robert “Bert” Williams, Alaskan Independence Party

SENATE DISTRICT T

Sen. Donny Olson, incumbent Democrat

HOUSE DISTRICT 01 -KETCHIKAN

Jeremy Bynum, Republican

Grant Echohawk, no party

Agnes Moran, no party

Rep. Daniel Ortiz has announced he is dropping but has until June 29 to formally withdraw.

HOUSE DISTRICT 02 – SITKA

Rebecca Himschoot, no party

HOUSE DISTRICT 03 – NORTH JUNEAU

Rep. Andi Story, incumbent Democrat

Former Rep. Bill Thomas, Republican

HOUSE DISTRICT 04DOWNTOWN JUNEAU

Rep. Sara Hannan, incumbent Democrat

HOUSE DISTRICT 05 – KODIAK, SEWARD

Leighton Radner, Libertarian

Rep. Louise Stutes, incumbent Republican

HOUSE DISTRICT 06 – SOUTH KENAI

Alana Greear, no party

Brent Johnson, no party

Dawson Slaughter, Republican

Rep. Sarah Vance, incumbent Republican

HOUSE DISTRICT 07 – SOLDOTNA

Former Rep. Ron Gillham, Republican

Rep. Justin Ruffridge, incumbent Republican

HOUSE DISTRICT 08 – NORTH KENAI

Bill Elam, Republican

John Hillyer, Republican

HOUSE DISTRICT 09 – SOUTH ANCHORAGE

Lucy Bauer, Republican

Lee Ellis, Republican

Ky Holland, no party

Brandy Pennington, Republican

HOUSE DISTRICT 10 – SOUTH ANCHORAGE

Rep. Craig Johnson, incumbent Republican

Former Rep. Chuck Kopp, Republican

Greg Magee, no party

HOUSE DISTRICT 11 – ANCHORAGE

Rep. Julie Columbe, Republican

Walter Featherly, no party

HOUSE DISTRICT 12 – ANCHORAGE

Joseph Lurtsema, Republican

Rep. Calvin Schrage, incumbent no party

HOUSE DISTRICT 13 – ANCHORAGE

Heather Gotshall, Republican

Rep. Andy Josephson, incumbent Democrat

HOUSE DISTRICT 14 – ANCHORAGE

Rep. Alyse Galvin, incumbent no party

Harry Winner Kamdem, Democrat

HOUSE DISTRICT 15 – ANCHORAGE

Former Sen. Mia Costello, Republican

Dustin Darden, Democrat

Denny Wells, Democrat

HOUSE DISTRICT 16 – ANCHORAGE

Carolyn Hall, Democrat

Nick Moe, no party

HOUSE DISTRICT 17 – ANCHORAGE

Rep. Zack Fields, incumbent Democrat

HOUSE DISTRICT 18 – ANCHORAGE

Rep. Cliff Groh, incumbent Democrat

Former Rep. David Nelson, Republican

HOUSE DISTRICT 19 – ANCHORAGE

Kaylee Anderson, Republican

Rep. Genevieve Mina, incumbent Democrat

Russell O. Wyatt, no party

HOUSE DISTRICT 20 – ANCHORAGE

Rep. Andrew Gray, incumbent Democrat

Scott Kohlhaas, Libertarian

HOUSE DISTRICT 21 – ANCHORAGE

Rep. Donna Mears, incumbent Democrat

Aimee Sims, Republican

HOUSE DISTRICT 22 – ANCHORAGE

Ted Eischeid, Democrat

Rep. Stanley Wright, incumbent Republican

HOUSE DISTRICT 23 – EAGLE RIVER

Rep. Jamie Allard, incumbent Republican

Jim Arlington, Democrat

HOUSE DISTRICT 24 – EAGLE RIVER

Rep. Dan Saddler, incumbent Republican

HOUSE DISTRICT 25 – MAT-SU PALMER

Rep. DeLena Johnson, incumbent Republican

HOUSE DISTRICT 26 – MAT-SU FAIRVIEW WASILLA

Rep. Cathy Tilton, incumbent Republican

HOUSE DISTRICT 27 – WASILLA

Rep. David Eastman, incumbent Republican

Jubilee Underwood, Republican

HOUSE DISTRICT 28 – WASILLA

Steve Menard, Republican

Elexie Moore, Republican

Rep. Jesse Sumner, incumbent Republican

Jessica Wright, Republican

HOUSE DISTRICT 29 – SUTTON

Rep. George Rauscher, incumbent Republican

Bruce Wall, no party

HOUSE DISTRICT 30 – BIG LAKE

Doyle Holmes, Republican

Rep. Kevin McCabe, incumbent Republican

HOUSE DISTRICT 31 – FAIRBANKS

Rep. Maxine Dibert, incumbent Democrat

Former Rep. Bart LeBon, Republican

HOUSE DISTRICT 32 – FAIRBANKS

Gary Damron, Democrat

Rep. Will Stapp, incumbent Republican

HOUSE DISTRICT 33 – NORTH POLE

Rep. Mike Prax, incumbent Republican

Michael Welsh, Republican

HOUSE DISTRICT 34– FAIRBANKS

Joy Beth Cottle, Republican

Rep. Frank Tomaszewski, incumbent Republican

HOUSE DISTRICT 35 – FAIRBANKS

Rep. Ashley Carrick, incumbent Democrat

Ruben McNeill, Republican

HOUSE DISTRICT 36 – INTERIOR TOK-DELTA JUNCTION

James Fields, Libertarian

Pam Goode, Republican

