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Randy Ruedrich: New ranked choice voting explained

By RANDY RUEDRICH

Alaskans will soon encounter a new primary and general election process.   

No Alaskan Republican primary exists to select a Republican nominee for the general election ballot. Primary battles are gone.

The Republican candidates who advance to the general election ballot need to view each other as team members. If not, Alaska may elect Democrats.

The Aug. 16, 2022, Alaska primary process will forward up to four candidates to the November general election ballot. If six candidates are running for an Alaska State House seat, the four candidates receiving the most primary votes advance to the general election ballot.

Those four may be any combination of Republicans, Democrats, and other candidates. For instance, a Kenai State House primary could send four Republicans to the general election ballot. Similarly, a Juneau State House primary could send four Democrats to the general election ballot.

Key detail for Alaska primary voters:  Vote your conscience for your preferred primary primary candidate to get that candidate on the general election ballot. Think of the primary as a track meet’s qualifying heat. The top four primary vote-getters earn slots on the general election ballot.  

These four candidates advance to a general election with Ranked-Choice Voting (RCV).  Alaska voters may rank the four candidates from 1st to 4th. Initially, the 1st choice votes are tallied. 

If a candidate gets 50% +1 votes, Alaska has a winner, and the counting is done. If no candidate collects 50%+1 of the 1st choice votes, the 2nd choice votes come into play. Here’s how:

If your candidate finished fourth and you made no other selections, your ballot is exhausted and has no further impact in the election. That’s why each voter must select at least a 2nd choice candidate to stay in this RCV counting.   

The eliminated 4th place candidate’s ballots are reprocessed to count these voters’ 2nd choice votes. This second tabulation adds these 2nd choice votes to generate new tallies of the remaining three candidates. If a candidate has 50% + 1 votes after the second tabulation, Alaska has a winner, and the count is complete.   

Remember, ballots with no active remaining choices are gone from the tabulations. Only one conservative or moderate candidate in each race is the worst in your opinion. As an example, the 3rd Republican team member that you dislike is your 3rd choice. A Democrat is never your choice.

If no candidate has 50% + 1 votes after the second tabulation, the 3rd place candidate’s ballots are reprocessed to count these voters’ next remaining choice for the remaining two candidates.   

The State of Maine used a ranked choice voting system in 2018. Incumbent Republican Bruce Poliquin received 46.33% of the 1st choice votes. Democrat Jared Golden took 45.58% of 1st choice votes.  Two Independents had 8.08%. The 2nd Congressional District race was flipped in the Maine RCV counting process. When the 2nd choice votes for the Independents were counted, Democrat Jared Golden gathered 50.62% of the vote and Republican Poliquin lost with 49.38% of the vote. The Democrat won by 3,539 votes. 

Some 8,253 voters did not make a 2nd choice. These 8,253 missing votes should have recruited to support the Republican team.  

So remember, in the 2022 elections: Vote for your favorite candidate in the primary. Rank your conservative and moderate candidate team members on the general election ballot from first to last. A Democrat is never your choice.

Randy Ruedrich is president of Arctic E & P Advisors and former chairman of the Alaska Republican Party.

Anchorage reapportionment map hearing added for March 15

The Anchorage Assembly has voted to move ahead with reapportionment Map 11v2, offered by Assemblyman John Weddleton. Assembly members have until March 7 to propose amendments to the map, which creates new boundaries for all 12 Anchorage Assembly seats.

Those amendments will be posted on the Reapportionment Committee’s website by March 14, and a public hearing on the map and amendments is scheduled for the Assembly meeting of March 15; the meeting begins at 6 pm. A final vote on the map is scheduled for a special Assembly meeting on March 23.

Reapportionment happens after the federal census is taken, whenever Anchorage’s population has shifted in such a way that the districts are no longer roughly equivalent in population. For the process, which is a political exercise bounded by some rules, the Assembly serves as the reapportionment committee.

