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Time to let go and get it right

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By SEN. SHELLEY HUGHES

The sound of the crowd is at fever pitch. The intensity is explosive. “Reduce the budget”vs. “find new revenues” is the fierce battle of tug-of-war underway in Alaska.

Let’s take a good look at the players.

On the “New Revenue” end, rope fibers fray as two team players struggle for the lead position while audience members break into factions, some fans of “Raise-Oil-Taxes”, others cheering “Raid-the-PFD”, and some ecstatic and googly-eyed because of the potential windfall for government if both players stay in the game and win. 

At the same time, a loud bass sound rumbles as a wave in a large packed section in the stands rises and chants boos in unison. The “Hands-off-Our PFDs” crowd boisterously bellows against the “Raid the PFD” challenger. Thundering shouts and another wave pick up in the bleachers from the “Bad-Unfair-Tax” crowd as they rail against the “Raise-Oil Taxes” contestant. 

Meanwhile, on the “Reduce the Budget” end of Alaska’s tug-of-war rope, a very tall player with scissors in his pocket is checking the tension on the rope as every few minutes team members, also with scissors in pockets, rotate on the line to lend a hand and give a good, strong tug. 

The noisy clamor on this end is not so confusing. It’s just two groups in an uproar. The “Wailing-and-Gnashing-of-Teeth” crowd sobs incessantly that life in Alaska as we know it will end if these guys win. The “Necessary-efficiencies-everyone-duh” crowd rolls their eyes at the wailers, followed by jumps and shouts of glee when they notice their favorite team’s scissors sparkle in the sunlight.

What a scene. Without an emerging victor in sight, could there ever be a more fractured crowd or more opposing forces?

This tug-of-war has been underway for five years. That’s right: five years. Ever since the price of oil dropped.

Here’s the good news. The tug-of-war has to end soon. Why (and this is the bad news)? Savings have dwindled. Incoming revenues don’t match spending. This is catapulting us to a new point, to a crossroads, and we have no choice but to act.

So does that mean one team just all of a sudden needs to pull harder, cause pain and rope-burns, and break the stalemate? That could happen but it’s unlikely – if the last five years mean anything.

At this crossroads, I believe it’s time to ask: Is there a better way? And is it possible for this to end well? The answer to both questions is yes.

I say, it’s time to let go of the rope, everybody. Set it down. 

What we need now is pivotal and factual budget information and answers to questions to know whether and where we can reduce and whether and where state services are lacking. And we don’t need political responses to those questions. We need objective, unbiased responses. 

What Alaska needs now as we broach this crossroads is an objective, unbiased State Auditor who is independent, neither beholden to the Legislature or to the Governor, but who is accountable to the people of Alaska. State services are for the people and revenues are derived from the people. Who better than the people to hold this position accountable? 

We can fight and bicker over whether we need more or less money in the budget along majority/minority or party lines. We can fight based on our own perspectives and biases. We can fight over our most, or our least favorite programs. We can pit one special interest group against another.

But wouldn’t it be better to get factual data, to get expert recommendations with the effectiveness, efficiencies, statute requirements, constitutional obligations of each program, of each division, of each department factored into the equation, from someone who has no skin in the game, from someone who abides by approved standards, principles, and practices, from someone who has the time day in and day out to get into the weeds, from someone who has the skills, the training, the focus and does not stand to benefit one way or the other? Yes, this would be better.

I’ve observed how well this concept has worked on a small scale each year as the auditor we do have (with her small team) under the direction of the Legislative Budget and Audit Committee presents reports on limited items, such as on professional boards. The respect for and acceptance of the report and recommendations is typical across the political spectrum. It works quite beautifully, actually.

This is what we need now, budget-wide. Independent, objective audits of each and every program, division, department. Along with recommendations for improved effectiveness and efficiencies, we can also root out fraud and abuse. How is this not a good thing?

Surely this is a better way forward than the tug-of-war. It would be much more of a win-win to boot. 