Brandon P. “Putuuqti” Kowaski, Democrat

Dana Mock, Republican

Rebecca Schwanke, Republican

Cole Snodgress, Republican

HOUSE DISTRICT 37 – WESTERN

Darren Deacon, no party

Bryce Edgmon, no party

HOUSE DISTRICT 38 – BETHEL

Nellie D. “Unangiq” Jimmie, Democrat

Willie Keppel, Veterans Party of Alaska

Rep. CJ McCormick, incumbent Democrat

Victoria Sosa, Democrat

HOUSE DISTRICT 39 – NOME

Rep. Neal Foster, incumbent Democrat

Tyer Ivanoff, Alaskan Independence Party

HOUSE DISTRICT 40 – UTQIAGVIK

Rep.  Thomas C. “Ikaaq” Baker, incumbent no party

 Robyn “Niayuq” Burke, Democrat

 Saima “Ikrik” Chase, Democrat

Scott Kendall at the mic on the Must Read Alaska Show, talking about ranked-choice voting

By JOHN QUICK

On the Must Read Alaska Show, host John Quick interviews Scott Kendall, a prominent litigator, strategic consultant, and lightning rod figure in campaign and election law in Alaska.

Scott shares his insights on ranked-choice voting vs. STAR voting, which was discussed on the MRAK Show recently with one of its co-developers, Mark Frohnmayer. Scott also discusses his experiences supporting various candidates, including his stance in the recent Anchorage mayoral race, in which he supported mayor-elect Suzanne LaFrance.

Scott also provides an analysis of some of the issues facing Alaska, such as education funding, teacher recruitment, and retention. Additionally, he offers his perspectives on the upcoming presidential election and local congressional races.

Join John and Scott for a look at the current and future political landscape in Alaska, demonstrating the importance of thoughtful dialogue between differing view points.

Poll: MRAK readers overwhelmingly believed construction workers at Denali National Park over official National Park Service flag ban denial

Must Read Alaska’s weekly poll on topics of the day appears every Monday in the Must Read Alaska newsletter, which is read by thousands of Alaskans and others around the world on Monday, Wednesdays, and Fridays.

This week’s Question of the Week was: Who do you believe — the construction workers in Denali or the Park Service version of the flag ban controversy?

Readers of this publication have been closely following the account that began when construction workers at Denali National Park were ordered by the Park Service employees to not fly American flags from their trucks when using the Park Road to go between the Parks Highway and the bridge work site at the Pretty Rocks Landslide, near Mile 43.

The National Park Service at first vehemently denied it had told the workers anything about their flag flying. In essence, the National Park Service was calling the construction workers liars. On Monday, Must Read Alaska didn’t publish a newsletter, so this Question of the Week was in the Wednesday edition.

Here are the results: 98% of those who participated in the Question of the Week believed the construction workers.

The MRAK Question of the Week poll is not scientific, but gives a glimpse about whether conservatives generally believe official statements from government agencies that have been put on the defense.

After the poll closed Friday, Must Read Alaska received copies of official statements from the Federal Highway Administration and Granite Construction.

SIGN UP FOR THE MUST READ ALASKA NEWSLETTER AT THIS LINK

It became clear from the FHA statement that the National Park Service had obfuscated when it issued its earlier statement, saying it had not told the workers to remove their flags. In fact, NPS had told the Federal Highway Administration project manager that someone had complained about the “noise” from an American flag on a worker’s truck, and instructed the FHA to tell the construction company to tell its workers to take the flags off their trucks when they pass through the park.