Jim Wojciehowski: Vaccine mandates and the ‘silent nine’

By JIM WOJCIEHOWSKI

In November of 2020 I became active in attempting to communicate with the Anchorage Assembly and then-acting Mayor Austin Quinn-Davidson concerning fresh data regarding Covid-19.  The vast majority of my assembly meeting presentations and emails communications included scientific references, as well as peer-reviewed and medical journal articles with links to the source material.

Occasionally I would receive a reply asking specific questions concerning the data. Many times the replies would cite mainstream media opinion pieces in CNN, USA Today, or the New York Times, never actual source data. Over time, the responses dwindled. 

Four months ago I began asking Mayor Dave Bronson and the 11 Assembly members two simple questions.  I told them I would be happy with a simple “yes” or “no” answer.  

1)  Do you support mandatory Covid vaccination to maintain employment, enter businesses, receive healthcare, or fly (vaccine passports)?

2)  Do you support mandatory Covid vaccination for school children to attend classes?

I received answers from Mayor Bronson, Assemblywoman Jamie Allard, and Assemblywoman Crystal Kennedy. The answers from all three could be summarized as a firm no for both questions.  

Not understanding why the remaining nine members were reluctant to answer two simple questions I persisted asking in numerous emails.  To this day I’ve yet to get a reply from the “silent nine.” 

These are important questions, especially considering four of the nine members who remain silent are running for reelection this April. 

I’m a resident of District 5 and neither of my Assembly representatives will answer. One, Forrest Dunbar, is running for reelection.

Last week I decided to reach out to other candidates running for assembly seats.  At the time of this writing I’ve received answer from three candidates.

Stephanie Taylor, District 5 candidate replied, “For the record, I support freedom over force.  No and No.”

Randy Sulte, District 6 candidate replied, “1) I am against vaccine mandates. It is a personal choice between you, your family and your physician. 2) I do not support mandatory Covid vaccination for school age children. Again, this is a matter for the child’s parents, guardian and physician.”

Kathy Henslee, District 4 Candidate replied, “These are important questions. I do not support vaccine mandates for adults or children. Adults can make informed decisions about their health and parents have the best information and intentions for their children. I support freedom, choice and medical privacy. These are some of the things that make America such a great place to live!”

Henslee, in her reply, asked me how I would answer the same two questions.  

As a member of a higher-risk age category, I completed the two shot Moderna series in February 2021. My wife and I also volunteered at the Anchorage School District vaccination location in the spring of 2021. Obviously, I am not anti-vaxx. A couple of sitting members of the Assembly  have, however, labeled me as both “anti-vaxx” and a “Covid denier.” These are labels thrown about by those not willing to have a civil debate.

I am emphatically against Covid vaccine mandates. I retired as a family practice physician assistant and throughout my career I always involved my patients in the discussion of a treatment plan. There is no place for a one-size-fits-all approach to medicine. You must always weigh the risks vs. the benefits on an individual basis. Mandates remove that ability for health care providers and patients alike. 

Jim Wojciehowski is a retired physician assistant who has attended numerous Anchorage Assembly meetings and has testified about the Covid policies of the former mayors and Anchorage Assembly.

Win Gruening: Can Eaglecrest support itself with gondola?

By WIN GRUENING

To maximize the economic potential of Juneau’s municipally owned ski area, the City and Borough Assembly this week conditionally approved a $2 million investment in a used gondola system for year-round operations. An additional $6.2 million will be required for construction and installation.

This is a huge step on the road to Eaglecrest’s self-sufficiency.

Full disclosure: I’ve been a fan of Eaglecrest since its inception.  Growing up in Juneau in the 1950-60’s,  I hiked three miles up into the Douglas Ski Bowl to ski on a short tow rope staffed by volunteers. Decades later, when the Eaglecrest Ski Area was built, I served on its first board of directors. My kids learned to ski there and I spent many weekends driving them to lessons, working Mitey Mite races, and helping to raise money for the Juneau Ski Club.

