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Alaska votes by the numbers: How different regions voted in the June 11 special congressional primary

While Tara Sweeney, a Republican, won 54% of the northernmost regional vote in Alaska in District 40, there were just not that many votes cast so far — just 1,234 altogether in the special primary election to temporarily fill Alaska’s empty congressional seat. Over 108,000 votes were counted late Saturday night in the special mail-in-only election. That was her stronghold and even with similar results in next-door District 39, it was not enough for her to break into the top four in the special election, in spite of having the most money spent on her campaign and the independent expenditure group supporting her. Sweeney not making the top four was one of the bigger surprises in the election results from the June 11 special primary.

Most election analysts believe the final four who will appear on the August 16 ballot for this temporary seat will be Sarah Palin, Nick Begich, Al Gross, and Mary Peltola.

House District 40 results, as of Saturday, June 11. Maps from this link.

House District 38, out in Western Alaska, was Mary Peltola country. She took the most votes in her home region, with 44%. Palin got 13.87% and Begich got 13.24%.

House District 38 results, as of Saturday, June 11. Maps from this link.

House District 37, the Bristol Bay and Aleutian Island region, went solidly for Palin, 31.52%, even though it is represented by state Rep. Bryce Edgmon, who was a Democrat until dropping the D from his name a few years ago, while still caucusing as a Democrat. House District 37 is 44% Alaska Native, and yet over 54% of the vote went to Republicans.

House District 37 results, as of Saturday, June 11. Maps from this link.

Meanwhile, down in the Ketchikan area, the southernmost populated region of Alaska, 2,288 votes were counted so far, with Sarah Palin winning 33% of the vote, Al Gross winning 20.3% and Nick Begich taking third place at 17.46%.

As for Juneau, Gross, who is in third place overall, did best in his hometown, where he got 25.8% of the vote. Begich came in second there, with 12%, and Palin at 11.5% of the 3,915 votes cast.

South Eagle River House District 14 went more for Begich, with 23.21%, and Palin with 17.64%. Gross placed third, 13.79%.

The rest of Anchorage saw Palin and Begich sharing over 50% of the vote, almost evenly, with 25.84% for Begich and 25.53% for Palin. Overall in Anchorage, Palin underperformed against her statewide average of 30%.

North Eagle River voters leaned into Palin, who over-performed her state average, with 32.34% of the vote in House District 13. Begich won 24.26% in this, his hometown.

Anchorage Assemblyman Chris Constant, in his home neighborhood of House District 20, only won 13.27% of the vote. The Democrats in Constant’s district ignored the Alaska Democratic Party endorsement of Constant. Instead, Republicans got over 33% of the vote even in downtown Anchorage. No-party candidate Gross got 14.88%, followed by Begich at 14%, and Palin at 12.52%.

In Wasilla House District 10, it was heavy Palin country; some 70% of the vote went for Republicans, with Palin getting 45.66% and Begich getting 22.1%.

House District 10 results, as of Saturday, June 11. Maps from this link.

The top 4 of the 48 candidates on the special primary election will go on to an Aug. 16 special general election, which will be decided by ranked-choice voting. 

View an interactive map showing the results from every district at this link.

The Division of Elections will release additional counts on June 15, 17, and 21. To date, 134,697 ballots have been received, with 4,772 of those ballots rejected by the board that is overseeing the ballots, for over a 3.4 percent rejection rate. More results at this link.

Every single one of the 48 candidates on the ballot received some votes.

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Results: Sarah Palin has big night, but all-important second spot goes to Nick Begich, as Republicans dominate final four for congressional seat

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10:30 pm update: 108,981 votes are counted of the expected 140,000 ballots.

9:30 pm update: With 48,736 67,650 ballots counted Saturday night in the special primary election that determines which four candidates will compete for the temporary congressional seat for Alaska, it looks like Sarah Palin is far in the lead, with Nick Begich following, and Al Gross in third place. Mary Peltola is in 4th place. The top four vote-getters will appear on a special general election ballot on Aug. 16, the same day as the regular primary election. Republicans got more than 57% 60% of the vote, while Democrats got 15% 26% of the vote, including Al Gross, a registered no-party candidate.