The Anchorage Daily News, in its latecomer report on the flag flap, launched into its story by taking the side of the National Park Service and the ADN and the NPS led a smear campaign against Sen. Dan Sullivan for standing up for the workers’ First Amendment rights.

“The National Park Service said Sunday it never ordered the removal of the American flag from vehicles involved with a construction project inside Denali National Park and Preserve despite reports circulated by right-wing media and amplified by Alaska U.S. Sen. Dan Sullivan,” the ADN reported.

After the Federal Highway Administration gave its account, it became clear that an order had come down, but through another agency.

Read Must Read Alaska’s stories on this event as it unfolded:

Barbara Richters of National Literacy Institute, talks about declining literacy in America on this don’t-miss episode of STAND podcast

By KELLY TSHIBAKA

According to the National Literacy Institute, approximately 40% of American students cannot read at a basic level. Alaska has felt this decline in literacy deeply, with many of our youth not being able to read past an 8th-grade level. 

The system’s solution, per usual, has been simply to throw money at the problem. New buildings, administration positions, and extracurricular programs have sprouted like weeds, yet the literacy rate continues to choke. 

Literacy is not just an academic imperative; it’s critical to freedom and financial prosperity. Literacy for All, a community literacy advocacy group, reports that 70% of adult welfare recipients and 75% of state prison inmates have low literacy levels.

With the alarming decline in literacy, and the education system’s apparent lack of results in around the problem, is there even a way for Americans to turn this around? Barbara Richter, a former educator, successful entrepreneur, and accomplished author believes that the literacy issue can be reversed. Recently on STAND, with Kelly and Niki Tshibaka, Richter provided insight into reversing illiteracy. 

“What I would say is that a lot of this starts at home. If you can get people at home reading with their family, with somebody that they trust or that they love…You’ll get a spark.” Richter said. She further explained how teachers can fan that spark into a flame in the classroom, stating “If you’re excited about [a book], your students are going to be excited about it.” 

Of course, reading at home is where literacy begins, but extending that mission into a failing school system seems like an insurmountable task. Richter, however, revealed that the solution isn’t as complicated as it seems. 

When asked what made schools with better literacy rates superior in the area of literature, Richter answered: “Schools that had robust English programs, that had early intervention programs. You know things that you would expect.” Additionally, Richter stated that  “…having professionals, you know, having educators, having librarians who you can go to and say ‘this is where I’m at, help me’…that can go towards creating a better literacy amongst our children…”

There you have it, folks. The solution to illiteracy is within our grasp, it’s just a question of whether or not we reach out for it.

If you want to hear more about Barbara Richter’s insight and solutions for the literacy rates in America, the tragic link between illiteracy and declines in freedom, and the importance of reading, you can catch the newest episode of STAND. You can also view the episode on YouTube, Rumble, and your podcast streaming platform.

Kelly Tshibaka is the host of the podcast, TV, and radio show STAND, and the 2022 Alaska Republican candidate for U.S. Senate. She co-hosts the show with her husband, Niki Tshibaka.

Ken Koelsch: Close, but no cigar

By KEN KOELSCH

Before beginning my teaching career in Juneau in 1968, one of my favorite summer jobs was supervising the many food and game booths at the largest free fair in my home state of Michigan. Carnival games like tossing rings around the neck of a bottle or basketballs through a hoop were popular, and prizes were always awarded. 

Many of the “carnival barkers” still used an expression from the 1920’s when cigars were given as prizes to encourage fair visitors to try again: “Close, but no cigar.”  Cigars were more readily accepted as prizes in the early 20th century than they would be today. Today, if you go to a state fair, you will probably hear, “Close, but no stuffed toy.” 

Now let’s talk taxes. At the City and Borough of Juneau Finance Committee meeting last Wednesday, Assembly member Greg Smith proposed reducing the property tax millage rate from 10.16 to 9.91 mills. It garnered four of the five votes needed to be further considered. Close, but no cigar.   

The Finance committee eventually settled on dropping the mill rate to 10.04, a measly 1.2% reduction, which passed with seven votes.  

Some Assembly members expressed the concern that a more substantial cut was just too “uncomfortable”, as there might be priorities that would require incurring more bond debt in the future. Sorry, not even close!