Eaglecrest is unique in allowing families to participate in a sport together outdoors in Juneau’s natural surroundings.  Skiing is a multi-generational activity enjoyed by residents and visitors alike and, with Juneau’s school programs, is available inexpensively to kids of all abilities and income levels.

Like other CBJ recreation venues; swimming pools, softball fields, hockey rink, trails and parks, it requires a subsidy from the city.  Despite Juneau’s variable weather and snowfall, it has historically recouped 70% of its operational expenses.

Ever since its beginning, ideas to minimize Eaglecrest’s financial subsidy have been discussed. Privatization and housing developments were considered and discarded as impractical. However, as Juneau’s visitor industry has developed, it became clear that a summer operation was feasible.

In 2019, Juneau Mayor Beth Weldon formed an Eaglecrest Summer Operations Task Force comprised of members of the Eaglecrest Board and CBJ Assembly. Since then, over two dozen public meetings have been held while researching possible summer operation opportunities. This has resulted in a projected operations plan encompassing a number of adventure rides and amenities, including a gondola lift, which would complement Eaglecrest’s summer zipline tour that has operated since 2006.  

A public meeting was held recently via Zoom hosted by Eaglecrest General Manager Dave Scanlan. He outlined the current request and answered questions from the public for almost two hours.  Several important points were highlighted during this presentation.

  • The total $8.2 million gondola cost (installed including contingency) is approximately one-third the cost of purchasing a new turnkey system.
  • This wouldn’t just benefit visitors.  A gondola ride would open up Eaglecrest to a whole new alpine experience for locals for hiking, snowshoeing, tubing, mountain biking, and other activities, such as a mountain coaster and expanded Nordic ski trails.
  • At historic visitor levels, an Eaglecrest summer program would not compete directly with existing visitor venues but would complement them. Local tour operators would partner on offerings. Eaglecrest will also be catering to a younger, more active visitor base than has been the norm in the past.
  • Additional summer bus traffic on North Douglas Highway would constitute a fraction of that generated by the hundreds of skiers who visit Eaglecrest on a winter day. 
  • Planning has focused on confining summer tourism activities to an area that minimizes conflict with traditional local uses at Eaglecrest.
  • If the gondola project ultimately fails to materialize, the purchased system will still retain its value and could be re-sold to recover costs.
  • Extensive financial modeling and research indicate that a combination of grants, loans, and public/private partnerships could finance the venture and allow Eaglecrest to eliminate the current city subsidy.  Information on the Eaglecrest summer development program and financial projections can be viewed at https://skieaglecrest.com/summer/.

The current $2 million appropriation only secures the purchase and delivery of the gondola system and the CBJ Assembly has requested additional financial information prior to its shipment to Juneau. As I have called for in other city-owned projects, Eaglecrest should expect a rigorous examination of its financial projections and any market studies before proceeding to the next level allowing construction and installation.

Nevertheless, the case made thus far is compelling and deserves serious consideration. 

As envisioned, this concept would not only enhance Juneau as a travel destination and open up recreational opportunities for residents, but it would also free up precious tax dollars for other CBJ activities.

After retiring as the senior vice president in charge of business banking for Key Bank in Alaska, Win Gruening became a regular opinion page columnist for the Juneau Empire. He was born and raised in Juneau and graduated from the U.S. Air Force Academy in 1970. He is involved in various local and statewide organizations.

International atomic agency on watch as Europe’s largest nuclear power plant under attack by Russians

According to the International Atomic Energy Agency, the Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant in Ukraine had been shelled by Russian forces overnight and one building on the site was burned, although the fire appears to be extinguished. The agency describes it as a serious situation. Others said it was a training building, not the nuclear reactor itself.

News reports from agencies on the ground report Russian troops at the entrance of the power plant engaged in active combat with Ukrainians defending the plant.

IAEA official updates are at this link.

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky said, “Europe must wake up now. The largest nuclear station in Europe is on fire. Right now Russian tanks are shelling nuclear units. These are the tanks that have thermal vision, so they know where they are shelling. They prepared for it,” according to translated reports.