Once we know we’re not spending wastefully, and that we’re spending enough to adequately provide state services, we will have the much-needed budget baseline which can be adjusted annually for inflation. This will give us assurance to address the spending cap that’s over-inflated and outdated in the state constitution; we’ll have confidence that the adjusted cap will be enough but not too much. We will sleep at night knowing we’re not going to sink the next generation.

Very, very importantly: this will also allow us to know if we do need to turn on a new revenue tax spigot. With our very small population, it’s vital to get our budget to the right level. We simply do not have enough people to carry an over-sized budget on our backs. Tax spigots rarely are turned off or down. Starting at a budget baseline that’s too high for our low population and increases that exceed inflation would be harmful for the economy and hard on Alaskans (and undoubtedly spur out-migration from Alaska – resulting in fewer backs to bear the burden).

I’ve spoken about the concept of an objective State Auditor with Alaskans since oil prices dropped. The reception has been warm and welcoming. I think the time is now. If you think so too, please let me, your legislators, and the governor know.

Senator Shelley Hughes represents District F – Chugiak/Palmer.

Murder #31: Shooting at Black Angus Inn

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A man was shot inside the Black Angus Inn in Anchorage on Monday afternoon, and was declared dead shortly after arriving at the hospital. Police say this is a homicide.

It’s the 31st murder in Anchorage in 2019, and the fourth homicide in the past week. It’s the fifth shooting at or near the Black Angus Inn at 14th and Gambell since January, 2018.

No arrest have been made but police are saying it’s an isolated incident and there is no public safety concern.

Anchorage set a homicide record for the municipality in 2017 with 37 murders, and saw 28 murders in 2018.


Mike Barnhill, new acting Revenue commissioner

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Mike Barnhill, who has been the director of Policy in the Office of Management and Budget, has been named acting commissioner of the Alaska Department of Revenue.

Barnhill assumes his new role with the Department of Revenue tomorrow, Dec. 3. Bruce Tangeman resigned last month, agreeing to stay on to make a transition to a new commissioner.

Barnhill has a long and distinguished record of public service with the State of Alaska spanning two decades, said Gov. Mike Dunleavy. He is a former deputy commissioner in both the Departments of Revenue and Administration, and served as an assistant attorney general in the Department of Law.

The announcement of Barnhill moving to Revenue comes just days before the governor’s Fiscal Year 2021 budget is due.

Barnhill is a graduate Cornell Law School, where he was editor of the Cornell International Law Journal. He earned his undergraduate degree in religious studies and history from the College of Wooster.

Mel Gillis is the newest representative for District 25

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A plain-spoken Alaskan who started out 76 years ago in Kilgore, Texas as one of four boys raised by a single mom, is the newest member of the Alaska House of Representatives.

It’s a classic “only in Alaska” life story that began in a small town in East Texas, where Mel Gillis grew up hunting rabbits and squirrel, and where he left to seek his fortune in Alaska.

Gillis was sworn in by House Speaker Bryce Edgmon this afternoon after the Republican caucus met and approved him unanimously.

His rise to the House of Representatives occurred after a series of unforeseen events: Sen. Chris Birch died quite suddenly this summer, and Rep. Josh Revak moved to the Senate to represent Senate Seat M, opening up the District 25 seat.

Gillis, who is a hunting guide by trade, was on an elk hunt in Idaho when he decided to throw his name in the ring for consideration. He had to hustle into the nearest town and find a fax machine, write up his resume, and get everything back to the District 25 Republican Party officers before the deadline. There wasn’t a lot of wiggle room but he made the deadline.

He made it past the interview with his District, and was one of three interviewed by Gov. Michael Dunleavy, who forwarded his name to the Republicans in the House of Representatives. And yes, he had to come back from a hunting trip for that interview with the governor. Afterwards, he headed right back to his hunt.

Gillis has had little political experience in his long and storied life, except for the effort he put into getting Revak elected to the District 25 seat. That, and he donated to the campaign of Gov. Jay Hammond and Congressman Don Young. But other than that, he learned about how campaigns are won by wearing out his own boots for Revak.

And that was a prodigious effort, as it turned out. Gillis said he “walked the heck out of the district,” telling people why Revak was the right choice. It was a primary, and Revak was challenging Rep. Charisse Millett. Gillis thought it was time for a change.

