A poll conducted last week by the National Republican Congressional Committee shows that in just one month, Alaska congressional candidate Nick Begich has moved the needle by 10 points with Alaskans since August and is now ahead of Mary Peltola among those who are likely to vote in November.
While in late August, Begich trailed Peltola 39%-45% in the NRCC poll, today Begich leads (44%-40%), with 10% being
undecided. What’s more, when taking Alaska’s ranked-choice redistribution methods into account, Begich maintains his lead
after every recalculation scenario. If undecided voters are excluded, Begich would actually reach a majority vote on the first-choice ballot.
While Begich came up six points, Peltola has dropped four points in the comparison between the two polls, for a 10-point swing.
Although polling done on behalf of candidates can be difficult to count on, most polling favors liberal candidates because conservatives are more reluctant to take polls when called out of the blue by random numbers they don’t recognize.
Thus, a lead in this poll may indicate even greater momentum for the Begich campaign than the numbers show.
Meanwhile, Peltola’s team has not released any polling data lately, which may signify that the numbers her campaign is coming up with are not favorable. Her ads have recently begun to attack Begich for things like being a businessman with employees all over the world, ads that have a racist tone to them as they attack Indians. Nick Begich’s wife is of Indian heritage.
Recently, according to the NRCC poll, people who have heard something about Peltola recently came away with a worse impression of her.
I’m surprised Peltola isn’t polling in the 10% area. She only did her job 40% of the time and when she did, she was doing it to help the Biden/Harris regime. She has supporters in the Bush and in the leftist cities. If the stay at home voters got our and voted we can save our republic and state from the democrat party and politicians like Paltola and Murkowski.
She polls so strong because there are vast herds of brainwashed Marxists in Alaska.
And both Native and female voters who vote racially and sexist.
Can anyone tell me what Mean Mary did to get the Willow project moving forward? She takes credit for it, but really, did she do anything? Or was it just timing? I find it hard to believe that one person–much less a low level Congresswoman–could have done anything to move it forward.
She was in office when the project was green lighted.
And, if she wins again in November, she will be in office when the permits/lease are pulled back. Even if Biden… errr… I mean Harris loses the Presidency, this administration is going to back track on Willow. Until oil actually starts flowing, nothing is done.
The only association she has with Willow is the implied inference of a quid pro quo from the Harris politburo of their greenlighting Willow in return for her votes. Even that is a rather tenuous connection to the project.
She has provided absolutely zero material support to Willow.
Still, I fear, elected, Begich will ASAP join with the established RINO Republicans. I pray this will not happen and allow me then to be an apologist, just seems the character in terms of the persona that I have developed in my mind by his appearances and approach as a typical politician.
Desiring to be proven wrong. (And voting for him!)
Cheers
Better a RINO than Peltola.
At least the RINO pretends to buck against the WEF agenda.
Not a smart way to look at it.. A lying, treacherous RINO does far more damage in the long term AND is a public relations problem.. All their bad policies get pinned on the Republicans, rather than who really slithered them in. They’ll be disruptors with inside strategic information
Begich please do what you say you’re going to do.
Peltola needs to go because of her policies, and more importantly, her record of missing key votes that would expose to Alaskans who/what she really is.
No one can help you with what you feel or “fear” but Nick is legit. I know the man and fully support him. Financially and otherwise.
My most important metric of someone’s “conservative credentials” regardless if they’re national or local is their fiscal stance. Nick is a balanced budget guy. There’s aren’t many like that in congress, or the presidency. You have to go back to Newt Gingrich and Billy Bob Clinton to find a Congress and Presidency that balanced the budget. You may not like that fact, but its true. Both Presidents Trump and Biden each put us $8T further in debt. Not good.
If we go much further in debt to the CCP, the rest of the issues won’t matter much. Our free spending habits are the biggest threat to national security that exists right now.
I hope that hangs over Her Fraudulency’s head like an impending cloud of doom.
Sad laughter fills our workplace when Mary’s handlers add airs. Criticizing “90% of Nick employees are in India”
That means 10% are not.