Some 587,174 ballots were mailed out to voters on April 27. With over 130,000 in, it appears 140,000 is the approximate number of ballots that can be expected. Over 60,000 ballots were returned to the division as undeliverable.

Palin and Begich dominate with over 50% of the vote.

The Division of Elections will release more results later tonight and on June 15, 17, and 21. Check back here.

Vote getters:

Sarah Palin: 32,371, 29.77%

Nick Begich: 20,994, 19.31%

Al Gross: 13,563, 12.47%

Mary Peltola: 8,101, 7.45%

Tara Sweeney: 5,712, 5.25%

Santa Claus: 4,864, 4.47%

Jeff Lowenfels: 4,195, 3.86%

Chris Constant: 3,805, 3.50%

Adam Wool: 1,675, 2.9%

John Coghill: 2,754, 2.53%

Josh Revak: 2,634, 2.42%

Emil Notti: 1,517, 1.40%

Andrew Halcro: 2,158, 1.98%

Check back for updates as we add data.

Notes from the trail: Candidates on parade

129,600 ballots were received by the Division of Elections by the reporting on Friday. There was quite a lot of people at the Gambell Street office of the Division of Elections.

On Saturday, candidates for Congress went to the places where they had the chance to see the people who support them most. Al Gross sign-waved in the rain in Juneau and was heading to Petersburg for election night. Sarah Palin walked the Colony Days Parade in heels with a cadre of friends, while Nick Begich was in the parade with a couple of trucks and quite a large group of people numbering about 20.

In the photo above, U.S. Senate candidate Kelly Tshibaka walked the Colony Days parade with about 25 supporters and a couple of trucks.

Sarah Palin walked the entire Colony Days Parade in high heels.
Nick Begich ha a good crowd with him at the Colony Days Parade.

Endorsements: Kim Guilfoyle, Donald Trump Jr.’s fiance, endorsed Sarah Palin for Congress. Donald Trump wrote on Truth Social one last plug for Palin: “Hopefully Alaska will get out today and vote for Sarah Palin in the special primary. She is a great person who will never let you down!”

Media: NewsMax story focuses on Palin’s chances.

Washington Post had yet another story on the congressional race. Here is the link.

Daily Wire has a Santa angle at this link.

CNN’s primary preview is here.

Must Read Alaska predicts that about 80 percent of the ballots received by today will be counted tonight by the Division of Elections. Check back for results by 9 pm.

Reversal: Supreme Court vacates judge’s injunction on election certification for today’s special primary

The Alaska Supreme Court today overruled an Anchorage Superior Court judge’s decision to prevent today’s special primary election from being certified.

On Friday, Anchorage Superior Court Judge Una Gandbhir, appointed by Gov. Bill Walker, had agreed with the Alaska Human Rights Commission that blind people in Alaska had not been given adequate access to voting a private ballot in this all-mail-in election. The lawsuit had been filed by the commission on behalf of an Anchorage man, with just three days left of the 44-day election for the temporary replacement for Congressman Don Young, who died in March. The commission had not offered the court a remedy to the situation.

Saturday morning, the Supreme Court took a different view and vacated the temporary injunction, reversing the order to stop the certification of the special election primary, which ends at 8 pm on Saturday.

When reached by phone, Gov. Mike Dunleavy, said, “At a time when Alaskans are being asked to cast their votes in a new electoral system and that system was made more complicated due to the untimely passing of Congressman Young, it is somewhat relieving that the Supreme Court appears to have instituted a little bit more stability and did not allow a last-minute lawsuit to disrupt an election that Alaskans already are concerned about and that has wide-ranging implications.”

The Supreme Court did not expand on its reasoning, saying it would issue the full opinion at a later date. Story and column from Friday are linked below the order:

Meltdown: Alaska judicial system is taking down our democracy through election interference

By SUZANNE DOWNING

With the stroke of a pen, a Superior Court judge in Anchorage has thrown the democratic election process into complete turmoil in Alaska.

