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Port of Seattle postpones cruise season indefinitely

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Alaska’s cruise ship season may have been dealt its final blow this year, as the Port of Seattle announced the cruise season will be delayed until the resolution of the public health emergency. Earlier, the Canadian government had ordered cruise ships to stay away from its ports.

“At a time when Governor Inslee has ordered all Washingtonians to ‘Stay Home, Stay Healthy,’ we must consider public health and safety above all else,” said Port of Seattle Commission President Peter Steinbrueck.  

“The eventual return of our cruise season is something we fully expect as an important contribution to living wage jobs, local small businesses, and our region’s economic recovery.  We also recognize the critical role Seattle cruise plays in supporting the Alaska economy for over 20 years.”

The start of the Seattle-based cruise embarkations will depend on the status of the public health emergency. The CDC has issued a nonessential travel warning and a temporary no sail order for cruise ships, and the State and King County have imposed a number of strict limitations to limit the spread of COVID-19.

For those travelers with plans to cruise during this impacted period, please contact your cruise line regarding your itinerary.

Governor’s bill extending disaster declaration in House

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SB 241, by Gov. Mike Dunleavy, extending COVID-19 disaster emergency, is on the Alaska House of Representatives calendar for today. By law, the governor can declare a disaster for 30 days, and needs legislative approval to extend it. SB 241 contains these provisions:

  • Extends disaster declaration until Sept. 1
  • Gives Chief Medical Officer Dr. Anne Zink the authority to issue standing orders to deal with the virus
  • Expedites professional and occupational licensing
  • Expands telemedicine and telehealth
  • Creates options for elections by mail
  • Extends time allowed to apply for a Permanent Fund dividend to April 30
  • Extends deadline for state tax filings to July 15, same as federal deadline
  • Allows shareholder meetings to be held telephonically

Recall oral argument: Short, inaudible at times, and done

The Alaska Supreme Court today heard a half hour from each side of the Division of Elections vs. Recall Dunleavy Committee case. The two sides argued their positions by telephone due to the coronavirus outbreak and only three of the Supreme Court justices were in the courtroom. The other two called in from Fairbanks, as the court practiced social distancing and kept all observers out of the courtroom.

Reception on Gavel Alaska was at times difficult for those tuning in to observe the historic proceedings, and some of what the lawyers and justices said was unintelligible.

Each side put forth their best arguments about whether the Recall Dunleavy Committee has a legally solid enough case to take to the voters and ask them whether they want to remove Gov. Mike Dunleavy prior to the next gubernatorial election. The group is busy collecting signatures; it needs over 70,000 to get onto a statewide ballot.

Justice Craig Stowers seemed particularly uncomfortable wading into what is pure partisan politics, and began the proceedings by tersely explaining, perhaps a writer listening in, that this proceeding would be handled as fairly as any other before the court.

Margaret Paton-Walsh, on behalf of the State Division of Elections, argued that the petition language is subverting the ballot process because it refers voters to outside material that they will not likely have meaningful access to, and that extends the recall group’s actual verbiage for far more than 200 words limited by law. That aspect of the recall petition breaks the intent of the the 200-word limit for recalls, she said, and puts the whole ballot into imbalance.

With that extra material that serves as an addendum to the 200-word limit, it lays out vast complaints against the governor that he only has 200 words to respond to.

But that argument didn’t appear to move the justices. They interrupted Paton-Walsh several times, and forced her to eat up time on her half-hour limit trying to explain the argument to them.

None of the justices seemed curious about Item 1 of the Recall Dunleavy petition. The five asked no questions that wondered whether when a governor takes a time-out before appointing a judge and misses the 45-day legislatively determined statute, he or she is being an actual “law breaker.”

In fact, Justice Craig Stowers referred to appointment controversies under Governors Walter Hickel and Frank Murkowski, saying, “This is not something new to governors; governors at some frequency chaff at the judicial selection process, but statute requires an appointment in 45 days.”

The statute that applies to the judicial appointment timing is legislative direction, not a misdemeanor or felony level of infraction, however, but that seemed lost on the justices. None seemed intellectually curious about how the Alaska Constitution also governs the process, and that Dunleavy met his constitutional duty by “filling a vacancy” in the Palmer District Court. There was, in fact, never any actual vacancy by the time he made the appointment.

Ironic in the proceedings was that attorney Jahna Lindemuth, arguing on behalf of the Recall Dunleavy Committee, was herself part of a “law-breaking” administration that didn’t follow Alaska Statute when issuing a Permanent Fund dividend.