How does this compare to the number of employees Mary has ?
I don’t mean aids and assistance that are being paid with our tax dollars.
I’m talking about actual people employed by her with her signature on the front of the check.
My guess is Nick’s 10% is 100% more than Mary has.
Mary’s TV ads are disgusting. NB3 hasn’t said one disrespectful thing about her. Mr. Begich has the high ground and one-term Mary is returning to Bethel. Go Nick!
Polls make people feel like things are getting better. Polls are worthless!!! Do NOT become complacent. GET OUT AND VOTE 🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸
Exactly right. I hate positive polls about a candidate I support. Too much evidence that this leads to complacency and non-voting as they believe their candidate is going to win and therefore doesn’t need more help… then their candidate loses. Only takes a few hundred, sometimes fewer, feeling like that in some of these close elections.
It’s good to see that Alaskans are using are applying common sense for their choice for our sole representative in the US House. Mary Peltola is an unfortunate accident because of last election’s split republican vote. People are now focusing on her abysmal attendance record in the House as well as being an irritatingly reliable democrat vote- even about issues with direct & negative consequences for Alaskans. People realize Mary Peltola is a democrat apparatchik. Party first, Alaskans second. They also see a very energetic, experienced and hard working conservative voice in Nick Begich. Someone who can dive into the details of policies like energy, education and economic policies that affect Alaskans and make wise choices for us as our representative. People are deciding that a vote for Nick Begich makes far more sense for Alaska than Mary Peltola.
The article says, “If undecided voters are excluded, Begich would actually reach a majority vote on the first-choice ballot.” Yeh, and if Democrat voters are excluded, Begich would actually reach over 90% on the first-choice ballot.
Typical left leaning bs and she says she’s for Alaska and Alaska Natives and she’s totally not; such a liar. Not even present for 70% of things that needed to be voted on, she was too busy hobnobbing around d.c. to even care about Alaska!!!
The MOST important thing is that everyone vote. Keyboard warriors don’t get people elected. So please vote (and vote for Nick)
Representative Peltola has a pleasant demeanor but she hides a serious Left tilt to her voting behavior. She claims to want “big wins for Alaska” but what she considers to be a “big win” is probably quite different from what most Alaskans think is a victory. Know this as a fact: The Democrats in Congress want to inflict as much permanent damage to Alaska as they can whenever they have a chance. The record over the last forty-five years solidly confirms this. Representative Peltola tries to obscure the truth. Time to quit the fantasy that there are any “new kind of Democrats” in Congress. NB3
(I must admit, I am waiting for a move by ego-centric Sarah Palin to stab NB3 in the back.)
I’m waiting for that too, given two things:
Nobody has been paying attention to Sarah, and we know that drives her nuts.
And she certainly has a history of backstabbing, as Sean Parnell could attest, and Ted Stevens too if he was still here.
Sarah is too busy with her new boyfriend, counting her money. She really doesn’t give a d— about anyone else but herself. So glad I’m outa there.
I hope so, but Alaska polls are notoriously inaccurate, I always question these. It’s a hard place to poll. They have to capture representative voters from rural areas, which is hard to do. She is more popular than Begich in the villages. All you can do is get out and vote, and vote Begich.
Can we get a little more information about who polled?
Was it a random sample of 100 registered voters in Alaska? 200? 500? 1000?
What was the age range of those polled?
These results are suspect because we don’t know the make up/demographics of those polled.
If you poll 100 people in the Turnagain neighborhood, you get vastly different results than polling 100 people in Palmer. The same way you get vastly different results when polling people aged 18-25 vs 55-65.
My issue with most polls is that they are taken by calling landlines or listed numbers. Those people tend to skew to older people. This is due to the fact that almost no one under 35 has a landline phone and as those under 35 have been raised to keep their personal information private due to the plethora of scams that are out there.
I want to state that I don’t doubt that Begich’s numbers are increasing, but I am suspect of these polls without knowing the demographics of those polled.
Buh bye, “captain” Mary!
The lesser of two evils again, oh yippy.
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