Judge Una Gandbhir, with just one day before the end of a 44-day election cycle, has ruled that the special primary election results for the congressional race cannot be certified until the State Division of Elections makes sure all vision-impaired voters have access to adaptive computer devices allowing them to vote privately through the internet.

The special primary election is over a 8 pm on Saturday. That’s when the ballots would normally be counted and the bulk of the results announced by 9 pm. More counting and release of results would take place on the 15th, 17th, and 21st of July. Certification is set for the 25th. The top four vote-getters would be ready to go to the special general election, to be held on Aug. 16 along with the regular primary election.

It was always confusing, but now it’s pure chaos.

But Judge Gandbhir has created a corruptible or at least highly suspect election because, if the votes are counted on Saturday night as expected, and a result between two candidates is close, that means the visually impaired voters who have yet to vote will have more information than all the other 130,000 voters who had cast their ballots without knowing who is ahead.

Here’s a sample scenario that makes fraud possible: A close race between, say, Mary Peltola and Tara Sweeney for that coveted fourth place on general election ballot, would give a few vision-impaired voters the ability to sway the election with their votes, if the results are announced Saturday. That is why the results cannot be announced — a few voters would have the possibility of deciding that fourth slot on the ballot because they would go into the voting booth with more information.

It’s outrageous. But it didn’t need to happen. The director of the Division of Elections made the decision soon after the death of Congressman Don Young that the only way to stay on a schedule that meets the statutory requirements for temporarily filling the congressional seat was to do an all-mail-in election.

Gail Fenumiai, the director, said in March that a regularly conducted primary could not be done because she did not have time to hire and train temporary election workers and deploy them around the state in all the precincts.

And so here we are, with a court case that shows that Fenumiai erred in recommending the state just turn to an all-mail election. In hindsight, it would have been better to bring back all the former election workers and stand up an election in the traditional method.

Instead, Alaska is at a crossroads where if the votes that have been cast are not counted, and are just sitting in a vault, the voters will have even less confidence in the Division of Elections than they now do. And their confidence is already shaken.

Or, if the Division of Elections counts the ballots on Saturday but does not release the results until the blind voters have had a chance to use an adaptive device, the electorate will lose all confidence. Voters will have suspicions that the results will be leaked to a chosen few, and there will be no convincing them otherwise.

The Gandbhir ruling creates the perfect storm in a year when Ballot Measure 2, with its jungle primary and ranked choice general election, has already created chaos and distrust in our election system.

In fact, an argument can be made that Ballot Measure 2 led us to this place, where we have to have a primary and a general just to fill a four- or five-month seat in Congress. Under our former system, we could have done the job with just one election, but no, Ballot Measure 2 forces Alaska into two elections for the temporary seat, and two elections for the regular seat — four statewide elections in one year, driving up costs and driving down confidence.

This becomes even more tangled because the author of Ballot Measure 2 is also working as the lawyer for the independent expenditure group for candidate Sweeney.

Yes, that old name Scott Kendall — the chief of staff for former Gov. Bill Walker, and author of so many bad ideas in Alaska — brought Ballot Measure 2 to voters with the help of millions of Outside dollars, convincing voters this would be a more civilized way to do elections.

Knowing that Kendall is involved in the congressional races, which could be decided by a handful of blind voters, is disconcerting. Giving Kendall a few more days to muck around in our elections is a scary thought. But watching a judge rule that an election cannot be certified is nothing short of election interference by the courts.

Suzanne Downing is publisher of Must Read Alaska.

Breaking: Judge rules against state, which cannot certify the election until blind voters have full and fair vote

A Superior Court judge has ruled the State of Alaska cannot certify the current mail-in election because the Division of Elections did not provide an adequate way for blind people to vote privately in all areas of the state. The election ends at 8 pm Saturday.

The State Department of Law is asking the Alaska Supreme Court to reverse the injunction, which was written by Superior Court Judge Una Gahdbhir.