Revak has thought of Gillis almost like family. The two met when Revak, who does a lot of volunteer work for wounded veterans, asked Gillis if he’d consider taking some wounded warriors out to his lodge at Sandy River for some fishing. Gillis made it happen. He says he has a hard time turning down a veteran.

“If a wounded warrior needs something, I’m all in,” he said. The two men formed a bond.

Gillis came to Alaska after dropping out of college in the mid 1960s. He found a job as a carpenter for the Bureau of Indian Affairs, rebuilding the school in Old Harbor on Kodiak Island, which had been destroyed by a tsunami that resulted from the 1964 Good Friday earthquake.

He joined the National Guard, and worked on platforms in Cook Inlet for a few years, before settling on construction — working concrete in the summers and being a hunting and fishing guide in the shoulder seasons. It’s a combination of work that supported him, his wife and son, until he retired out of Local 867 in the mid-80s and has just been guiding since then — moose, caribou, sheep, deer, and bear.

Gillis, who has retained his charming Texas drawl, has spent the last 50 years as an Alaskan, has been married to his wife Anne for nearly as long, and is the father of a grown son. He’s lived in the district for 30 years.

Now, however, it’s a new phase of life, a new landscape to learn. Instead of retirement, he’ll be heading to Juneau in January and learning the ropes of lawmaking, the protocols and how legislation is really made.

His friends describe Gillis as the kind of guy who can roll up his sleeves, and sit down with anyone to solve a problem. He’s a practical kind of person, they say, who will negotiate the political scene well.

So it’s no wonder that when asked what his favorite book is, he didn’t hesitate: It’s the one written by his nephew, Dr. John Gillis: “Powerhouse: 13 Teamwork Tactics that Build Excellence and Unrivaled Success,” which was published just this year. He’s hoping to use lessons from that book as he joins the 39 other House members who are sent to Juneau to fight for what they believe is best for their district.

“I am honored to have been selected to work on behalf of the wonderful people of District 25. We have a lot of complex issues to cover this year. I am looking forward to meeting the remainder of my colleagues, hearing from my friends and neighbors about the issues that matter most to them, and preparing for the upcoming legislative session,” Gillis said in a statement.

Suspect in custody in case of murders, arson, weapons, misconduct with corpses

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MURDERS #28 AND #29 IN ANCHORAGE IN 2019

Anchorage police have taken Tylan Fely, age 34, into custody. He faces charges of Murder 1, Murder 1, Murder 2, Arson 3, Misconduct Involving a Weapon 3, Misconduct Involving a Corpse, Tampering with Evidence, Criminal Negligent Burning 2 and Criminal Mischief 3.
 
The victims, found in a burning car on Saturday in East Anchorage, are believed to be an adult female and juvenile female, according to police. The cause of death and identities of the two victims are still being investigated and haven’t been determined at this time, police said.
 
Detectives said they believe this is an isolated incident and family related.

Fely is listed as a North Slope worker on his Facebook page.

White House unveils Christmas decor with a theme: ‘Spirit of America’

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The White House is ready for Christmas, and the decorations were unveiled on Monday, Dec. 2.

This year’s theme, “The Spirit of America,” pays tribute to traditions, customs, and history that make America great. The displays were designed by First Lady Melania Trump, an immigrant who is the first First Lady to be a naturalized citizen. This is her third year of being in charge of decorating the White House for the holidays, which have returned to be called “Christmas,” in the Trump White House.

During the Obama era, the White House Christmas displays were known as “Holiday Displays.”

https://obamawhitehouse.archives.gov/blog/2012/11/28/joy-all-first-lady-michelle-obama-previews-2012-white-house-holiday-decor

The White House decorations this year celebrate the courageous individuals who have shaped our country and kept the American spirit alive, the White House wrote in its description.

In the East Wing, the Gold Star Family Tree is a tribute to Gold Star families, those who lost loved ones in war. The tree was decorated by Gold Star families.

Around the corner, the East Colonnade is a timeline of American design, innovation, and architecture. Through the archways, the East Garden Room displays the First Family’s annual ornament and Christmas card. This year, both showcase the American flag.