When she was sworn into office, she and Gov. Bill Walker broke statute by allowing the dividend to be a political calculation. Under Lindemuth’s terms, Walker should have been recalled for breaking the law.

Also problematic was Item 2 in the charges the Recall Dunleavy Committee is making: The committee says Gov. Dunleavy violated Alaska law and the Constitution by misusing state funds for partisan political purposes.

Here, the judges didn’t appear concerned about whether the word “partisan” is being used correctly in the allegation. Because of the intentionally misleading language, the voters will not know that the governor was merely trying to drum up public support for his key policy pieces that were not partisan — things like a full Permanent Fund dividend and a state spending limit. He was trying to move his legislation out of committee. Instead, the voters reading the ballot language are being led to believe that he somehow took state money to use in a campaign or some other nefarious use.

But again, the trickery in the petition and ballot language didn’t seem to concern the judges.

They did seem a bit more concerned about Items 3 and 4 on the recall petition:

Item 3 says Dunleavy  violated separation-of-powers by improperly using the line-item veto to attack the judiciary and the rule of law.

Justice Daniel Winfree, speaking from Fairbanks by teleconference, asked Lindemuth about the “separation-of-powers” claim her group is making. He noted that the concept of separation is a doctrine, not a law, which guides governing bodies in interpreting the constitutionality of actions and who, in government, is entitled to do certain things.

Lindemuth, arguing for the Recall Dunleavy Committee, said that it’s up to the voters to decide and that the court should “reject legislating from the bench.”

Winfree asked Lindemuth: Since it’s a doctrine, not a law, how one would determine legal sufficiency of the claim?

Lindemuth responded that it should be determined by the voters.

The justices didn’t seem convinced on that point, with Justice Stowers noting that “I don’t even understand how the separation doctrine fits here.”

The separation of powers issue refers to the governor vetoing some of the appellate court’s budget last year. At least two of the judges expressed skepticism, saying that vetoes are within the governor’s constitutional authority. This was logic they did not apply to Item 2: The governor also has constitutional protection to aggressively advocate for his policy platform without being subject to a recall.

Item 3 also puts the judges in an awkward position. Two of the charges by the Recall Dunleavy Committee refer to matters involving the court, but Item 3 involves the court’s very operating budget. For the judges to let that go to the voters might look like they are taking out their budget displeasure on the governor, which could be viewed as a separation-of-powers issue — activist judges working to unseat a governor because he cut their budget.

The fourth item also raised the eyebrows of at least some of the justices. That charge says that the governor was incompetent because he mistakenly vetoed approximately $18 million more than he told the Legislature that he intended to veto. That veto was reversed when the administration discovered the error, and all parties agree no harm was done.

Justice Susan Carney, calling in from Fairbanks, wondered if any mistake made by an elected official could be deemed substantial enough for a recall, even if there was no harm done, as is was in this case.

Recall attorney Lindemuth said that should be left to the voters.

If the justices allow item 4 to stand, they’ll be essentially ruling that if a governor gets up in the morning and puts on one brown shoe and one black shoe, that is evidence of incompetence and might subject him to a recall.

The ballot initiative language that the Division of Elections said was legally insufficient:

Statement of Grounds: Neglect of Duties,Incompetence, and/or Lack of Fitness, for the following actions:

  • Governor Dunleavy violated Alaska law by refusing to appoint a judge to the Palmer Superior Court within 45 days of receiving nominations.
  • Governor Dunleavy violated Alaska Law and the Constitution, and misused state funds by unlawfully and without proper disclosure, authorizing and allowing the use of state funds for partisan purposes to purchase electronic advertisements and direct mailers making partisan statements about political opponents and supporters.
  • Governor Dunleavy violated separation-of-powers by improperly using the line-item veto to: (a) attack the judiciary and the rule of law.
  • Governor Dunleavy acted incompetently when he mistakenly vetoed approximately $18 million more than he told the legislature in official communications he intended to strike. Uncorrected, the error would cause the state to lose over $40 million in additional federal Medicaid funds.

References: AS 22.10.100; Art. IX, sec. 6 of Alaska Constitution; AS 39.52; AS 15.13, including .050, .090, .135, and .145; Legislative Council (31-LS1006); ch.1-2, FSSLA19; OMB Change Record Detail (Appellate Courts, University, AHFC, Medicaid Services).