“Uncomfortable” for some Juneau families was seeing the median home value and corresponding tax bill jump an average of 23% since 2020. If viewed honestly, escalating property values over the last several years will cost the average homeowner over $1,000 more in tax annually while the Assembly’s proposed millage rate “reduction” only pares it back a few hundred dollars

Uncomfortable is the Juneau homeowner coming up with the cash for home maintenance, house insurance, mortgage payments and CBJ property taxes. Landscaping can be put off another year, a new or used car is out of the picture until prices drop, braces or glasses are higher  priorities than school activities. Juneau still ranks the highest in urban Alaska for housing , groceries, and medical costs. Now that’s uncomfortable.

In the past three years Juneau has over-collected on our property taxes. For the past three years, the city’s two main sources of income (property and sales taxes) have produced millions in additional city revenue over actual budgeted needs. The City and Borough of Juneau stashed $16.3 million in an account for a new City Hall, brought up additional debt to pay off, added to our restricted budget reserves, and appropriated most of the rest of the millions to various community requests, some questionable.   

The portion of Juneau’s tax millage rate dedicated to debt payment can be reduced drastically and still pay off our scheduled debt. It is past time to give our homeowner working families a break. Dropping the debt millage rate from 1.2 to .73 for a mill rate total of 9.69 would lower the average property tax payment by almost $300. Then consider additional reductions that can be offset by tightening spending. A good place to start.

This would be in keeping with past years’ property tax overcollections, the increase in sales taxes due to inflation and cruise ship visitors’ spending, and tens of millions of dollars in reserves and appropriations for large projects that have been turned down by voters.

The Assembly believes they know better than you how your tax dollars should be spent.

Close,  but no cigar.

Ken Koelsch is a former mayor of Juneau and a longtime educator.

Joe Biden’s dangerous natural gas game

By TRISTAN ABBEY | REAL CLEAR ENERGY

If the devil is in the details, bureaucracy is hell on earth. Though terrain familiar to the Biden administration, Republicans must prepare to navigate it.

Witness the debacle over liquefied natural gas exports, wherein the White House, by “pausing” most new approvals, has catapulted the energy security of key U.S. allies straight into the buzzsaw of its climate ambitions. (The category of exports that will continue to be authorized is tiny.) The Department of Energy claims that a multifactor impact study due in early 2025 is required to determine whether and how the moratorium will be lifted.

Under a certain conception of executive power, it should be simple enough for a second-term Trump administration to end this national embarrassment by pressing “resume” on the authorization process. But as analysts at the Center for Strategic and International Studies have suggested, merely setting aside the study could provide a basis, however tenuous, for future litigation. In the modern administrative state, it is easier to open than shut the procedural door to delays.

Previous administrations have already published macroeconomic impact studies on the question of LNG exports from the U.S. The Obama administration paused its authorizations until its first study was released in December 2012, for example—curious timing, considering the election the previous month and the study’s actual completion in July of that year. Virtually every scenario in every study, including additional analysis in 2015 and 2018, has found net benefits to accrue.

It’s possible reopening the Obama playbook was the Biden team’s plan all along. After all, Secretary Granholm didn’t commission a new study in 2021, or in 2022, or in 2023. By waiting so long, the DOE can now claim that the cumulative volume of its authorizations is approaching the upper limit of the range that the 2018 study examined. Under the duplicity theory, approvals resume under a second Biden term as soon as the study is released and the election fades away.

But maybe the administration doesn’t even have a plan. It could be sheer incompetence. Gas exports offend the sensibilities of the Democratic base, but Appalachian swing states reap the economic rewards and European allies are desperate to detach themselves from Russian energy. Political operators will try in vain to triangulate even if it is impossible. We can imagine them now, hunched over the asphalt between the West Wing and the Eisenhower building, desperately chalking angles with a compass and ruler.

More ominously, Energy Secretary Granholm may be laying the groundwork for a Kafkaesque application process designed to punish an industry this administration has only ever pretended to tolerate. The fact that DOE’s approving authority is now housed in the Office of Resource Sustainability is suggestive, as is the Fiscal Year 2025 budget request to triple programmatic funding for export authorizations, primarily in the form of “anticipated studies and environmental reviews.”

In any event, undoing what the Biden team has done will take careful work by a putative second-term Trump administration. Putting the matter to rest on a more permanent basis will require legislative action, chiefly amending the Natural Gas Act signed into law by President Franklin Roosevelt in 1938. In the meantime, “death by study” works both ways.

Tristan Abbey is a senior fellow at the National Center for Energy Analytics. He previously served as a staffer at the White House and the U.S. Senate.

This article was originally published by RealClearEnergy and made available via RealClearWire.