Entering the Ground Floor Corridor, the Vermeil Room highlights the spirit of generosity of previous First Ladies. Two trees are illuminated with tones of blush and gold and pieces of historic vermeil. In the Library, the legacies of Presidents are celebrated with past and present White House Historical Association annual ornaments. 

The 2019 ornament is featured on the center tree and honors President Dwight D. Eisenhower.

Upstairs in the East Room are four star-spangled trees, decorated with stars and cascading ribbons, and topped with gilded eagles, the national bird. Various features of the American flag are incorporated.

For the 52nd year, the White House Crèche is on display.

Moving into the Parlors, the Green Room features beloved and classic Christmas tales, the White House Advent calendar. A time-honored tradition, the official White House Christmas tree is in the Blue Room and measures 18 feet tall. It is decorated with floral emblems from every state and territory.

The Red Room is decorated with games.

The Gingerbread House features the South Portico of the White House and landmarks from across the country, including the Golden Gate Bridge, Space Needle, Mount Rushmore, the Alamo, Gateway Arch, Liberty Bell, and Statue of Liberty. It was made by the White House pastry team of 200 lbs. of gingerbread dough, 125 lbs. of pastillage dough, 35 lbs. of chocolate, and 25 lbs. of royal icing.

Ending in the Grand Foyer and Cross Hall, guests find themselves in a glistening winter garden, filled with 22 evergreens, 14 golden magnolia topiaries, 10 floral urns, and dusted with decorative snow.

“This Christmas season I want to honor those who have shaped our country and made it the place we are proud to call home, and I am excited to announce our White House holiday theme, ‘The Spirit of America’ ” said First Lady Melania Trump. “When I travel the country, I am inspired by the hard working people and families that I meet. No matter which state they call home, many Americans share a strong set of values and deep appreciation for the traditions and history of our great nation. Thank you to all of the staff and volunteers who worked to make sure the People’s House was ready for Christmas. Wishing everyone a very Merry Christmas and Happy New Year”.

Throughout the month of December, the White House welcomes guests to open houses, tours, and receptions.

Secrets of the recall campaign; there ought to be a law

By ANCHORAGE DAILY PLANET

Here we are, into December, and months since the Recall Dunleavy charade began collecting signatures to undo last year’s election, and Alaskans still have no idea who – or what – is picking up the tab for the effort.

Its Alaska Public Office Commission report is replete with zeros when it come to listing income or expenditures for the recall effort.

The recall’s financial backers, whoever they may be, are determined to run Republican Gov. Mike Dunleavy from office largely for his audacious rip-off-the-Band-Aid approach to curbing Alaska’s budget woes. Cutting the budget to the bone means a lot of those feeding at the government trough are getting short rations – and they are displeased.

They are so very displeased, in fact, they could barely wait to get started. Dunleavy had been in office only 241 days when the first recall signatures were gathered.

What mayhem had he visited on Alaska to spark the fervor? Recall backers say he refused to appoint a judge to the Palmer Superior Court within the required 45 days, even though the position was filled before the retiring judge had vacated the bench. They claimed he used state funds to buy ads containing partisan statements about political opponents; that he erroneously vetoed $18 million from state Medicaid funding; and, that he vetoed funds appropriated for the judiciary in retaliation for a court decision on abortion.

Is any of that grounds for a recall in a state that requires a lack of fitness, incompetence, neglect of duties, or corruption as grounds to remove officials? Hardly.

Face it, Dunleavy is in their sights because he committed the biggest sin anybody can when dealing with the Left: He did not bend to its will.

The fact that recall backers can do what they are doing in secret should bother all Alaskans. Recall Dunleavy can take in and spend unlimited, unspecified amounts of money from anybody, except foreign interests – until the question hits the ballot. Then, if they roll over any left-over signature-gathering money into the ensuing election campaign, backers would have to report every penny collected and spent since signature-gathering started Aug. 1.

If the group were to choose not to carry forward any leftover signature-gathering funding, Alaskans might never know who financed the effort to place the question on the ballot.