Arguing for the Division of Elections, State Department of Law Attorney Margaret Paton-Walsh told the justices that the language on the ballot question itself was problematic because it refers to documents outside the 200-word limit, sending voters to documents that most have no way to access in the voting booth. This gives the Recall Dunleavy Committee an advantage but puts the voters at a loss, since they cannot reasonably understand what actually occurred by reading the ballot language itself.

Because of the purposefully misleading the language in all counts, the recall petition is deeply flawed. But the “facts” of the allegations themselves were not something the judges seemed concerned about.

Alaska Airlines reduces flights by 70 percent

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The Alaska Airlines management is responding to a dramatic drop in air travel, and as a result is cutting its routes by 70 percent.

“During this crisis, each of us is making the best decisions we can for ourselves, our families and our businesses. Over the past several weeks, as more of our guests shelter in place at home, demand for air travel has plummeted. In recent days, some of our flights have had only several passengers onboard,” the airline wrote.

“But it remains essential that we keep flying. Some of you have a critical need for us to get you somewhere, and it’s crucial we keep cargo moving, which includes transporting mail, food, medicine, medical supplies and an increasing amount of goods that are being ordered online.”

For April and May, throughout the airline’s national network, the 70 percent reduction means 900 fewer flights out of the 1,300 flights per day.

Some regions will be affected at an even greater reduction of service, such as Hawaii, where the governor of Hawaii has issued a mandatory, 14-day self-isolation quarantine for all travelers entering the state. The state of Alaska has also initiated a similar quarantine process.

“Outside of Alaska and Hawaii, we’re still maintaining our basic network footprint but with significantly reduced frequencies of service and the elimination of nearly all red-eye flights.”

Additional reductions are possible as the airline learns more about demand.

17 new C-19 confirmed cases, bringing total in Alaska to 59

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With increased testing, comes a big one-day jump in Alaska cases of COVID-19, the Wuhan coronavirus. Some 59 Alaskans have now been diagnosed with the virus, which is extremely infectious and has no cure or vaccine.

Dr. Anne Zink, Alaska’s chief medical officer, said that two cases are in the hospital in critical care.

New cases include 11 cases in the Anchorage area, one case in Homer, two cases in Fairbanks-North Pole, and three more in Ketchikan. The Homer individual had traveled outside the state, did not return to Homer, and is in quarantined in Anchorage, according to MRAK sources.

Twenty-four of the current cases are travel-related, the others are either not known or spread by close contact with the person who traveled.

The cases discovered now are probably acquired some 10 days ago, said Dr. Jay Butler of the CDC, who spoke by phone during a press availability on Wednesday evening.

Butler said those who are dying from the virus are dying from pneumonia, and severe pneumonia is difficult to treat.

‘Fake news’ prediction tool used for coronavirus policy started by Sitka lawmaker

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IS REP. JONATHAN KREISS-TOMKINS’ GROUP PUSHING POLITICALLY MOTIVATED DATA?

A prediction tool created by Rep. Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins and his academic friends from the Ivy League world has predicted wildly inaccurate numbers regarding the spread of the coronavirus in Alaska.

The models created by CovidActNow are panicking officials nationwide and leading to faulty response, according to several critics, who have raised an alarm about what appears to be a stealth misinformation campaign that looks legitimate, at first glance.

A survey of statements made by the media was made by The Federalist that show how many are promoting the grossly misleading modeling tool to predict the spread of the Wuhan coronavirus.

The website touts itself as a tool “built to enable political leaders to quickly make decisions in their Coronavirus response informed by best available data and modeling.”

According to the Covid Act Now website, Alaska should have over 10 people hospitalized with the Wuhan coronavirus by now. But there’s just one hospitalization. The group says that without action, 15,000 Alaskans will die.

The flaws with the modeling came to light this week when Federalist author Madeline Osburn revealed that the models are not intended to be actually accurate, but were always designed to prompt policy action by political leaders. The group even says as much in its disclaimer, explaining that much of the data put into the model are likely to be wrong.

Rep. Kreiss-Tomkins, chair of the House State Affairs Committee, had his partners in the Covid Act Now project give a presentation to his committee, allowing them to give what may be false information to the Legislature.

The State Affairs Committee heard from Dr. Nirav Shah of Stanford University and modeler/mathematician Tomas Pueyo, both associated with the project that Rep. Kreiss-Tomkins cofounded.

The full hearing can be viewed here.

“Dr. Shah and Mr. Pueyo testimony occurs first in the hearing. Mr. Pueyo published an article analyzing the spread of COVID that has received widespread acclaim, been translated into 28 languages, and been viewed 37 million times in the last week,” according to the Democrat-led House Majority press office.