Flag flap: Feds say it was a ‘noise complaint’ about flag that led to demand for removal of American flags from trucks on Park Road in Denali

According to new documents from the federal government, word came down, in fact, from the National Park Service through the Federal Highways Administration official in the park that a noise complaint had been made, due to a construction worker having a flag on his truck while on the Park Road, and that the flag must not be flown while workers are driving the road.

The story from the federal government keeps changing.

“At no time did an NPS official seek to ban the American flag from the project site or associated vehicles. The NPS neither administers the bridge project contract, nor has the authority to enforce terms or policies related to the contract or contractors performing the work,” the statement from the National Park Service read last week.

The National Park Service said the American flag flies in multiple locations throughout Denali National Park, including at campsites, on public and private vehicles and at employee residences.

However, when citizens went to check on Sunday, there was no flag flying at the Denali Park headquarters and workers on duty were not able to locate the flag.

The Federal Highway Administration, which is overseeing the contract for bridge construction work inside Denali National Park, has reiterated that the demand came from the Park Service.

Granite’s media statement “attributable to a Granite Spokesperson“:

Granite is a 100+ year-old American company. We are currently serving as the general contractor for the FHWA at the Polychrome site in Denali National Park. One of the Polychrome project’s partnership goals is to preserve the park’s natural elements and maintain park visitors’ experience by keeping a low profile as we go about our work, and we are mindful of this goal when planning our work and supporting the project. On May 16, 2024, our client notified us that a visitor complained that one of our vehicles was creating a noise disturbance by traveling through the park with a mounted flag and our client asked that the flag be removed. We always work to be responsive to our client’s concerns and complied. Our interest is in safely completing this important project while being considerate of park visitors and their desire to enjoy the scenery and wildlife. We are excited to partner with FHWA on the construction of this important project.

Granite is America’s Infrastructure CompanyTM, and we proudly display our nation’s flag at our offices, plants, and jobsites in Alaska – and across the United States.

The official statement from the U.S. Department of Transportation (for Federal Highway Administration):

“The Federal Highway Administration (FHWA) fully supports the display of American flags, and hopefully we can clear up some of the confusion about this incident. FHWA is currently administering the contract for ongoing work at Denali National Park to ensure visitors will be able to safely access the park via a new bridge. As is always the case with construction work in our national parks, the goal is to minimize impacts and noise for both visitors and wildlife as much as possible. NPS staff relayed concerns to FHWA — as it does with all feedback related to the project — regarding single occupant vehicle traffic, as well as a visitor complaint about flags on vehicles while the vehicles were in motion. FHWA brought both concerns to the responsible contractor, who addressed the situation per their usual process.”

This corroborates, in part, the version of events that came from construction workers, who said an FHA worker told Granite that the National Park Service had received a complaint about a flag on workers’ trucks early in the season. The complaint came before the tour buses started running on May 15.

In a separate statement to Alaska Public Media, FHA reported that it was about “the noise a bridge worker’s vehicle-mounted flag was making while travelling the Park Road.”

Last week’s statement in full from the National Park Service:

Reports that a National Park Service (NPS) official ordered the removal of an American flag from a Denali bridge construction worker’s vehicle at Denali National Park are false. At no time did an NPS official seek to ban the American flag from the project site or associated vehicles. The NPS neither administers the bridge project contract, nor has the authority to enforce terms or policies related to the contract or contractors performing the work. The American flag can be seen at various locations within Denali National Park – at park facilities and campsites, on public and private vehicles, and at employee residences – and we welcome its display this Memorial Day weekend and every day.”

The statement is carefully worded. The order to not fly the flag was reportedly not on the job site itself, which is under the purview of the Federal Highway Administration, but when vehicles went to and from the job site on the Park Road, which goes through the park from the Parks Highway. Must Read Alaska has verified the claim being made by construction workers, who stand by their version of the events.

Department of Interior Sec. Haaland raises ‘pride flag’ over federal property in advance of Pride Month

A few weeks after the National Park Service had told workers in Denali National Park not to drive through the park with American flags on their trucks, because it offended someone, Secretary of Interior Deb Haaland on Friday raised the “pride flag” over a federal memorial site in Washington, D.C. She used government employees to assist her.

“This Pride Month and every month, the @Interior team works to build a country that represents and welcomes each of us. I’m honored to celebrate our vibrant LGBTQI+ community worldwide and their countless contributions to our shared, equitable future. Happy Pride Month, everyone!” Haaland wrote on X.