That seems wrong. Obviously, Alaska’s laws concerning disclosure for ballot initiative campaigns need to be fixed, but, in the meantime, Recall Dunleavy is attempting to remove a sitting governor without telling Alaskans who or what is funding the effort. It is, as we have pointed out, a ghost ship fueled by dark money.

You might think the group would, as a matter of course, want to get it out in the open, no matter the law, but you would be wrong.

Alaskans deserve better than a secretly financed effort to remove their governor. Much better, indeed.

Read the Anchorage Daily Planet at this link.

Assembly chair Rivera wants to ban private prisons and shipping prisoners south

The mayor of Anchorage declared a state of civil emergency due to pending state budget cuts this past summer and prolonged special sessions of the Legislature as it tried to find agreement on the State’s operating budget.

Now, one member of the Anchorage Assembly doesn’t want the State to balance its budgets going forward with private prisons — not in Anchorage’s backyard, anyway.

On Tuesday’s Assembly agenda is a resolution authored by Felix Rivera that would ban private prisons in Anchorage. It’s more of a statement, not unlike the mayor’s civil emergency was this summer, because there’s no evidence that the State of Alaska plans to convert any of its in-state prisons to privately managed facilities. The Anchorage Correctional Complex (850 prisoners) and Hiland Mountain women’s prison (400 prisoners) are the two that are within the municipality that could qualify for privatization.

The Department of Corrections has explored sending some prisoners out of state, rather than build new prisons in Alaska to house the flood of criminals that are crowding Alaska’s criminal justice system. The department is focusing on prisoners with multiple life sentences, those who are unlikely to ever mix with civil society again. Shipping the worst prisoners out of state was done for many years and is still an option. Some of those out-of-state prisons may be privately run.

But Rivera, who chairs the Assembly, wants to make sure that that, in addition to no private prisons in Anchorage, no prisoners get sent out of state, either. His resolution states that treatment and reformation of prisoners requires humane care and that prisoners in private prisons would not be likely to receive such care.

His resolution also articulates opposition to shipping prisoners out of state, where the costs of their “three hots and a cot” can be contained.

Rivera, who is running for reelection for District 4, Seat G on the Assembly, says that any underlying profit motive naturally undercuts the ability to prove a degree of custody and care expected by Alaskans.

He also states that family and friends need to have contact with their family members who are incarcerated. Rivera states that privately run prisons lack adequate oversight and put inmates and staff at risk.

Further, his resolution states, Alaska has shown a preference for in-state facilities, as evidenced by the construction of the Goose Creek Correctional Center in 2012.

The Anchorage Assembly will have a chance to discuss the Rivera resolution at its Tuesday meeting, which begins at 5 pm with a business meeting in the Assembly Chambers of the Loussac Library.

A party divided by PFDs, but it didn’t have to be like this

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McGUIRE’S SB 114 WOULD HAVE SOLVED SO MANY PROBLEMS FOR ALASKA

As the Alaska Republican Party gets ready for a big Unity Gala on Dec. 6, it’s facing epic struggles from within — an argument between those who want the statutory Permanent Fund dividend paid, and those who are willing to pay out a dividend based on what downsized government programs don’t need.

A handful of hardline Republicans are even planning to picket the Unity Gala, calling those who attend compromisers and “rinos” — Republicans in Name Only. Among attendees? Gov. Michael Dunleavy and about 800 other Republicans who are trying to bring some harmony back to the party.

Those protesters risk marginalizing themselves and their message, falling on the sword of the Permanent Fund dividend, when so much more is at stake — including another $1 billion deficit faced by the Dunleavy Administration in the coming budget cycle, and dropping oil prices combined with flat production.

Far more things define Republicans than divide them. The Permanent Fund — as it’s currently paid — is problematic, in that it’s going to be a political football each and every year and lead to instability and division. Of course, Alaskans can thank former Gov. Bill Walker for making the dividend a political decision, but since he did so in 2016, the majority in Legislature has continued the “Political PFD” practice, rather than repair the formula itself.

Ultimately, this protracted argument over the statutory formula is one that didn’t have to occur. There was a solution offered in 2015 — an elegant solution.