IAEA Director General Rafael Mariano Grossi appealed for a halt of the use of force and warned of severe danger if any reactors were hit. He is expected to hold a press conference at 10:30 Central European Time on Friday.

The Ukraine regulatory authority said a fire had not affected essential equipment and plant personnel were mitigating the situation. So far, there are no reported change in radiation levels at the plant, it said.

The IAEA has put its Incident and Emergency Centre in full response mode due to the situation at the power plant, which is the largest nuclear power plant in Europe.

It’s unclear who has control of the nuclear power plant at this point. Russians have already seized control of the mothballed Chernobyl nuclear plant, the site of the worst nuclear disaster in world history. 

Florida legislature passes 15-week abortion ban, as Murkowski seeks to codify abortion in federal law

Abortion is in the news again: The Florida State Senate on Thursday evening passed a bill that bans abortions after 15 weeks of pregnancy, with some exceptions. Gov. Ron DeSantis has signaled he intends to support it. The Senate passed the bill 23-15, after the Florida House passed it last month.

“The bill … is part of a sweeping push by Republicans to put the state at the forefront of the nation’s culture wars,” the New York Times wrote.

Meanwhile, Alaska Sen. Lisa Murkowski co-introduced a bill in the Senate that would codify Roe vs. Wade into federal law, permitting widespread ability for mothers to destroy their pre-born children.

The Murkowski legislation, offered along with Maine Sen. Susan Collins, would prevent laws like the one DeSantis appears to be ready to sign.

“IN GENERAL. — A State ….may not impose an undue burden on the ability of a woman to choose whether or not to terminate a pregnancy before fetal viability; may restrict the ability of a woman to choose whether or not to terminate a pregnancy after fetal viability, unless such a termination is necessary to preserve the life or health of the woman; and may enact regulations to further the health or safety of a woman seeking to terminate a pregnancy…”

Breaking: No campaign donation limits at all in Alaska

There are no limits on campaign donations in Alaska right now.

In light of the Ninth Circuit Court of Appeals ruling in Thompson v. Hebdon, the Alaska Public Offices Commission staff issued a draft advisory opinion last fall concerning contribution limits to campaigns, setting the new limit at $1,500. The amount was set arbitrarily by staff to be in the spirit of the previous $500 limit, struck down by the court, and to adjust for inflation to something more reasonable.

That staff opinion was struck down by the Commission itself on March 3, 2022, when the commission issued a final order, saying, “there are no longer any individual-to-candidate; individual-to-non-political party; non-political party group-to-candidate; and non-political party group-to-non-political party contributions for Alaska’s state and local elections.

At the same time, the Commission implored the Legislature to come up with new campaign limit legislation that voters would approve.

The ruling means unless the Legislature makes a new law that holds up in court, an unlimited amount of cash may be spent in Alaska races, clearly a game changer for a state that, until last summer, had the strictest limits on contributions of any state.

This story will be updated.

Dunleavy unleashes state sanctions on Russia

Alaska Gov. Mike Dunleavy issued a list of state actions and proposed federal actions to pressure Vladimir Putin to end the war on Ukraine.

“As a response to President Vladimir Putin’s war on Ukraine, we all need to do our part to support countries and people who believe in freedom,” Dunleavy said. 

Dunleavy directed state agencies to identify Russian products and contracts and divest of the relationships, and called on state-owned corporations to do the same. The governor included the Alaska Permanent Fund, directing his comments to the independent board of trustees for the Permanent Fund.

Dunleavy called on President Joe Biden to create an expedited process to permit energy projects of all kinds, and to declare a national energy emergency for all forms of energy. He asked Biden to stop buying oil from Russia and to ban Russian seafood imports.

He also reached out to Alaska businesses and entities to do the same.

