Breaking: Nick Begich pulls ahead in newest poll

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It’s considered the closest congressional race in the nation, but it may not be as close as people think. According to the National Republican Congressional Committee, Republican congressional candidate Nick Begich is poised to unseat Rep. Mary Peltola in November.

Begich surged ahead of Peltola on the first round, with 49.1% of votes compared to 44.5%. On the elimination round, he would win with 52.1% to her 47.9%.

“Nick Begich’s momentum is undeniable. Alaskans are fed up with Mary Peltola enabling Joe Biden, Kamala Harris and extreme Democrats’ failed agenda,” said NRCC spokesman Ben Petersen.

The momentum is continuing as the topic of natural resources comes to the forefront this week. Chairman of House Natural Resources Committee Rep. Bruce Westerman is flying to Anchorage this week for several events with Nick Begich, including a Thursday evening campaign fundraiser.

Peltola was caught saying last week that she would gladly give up her seat on the House Natural Resources Committee if she could get on the Appropriations Committee, an unlikely seat for someone who is not in the majority and who has only served in office for two years. She spoke those words during the ConocoPhillips candidate forum, even though she has told the public that her biggest concern is fish.

Although she sits on Natural Resources, her own committee chairman is now campaigning against her — and coming to Alaska to do so.

The latest poll was conducted by Cygnal on Oct. 14-16 among 400 likely general election voters, and has a 4.86% margin of error.

Early voting started Monday, Oct. 21, at polling locations around Alaska for the election that ends on Nov. 5 at 8 p.m. Details below:

15 COMMENTS

  1. This is great news. In the 50+ years since I first moved here there has not been any candidate in any election contest, including incumbents, better able to represent Alaska. None. This guy thinks on his feet, speaks as well as anyone in the US public arena today, has the depth of experience and understanding necessary to operate in the hostile media environment too often faced by conservatives, and has demonstrated he doesn’t forget and will not forget ordinary Alaskans. Alaskans are smart enough to elect Nick Begich.

    • Tom, I agree 100%. However, never underestimate the opposition. They have proven themselves very adept at lying and cheating. You can see the depth and breadth of their lies on the internet pop-ups… intensifying in repetition. Lots of money being thrown. As to cheating, the mail-in voting (process) performs miserably compared to the traditional in-person voting (event). The mail-in process enables ballot stuffing with no controls. They don’t even require a witness signature anymore. Its not easy to win a rigged game against a cheater.

  2. Don’t bet on it. That result is within the margin of error. It shows hope, but that’s all. Do not take the result for granted, get out and vote, early, in person, absentee, doesnt matter just vote! This may come down to a handful of votes so everyone’s vote matters.

  3. Mary Peltola has offended the sensibilities of Alaskans with her hateful political ads. She is a mean character and a do-nothing, phoney.
    We are all praying that you will kick her lousy *SS on November 5.

  4. Question: Is it worthwhile to RCV the two no-names on the congressional ballot as 2 and 3? Would that help Begich’s position?

    • Jonis – That is not how it will work in this particular election since ultimately it will get down to a final elimination round between Begich and Peltola. Those other votes only get counted if they are cast in the first and second positions. After that, they get eliminated and the vote moves up to the next top preference of that voter. If that candidate also doesn’t get enough votes, that candidate is out, and it goes to the final preferred person. A vote for Nick or Mary, however, will stay in play until that final round, since they are the leading candidates. Any second or third voters after them will never be calculated because the other two candidates are not really factors. It should not be this hard, I know. – sd

  5. Vote only Nick. By all means possible, get out and vote.

    Trump
    Begich
    NO on 1
    YES on 2

    Peltola is toast.

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