SB 114 came from then-Sen. Lesil McGuire, who argued for a “Percent of Market Value” approach to tapping the earnings of the Permanent Fund. And a set formula for determining dividends going forward.

She fought for her legislation for two years, and in April, 2016, made one last valiant push for it in a commentary that ran in the Anchorage Daily News (then-Alaska Dispatch). Here’s what McGuire wrote in 2016:


By SEN. LESIL MCGUIRE

Hey, Alaska! Have you heard about a plan that would help stabilize government services, enhance our fiscal health, prevent a deficit-driven recession and ensure a dividend is still paid to every Alaskan?

By now almost everyone knows that the state is facing a very serious budget deficit. The Legislature has reduced spending by more than $1 billion over the last two years. We are currently looking for additional reductions and greater efficiencies. There have been tax proposals introduced. However, even a combination of taxes and budget reductions will never close the deficit. We have been saved before by rising oil prices. We will not be saved this time.

The word “petrichor” means the smell of rain. Many Alaskans believe the Alaska Permanent Fund was created as a rainy day fund — for when the revenue from our nonrenewable resources diminished. The volume in the trans-Alaska pipeline is so low oil would have to rebound to $110 per barrel to balance our budget. Does that mean it’s raining?

Einstein said, “You cannot solve a problem from the same consciousness that created it.” We need to find a new path. We will not raid the Permanent Fund.

Last April, I introduced Senate Bill 114. If enacted, the bill would cut the deficit in half. It would guarantee every eligible Alaskan at least a $1,000 dividend. Because it would not close the deficit entirely, it would maintain downward pressure on the size and spending of state government.

Here’s how SB 114 works: It would recalibrate where the dividend comes from by tying it directly to the royalties the state receives from mineral leases.

Responsible development means a bigger dividend.

Next, the bill would utilize part of the Earnings Reserve Account in a percent of market value calculation to yield a sustainable revenue stream for essential state services.

This is not a raid on the Permanent Fund. In fact, SB 114 would help protect the fund and the dividend program by restoring a measure of sustainability. This is not a way for government to increase its budget.

SB 114 connects Alaskans directly to our share of the natural resources, which belong to each of us. It protects the dividend into the future, because without a structural change the dividend will likely end in a few short years. This bill is a way to ensure essential services for Alaskans can be provided, such as: public safety, firefighters, roads, education, health and human services, the Alaska Marine Highway, parks and recreation, and fish and game management.

When I crafted SB 114 I had these principles in mind:

1) it must retain a dividend without making the dividend dependent on the size of government.

2) It must reduce the volatility in the state budget.

3) It must clearly expose the cost of government, and ensure Alaskans could begin an honest assessment of needs versus wants.

4) It must be enduring to allow the maximum use of our wealth over generations so the benefits and burdens are shared.

5) It must be simple and easy to implement.

This is a new path forward.

Without a new approach, our Constitutional Budget Reserve will be drained entirely in only two years. Once this happens, the single remaining source of funding for services will be the Earnings Reserve Account — the same one used to pay dividends. When that day comes, the state will have to make the difficult choice of paying out dividends or funding essential services for Alaskans.

Even if every new proposed tax was implemented immediately, the Earnings Reserve Account would still be in the financial crosshairs in just three years, placing the PFD in jeopardy.

If we take a new path, such as SB 114, the state will dramatically reduce income volatility and preserve the dividend program for future generations. There are two other proposals to re- engineer the use of the Earnings Reserve Account. Only SB 114 guarantees a dividend of $1,000 or more. The dividend has helped make Alaska a great place to live for decades. I remember the day when I received my first dividend check, and what it meant to me. I have a deep personal connection to the program, but if we don’t act soon to protect it, the dividend may go the way of the dinosaur.

If you like the dividend program, SB 114 is your bill. If you’d like to see reduced volatility in state budgeting, SB 114 delivers. If you’d like to see continued downward pressure on the spending of state government, then my bill make sense.

I can smell the petrichor in our path. At this critical juncture in Alaska history, SB 114 is a new path forward.

Sen. Lesil McGuire, R­-Anchorage, served in the Alaska Legislature from 2001-2017.