The ruling throws a monkey wrench into the hurry-up election put together by the Elections Division to get the special primary election completed in the legal timeframe. When Congressman Don Young died on March 18, the Elections Division Director Gail Fenumiai and Lt. Gov. Kevin Meyer decided to do the state’s first all-mail-in election. Ballots went out in the mail on April 27, and must be postmarked by June 11. Over 121,000 ballots have been cast in this election, as of Wednesday.

Certification was set for June 25 by the Division of Elections.

The judge did not provide a remedy for getting private voting options for visually impaired people. The Alaska Human Rights Commission sued on Wednesday, giving the State little time to remedy the problem of ensuring that blind people could cast a ballot in secret, as seeing people are able to do with the paper ballots.

The Elections Division will be able to count votes on Saturday night, but if the delay continues, it could impact when the State holds the special general.

Yet, if the election results are made public, and there is a very close race, those public results could theoretically end up swaying the final tally, if there are enough blind voters who decide to vote.

Right now the primary election for the regular election is Aug. 16, and if the special primary election certification is delayed, the special general could be delayed by a few weeks. Will the Division of Election also conduct that one by mail only?

One thing is certain, the ruling derails the ability of the Election Division to meet the statutory timeframe for the special general election to be on the same day as the regular primary election.

Notes from the trail: It’s all over but the shouting

More than 121,000 votes were logged in as of yesterday at the Division of Elections for the special primary election for Alaska’s congressional seat. We’re now on the 24+-hour watch, with Division of Elections reporting out the majority (we presume, but they won’t say) of the votes by 9 pm on Saturday. Must Read Alaska will be reporting from Soldotna on Saturday.

Colony Day Parade: Look for lots of candidates to have entries in the parade in Palmer Saturday, including Rep. DeLena Johnson and Sen. Shelley Hughes. Nick Begich for Congress will have a truck, but we’re not expecting candidates Tara Sweeney or Mary Peltola to look for last-minute Valley votes. All of the candidates are going where the crowds are most receptive on Saturday.

Media gaffe: Bloomberg’s report, above, shows why congressional candidate Nick Begich has the highest hill to climb in this election. The report said “Mark Begich,” the name that is kryptonite for Nick, the conservative in the family who is always having to battle the old leftist uncles…who have endorsed rival Chris Constant for Congress. That is a groaner for the Nick campaign, which is now referring to him as NBIII, understandably.

On the other hand, at least the national news group mentioned Must Read Alaska, even if it was an old poll from April:

More media: New York Times has a roundup of the Alaska race at this link.

FiveThirtyEight, the Nate Silver polling and survey site, has a story here.

Slate jumped in with a story at this link.

Mother Jones got in on the action with this story.

Running through the tape: About 80 people attended the Nick Begich for Congress fundraiser at the Keith Manternach hangar in Anchorage on Thursday, and there were a lot of new faces. Photo at top of page captures some of the vibe, which was upbeat and casual.

Kelly Tshibaka and the bikers: Tshibaka, running for U.S. Senate, is on the Kenai with Chris Cox, founder of Bikers for Trump, and a lot of Trump and Tshibaka fans. They’re doing door-to-door campaigning.

Jamie Allard: Restriction of speech is red flag of tyranny

By JAMIE ALLARD

Freedom of speech: Is there any right more paramount to a free society? Without freedom of speech, there is no freedom of thought. And without freedom of thought, there is no wisdom. And without wisdom, a government will crumble. For to govern with wisdom, you must set the ideas free and the good ones will rise to the top. Just as truth will always find the light of day, so too will the good ideas rise above the scrutiny of public discourse. The restriction of speech is a red flag of tyranny.

“Freedom of speech is a principal pillar of a free government; when this support is taken away, the constitution of a free society is dissolved, and tyranny is erected on its ruins.” – Benjamin Franklin  

If a bad idea cannot be challenged, nor a good idea tested, then we are left with a vacuum filled by power hungry politicians, who espouse their own agendas and would silence those who dare to disagree. Leaders who resort to censorship are threatened by free speech, because the power of the people would shut down their self-interests and politically biased decisions.  