“I call upon all Alaska businesses to divest from Russian companies. I call upon businesses to stop selling Russian products. I’m calling on all Alaskans to not purchase Russian products or services,” he said. He asked Alaska sister cities to cut ties with Russian sister cities and for Alaska universities to stop any cultural exchange programs with Russia, and to cut all ties with Russian contractors.

“I will work with the appropriate agencies to identify Alaska as a place of refuge for Ukrainians who pass the appropriate background checks,” he said in his statement. “The United States and our allies must become independent of Russian energy, and we must accelerate that process immediately. These decisions are not meant to hurt our Alaskan friends of Russian background or to put blame for President Putin’s actions on the people he is violently silencing.”

Dunleavy said he will work with the Legislature on any additional measures to put pressure on the Putin regime to end the war against Ukraine.

Murkowski, Manchin lead Senate effort to block Russian oil

Alaska Sen. Lisa Murkowski and West Virginia Sen. Joe Manchin led a bipartisan group of lawmakers, including Alaska Sen. Dan Sullivan, in introducing a bill Thursday that would ban oil imports from Russia, in response to its war on Ukraine. The bill would declare a national emergency with respect to the country’s national security, foreign policy, and economy.

The bill directs the president to prohibit imports of crude oil, petroleum, petroleum products, LNG, and coal from Russia. The president has already had the authority to take these actions since 1917, and this new legislation does not grant additional authority. The ban would be in place during the national emergency and either the president or Congress would be able to terminate the emergency and the import ban. 

“The world is watching in shock as Russia wages an unprovoked war on Ukraine, killing innocents as it attempts to destroy a fragile democracy. While the Biden administration has taken noteworthy steps to try to convince Vladimir Putin and his regime to stand down, we need an all-encompassing approach that uses every viable tool at our disposal. By leaving Russia’s energy exports untouched, the United States is ignoring one of our most potent options to stop the bloodshed. We must ban Russia’s energy imports into the U.S. so that Americans aren’t forced to help finance their growing atrocities and halt the Russian aggression. I’m proud to sponsor this bill with Senator Manchin and urge the Senate to pass it immediately,” said Sen. Murkowski.

“The entire world is on edge as Vladimir Putin terrorizes the sovereign democratic nation of Ukraine. The U.S. cannot continue to purchase more than half a million barrels of oil per day because in doing so, we are emboldening Putin to continue using his greatest weapon of war – energy exports,” said Manchin. “The Ban Russian Energy Imports Act would declare a national emergency with respect to Russian aggression and immediately prohibit the importation of Russian energy products. Importantly, this bipartisan bill shows our strong commitment to stand behind the valiant efforts of the Ukrainian people and the measures our allies in Europe are taking to rebuke Putin and his continued aggression. I urge Leader Schumer to quickly bring this bipartisan bill to the floor and urge my colleagues on both sides of the aisle to support it.”

Manchin chairs the Senate Energy and Natural Resources Committee, and Murkowski is the senior member of that committee. Their “Ban Russian Energy Imports Act” was also signed by Senators John Tester (D-MT), Susan Collins (R-ME), Angus King (I-ME), Lindsey Graham (R-SC), Brian Schatz (D-HI), Steve Daines (R-MT), Mazie Hirono (D-HI), Dan Sullivan (R-AK), Mark Kelly (D-AZ), Shelley Moore Capito (R-WV), John Hickenlooper (D-CO), Kevin Cramer (R-ND), Mark Warner (D-VA), Bill Cassidy (R-LA), Richard Blumenthal (D-CT) and Rob Portman (R-OH).

Reps. Brian Fitzpatrick (R-PA) and Josh Gottheimer (D-NJ) will introduce companion legislation in the U.S. House of Representatives.

In 2021, the United States imported an average of 670,000 barrels of oil and petroleum products, with a high of 848,000 barrels per day in June 2021, with imports up 24% in 2021 over 2020.

The U.S. has also imported Russian LNG and coal despite having some of the largest reserves domestically. This import strategy puts American national security at risk and supports Vladimir Putin’s ability to stay in power.