The presentation avoided showing those wild predictions in Alaska that came out of the Covid Act Now group, but according to the model, Alaska’s hospital beds will be overwhelmed on April 12, 2020. That’s 18 days away.

One of the other cofounders of the modeling tool is Max Henderson, a supporter of Hillary Clinton in 2016, and a math whiz with a background in election predictions.

In addition to Sitka Rep. Rep. Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins, who is a Democrat and an activist, there are other Democrat operatives involved in the project: Zachary Rosen and Igor Kofman, both steady donors to campaigns of Democrats and liberal political PACs. Rosen donated to the Democratic National Committee, as well as recently resigned California Democrat Rep. Katie Hill, who left Congress in disgrace, and other Democratic candidates.

Kofman, in his efforts to defeat Donald Trump, created an online game designed to raise $1 million for the eventual 2020 Democratic candidate. The app appears to be defunct, however.

What is really behind making wildly inaccurate and exaggerated predictions for a virus that has the whole world upended already?

Is it fake news, designed to scare politicians into adopting universal health care or Medicare for all?

Osburn suggests there is more than what meets the eye to this group.

“An interactive map provides users a catastrophic forecast for each state, should they wait to implement COVID Act Now’s suggested strict measures to “flatten the curve.” But a closer look at how many of COVID Act Now’s predictions have already fallen short, and how they became a ubiquitous resource across the country overnight, suggests something more sinister,” Osburn wrote.

“When Dallas County Judge Clay Jenkins announced a shelter-in-place order on Dallas County Sunday, he displayed COVID Act Now graphs with predictive outcomes after three months if certain drastic measures are taken. The NBC Dallas affiliate also embedded the COVID Act Now models in their story on the mandate.”

Covid Act Now also predicted that by March 19 the state of Tennessee could expect 190 hospitalizations of patients with confirmed Wuhan virus. By March 19, they only had 15 patients hospitalized.

What’s more, the endorsements for the CoVID Act Now product include former Alaska Health and Social Services Commissioner Valerie Davidson, who served in the Gov. Bill Walker administration and expanded Medicaid across Alaska to able-bodied adults who do not have children to care for and who are over twice the poverty threshold.

The problem with predictive modeling is that the public must trust the source of the information.

In this instance, the source of the information has political ambitions, with backers who are clearly opposed to Republican wins in November.

Read The Federalist report at this link.

Story of Alaska: The worst of times brings out our best

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By KEN KOELSCH

“It was the best of times. It was the worst of times…it was the season of Light, it was the season of Darkness. It was the spring of hope; it was the winter of despair…” 

The opening of Charles Dickens’ A Tale of Two Cities reminds me that whether it’s earthquake, fire, or pandemic the worst of times never fails to bring out the best in Alaskans.  

Nome, Alaska, January 1925:  Fiona, the middle grandchild, brought over a book to read with us:  The True Story of Balto.  Balto, a dog, lived in Nome with his Norwegian musher, Gunnar Kaasen. The story provided a teachable moment about Alaska’s Great Race – the Iditarod, and another Norwegian musher and his dog team that won the race in 2020.  

It was also a time to talk about courage and sacrifice in trying times.

Alaska’s most famous mushing event happened in 1925.  Two children in Nome were diagnosed with diphtheria and an epidemic threatened the entire town.  The closest antitoxin was almost 900 miles away in Anchorage.  Twenty pounds of serum was placed on a train that made it as far north as Nenana.  Through a blizzard, the serum was then passed to 20 mushers and their teams who relayed the package almost 700 miles to Nome.  The team that brought the serum into Nome was Balto and Kaasen who arrived on Front Street in the early morning.  The serum was delivered in five and a half days.

Juneau, Alaska, October 1918:  With a population closing in on 2,000, Juneau was the largest city in Alaska.  Many of Juneau’s young men were in the military. The Spanish flu was hitting Juneau hard and October 1918 was the deadliest month of the entire pandemic. Over half a million Americans were dying from the pandemic. Those living in Juneau in 1918 surely felt it was “the worst of times/ a season of Darkness/a winter of despair.”  

However, more testing of Juneau’s resolve was on the way.

The SS Princess Sophia departed Skagway in late October bound for Vancouver.  In heavy snow, seas, and fog, the Sophia blew off course and grounded on Vanderbilt Reef.  Several Juneau vessels immediately responded but Sophia’s captain thought it best to wait until the storm died down.  Forty hours passed before the ship broke apart and quickly sank.  All 353 lives were lost.  