On several occasions, and lately becoming more the norm, I have been censored in public meetings. I have had my microphone muted, I have been ignored, deemed “out of order,” when it was within my right to call a point of order, and told to stop talking.

As an elected representative, when they silence me, they silence you. The question is why? What are they so afraid of? Are my words really so scary? Does listening to my point of view pose such a threat? If they can’t hear what I have to say, they certainly don’t care what you have to say.  

My colleagues on the Anchorage Assembly have been allowed to ask questions, interrupt, imply motive, make comments out of debate, debate testifiers during public comment periods, and generally not been held to the same standards and rules of decorum as I have been held.

Now, I am not suggesting we throw rules to the wind and let chaos control an Assembly meeting. I am suggesting that silencing someone when it is their turn to speak because you do not like what they have to say is just plain wrong. Less than the glaringly obvious political bias, what concerns me most is this the naked censorship. We may not agree on how to govern this city, but we should agree on the fundamental principles which we have pledged an oath to uphold.  

The line between a free society and the Gulag is as narrow as the stroke of a pen. For one act of censorship requires another and another until all speech is regulated to conform to an ideology. Free speech has fueled every great advancement the human race has ever achieved. But censorship is the slippery slope to all tyrannies perpetuated on people since time immemorial. We must do better. Do I like to sit and endure the name calling and accusations that sometimes come from the public? Of course not. But I will defend to the death their right to say it.

If we cannot preserve the fundamental freedoms of this nation, we have failed in our duty as public servants.  

Jamie Allard is an Anchorage Assembly member representing Chugiak and Eagle River.

Jamie Allard: Alaska Freedom Convoy 2022

Dept. of Law has ‘serious concerns’ about timing of special congressional election lawsuit

By KIM JARRETT | THE CENTER SQUARE

Officials with the Alaska Law Department say they have “serious concerns” about the timing of a lawsuit challenging Saturday’s special congressional election. 

The Alaska State Commission on Human Rights is suing Lt. Gov. Kevin Meyer and the Alaska Division of Elections over the mail-only election on behalf of a visually-impaired voter identified as “B.L.” 

“B.L. filed a complaint with ASCHR on May 15, 2022, alleging that the ballot is not accessible to a visually impaired individual and that the DOE is engaging in discrimination on the basis of a disability based on its failure to provide accessible ballots or voting machines throughout the state, denying B.L and similarly-situated voters equal access to its services,” the lawsuit states. “Despite several meetings with ASCHR before and after the filing of B.L.’s ASCHR complaint over the lack of reasonable accommodations for visually impaired voters over the course of the last several weeks, the DOE does not plan to place touch screen voting machines at more than five locations throughout the State.”

The plaintiffs are asking elections officials not to certify the election “until such time as visually impaired Alaska voters are given a full and fair opportunity to participate in such election.”

A spokeswoman with the Department of Law said the office is still reviewing the lawsuit. 

“The Division of Elections has serious concerns about the timing of this lawsuit and will ask that the court not upset the constitutionally and statutorily required special election, for which ballots were sent out over a month ago,” said Patty Sullivan, a spokeswoman for the Department of Law in an emailed statement. “These issues could have been raised much earlier, and the Division has not done anything differently than what it has done in the past for absentee voting. We are hopeful the court will agree.”

The Division of Elections “has systems in place to help all voters exercise their right to vote, even in a mail-in election.” Sullivan said

“A voter can get the assistance of a trusted person to complete the ballot received in the mail in the comfort of their own home,” Sullivan said. “Election workers can help voters with their ballots at any absentee-in-person location or division office. Or voters can fill out a ballot privately online using their own computer or tablet set to their own specifications. And, at division regional offices, tablets are available to fill out the ballot digitally for those who need it.”

Forty-eight candidates are vying to serve the remaining four months of the late U.S. Rep. Don Young’s term. Ballots must be postmarked by Saturday. More than 121,000 ballots had been received back at the Division of Elections as of Thursday.

The top four vote-getters will advance to a runoff held during the Aug. 16 primary.