Ken Coates and Bill Morrison, authors of The Sinking of the Princess Sophia – Taking the North Down with Her wrote: “Almost every adult in Juneau was involved in the recovery of the victims – locating and escorting the bodies to a guarded warehouse; personal effects were transferred to the vaults at Behrend’s Bank. The cleaning and preparation of the oil soaked bodies for embalming was accomplished by a male team for male victims and a female team for women and children. The bodies then were readied for burial in Evergreen Cemetery or for shipment south.”  The people of Juneau treated each victim with dignity and honor.   

In the worst of times, Juneau’s best came out. 

Juneau, Alaska, March 2020:  We don’t know how severe this coronavirus pandemic will be or how long it will last. In some ways this makes it harder to deal with because we don’t know when the worst is over. We are learning what precautions to take and what symptoms to look for.  

Meanwhile, while we are waiting and taking care of ourselves and others, let’s also help those who are taking a bigger hit than we are. A few suggestions:

  • Buy gift cards from local businesses online or call and ask where one is available.
  • Order takeout meals from local restaurants and add a generous tip.
  • Send financial support to local major food bank distribution centers.
  • Select a health and social service organization serving the most vulnerable and send a donation.  
  • Pen a note to the transportation companies that are putting in countless hours supplying and resupplying the food and other goods we depend on. Don’t forget our Coast Guard and other military, medical, police, fire personnel, fuel delivery workers, grocers, postal workers, pharmacists, Customs and Border Protection, etc. If you failed writing class, purchase wrapped bake goods and drop them off with a thanks.

Lend a hand to all five, or do five of one, or any combination of five. Extend a helping hand and when we get the all-clear support a local bar or coffee shop for a celebratory alcoholic or non-alcoholic drink and make a point of taking that local tourism excursion that you always wanted to take.  Stay safe.

Ken Koelsch is known as Juneau’s former “Poet Mayor,” elected to office in by a landslide in 2016 during a special election held when former Mayor Greg Fisk died on Nov. 30, 2015. Koelsch is a former longtime high school teacher at Juneau-Douglas High School.

Alaska Democrats cancel in-person caucus voting

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In-person voting has been canceled for Alaska Democrats wanting to participate in their April 4 caucus-by-ballot primary for president of the United States.

But the Alaska Democratic Party has extended mail-in voting. Registered Democrats will need to be sure their ballots are received by the party by April 10.

The in-person voting that was scheduled for dozens of sites around the state was axed earlier today due to the coronavirus outbreak and the state restrictions in place that prohibit gatherings of 10 or more people, as well as the six-foot distance rule that is supposed to help prevent the virus from spreading.

The downloadable ballot is at this link.

The ballots were printed and mailed in February, so several candidates who have dropped will still appear on the ballot.

“Ranked choice voting provides us with an opportunity to address this issue without disenfranchising voters. Campaigns and candidates that have notified us in writing that they wish to have their names withdrawn will have their requests honored in the tabulation of votes. Votes cast on Alaska ballots for candidates who have withdrawn or suspended their campaigns will be considered votes for non-viable candidates. In this case, the voter’s next preference will be counted, until a valid vote is cast or the ballot is exhausted,” the party wrote in an explanation.

Withdrawn, but appearing on the Democrats’ ballot are:

  • Pete Buttigieg
  • Amy Klobuchar
  • Tom Steyer
  • Michael Bloomberg

First Alaskan death due to COVID; six new cases

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The first death of an Alaskan who contracted the Wuhan coronavirus was announced today. The person died out of state, said Dr. Anne Zink, chief medical officer for the State of Alaska.

The person who died had been in Washington state for some time, acquired the virus there and died there. The person was older and had other health risk factors.

Another six cases were announced today: Juneau -1, Sterling-1, Fairbanks-2, Ketchikan-2. A total of 42 cases are known across the state.

Gov. Mike Dunleavy said he is preparing to announce ways the private sector is going to rise to help meet the need to create items needed to combat the pandemic: They’ll be making test swabs that are RDA approved, personal protective equipment like masks and gowns, and distilleries will start making hand sanitizer. The details about these efforts will be announced on Wednesday.

Dunleavy and Zink reemphasized the need for all Alaskans to take the advice of experts, and to stay out of public, stay at home, and do whatever they can to not be close to other people except those in their immediate household.

‘The cases we see now are of people who got the disease over a week ago,” Zink said.