Tuesday, May 6, 2025
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New Democrat poll shows Republican Kelly Tshibaka beating Murkowski and Gross in ranked-choice voting scenario

A poll by the left-leaning Change Research group pits Sen. Lisa Murkowski against two other candidates — Republican candidate Kelly Tshibaka and former senatorial Democrat-backed candidate Al Gross. Tshibaka wins, hands down.

In the ranked-choice election method to be used in Alaska for the first time in 2022, Murkowski and Gross split the liberal vote in this poll. John Wayne Howe, who the pollster uses as a placeholder right-leaning candidate of the Alaskan Independence Party, trails in this poll.

In the poll, Tshibaka was ranked #1 by 39 percent of respondents, with Al Gross ranked first by 25 percent, and Murkowski ranked first by 19 percent.

When the second choice votes are recalculated and reassigned, as they will be in Alaska’s ranked-choice process, Tshibaka wins over Gross. Many of the poll participants who had Murkowski as their first choice, picked Gross as their second. The final tally is Tshibaka over Gross 54-46.

Change Research does polling for groups such as the Democratic Attorney Generals Association, NAACP, labor unions such as the AFL-CIO, and the Future Majority group, run by Democratic political strategists. This poll was paid for by the 314 Action Fund, which is trying to get more climate change scientists elected to Congress.

The poll used ranked-choice methodology to ask over 1,023 likely voters in Alaska. from May 22-25. The group used targeted ads on Facebook and Instagram, as well as text messages sent to cell phone numbers of individuals who had a voter file that pollsters were seeking input from. The question was part of a study that included questions about other topics. Ads placed on social media targeted all Alaskan adults. Those who indicated that they were not registered to vote or they were unlikely to vote in 2022 were terminated.

The poll also asked a more general question about Murkowski’s favorability rating, which shows that 84 percent of Republicans view Murkowski unfavorably, and 6 percent of Republicans viewing her favorably; 48 percent of Democrats view her favorably, with just 32 percent viewing her unfavorably.

Results of polling like this will influence whether Democratic individual mega donors or political action committees will bother with the Alaska Senate race in 2022.

In the 2020 election cycle, the Democrats backed Al Gross against Sen. Dan Sullivan, out-raising him by millions of dollars, mostly from out of state. Gross and his independent expenditure groups had in excess of $38 million, while Sullivan and his support groups had $19 million.

Data from OpenSecrets.org

Despite being outspent nearly 2-1, Sullivan won over Gross, 54-41, a better result for Sullivan than when he challenged Sen. Mark Begich in 2014, and beat Begich, 48-46.

Ordinance: Could it lead to arrest of parent if child gets hurt at playground? Do using binoculars pose a form of harassment?

An ordinance considered by the Anchorage Assembly to update the definition of “abuse of a child or vulnerable adult” lowers the threshold for prosecution of some child abuse crimes, and also makes harassment something broadly defined and easier to prosecute.

Whereas now, an adult could be prosecuted for intentionally, knowingly, or recklessly allowing a child to become injured or tortured, the new language says the threshold refers simply to “recklessly,” which supposedly includes the higher levels of “intention” and “knowing,” but allows a jury to focus on just one thing: Did the parent act recklessly?

The desire for the ordinance change came as a result of an egregious case where a mother had subjected her son to cruel punishment, and videotaped it so she could be on the Dr. Phil Show for a segment pertaining to angry moms.

“Beagley was prosecuted for this offense after the ‘Dr. Phil’ television show aired a video that Beagley submitted to the show. In this video, Beagley is seen punishing her seven-year- old son in two ways. First, Beagley made her son drink hot sauce and hold the sauce in his mouth while Beagley yelled at him. Following this, Beagley ordered her son to take off all of his clothes; she then forced him to stand under a cold shower,” the summary of the case revealed.

Read: Jessica Beagley vs. Municipality of Anchorage

Municipal Attorney Kate Vogel wrote that it’s doubtful that her office would prosecute a parent for an injury that occurred on the playground, even if it could be argued that the parent exposed the child recklessly to harm.

“This change makes the language of the ordinance cleaner. It also focuses a jury’s deliberation on whether a defendant has met the ‘reckless’ standard which would result in conviction,” she wrote.

“Experience with jury trials tells us that additional higher levels of intent in code can distract the jury from the lower intent standard upon which they must focus. If a jury is focused on the fact that an act was not intentional, they are more likely to minimize the lower requisite level of intent of recklessness when determining guilt,” Vogel wrote.

“An example would be a parent failing to properly supervise a child playing on a playground who then falls and hurts themselves. This would be negligently permitting injury, yet it would likely not be charged by our office,” the city attorney wrote.

But “likely not be charged” is a pretty big legal loophole for some citizens, who critiqued the change.

Louis Imbriani, a member of the public speaking to the Assembly against the ordinance, said that the change doesn’t clear up the matter, if, as the municipality says, a child injury on a playground can still be seen as a result of a reckless parent not properly supervising the child.

“Looking at this at face value, it is not very clear,” he said. For someone like Imbriani, who works with youth hockey as an official and could be a “mandatory reporter” of potential abuse, “I feel that this could muddy the water and prevent people from reporting crimes in the future.”

Jennifer Anderson, an Anchorage parent, also raised concerns: “I will not raise my daughter wrapped in bubble wrap. The intent as laid out in the memo is to lower the difficulty for the prosecutors. I think we are innocent until we are proven guilty. When we remove the words ‘intent,’ when we remove the words ‘knowingly,’ you have just turned me into a criminal if I allow my daughter to walk down to the park on her own, as an exercise in judgment, growth, and development, so that she can become a responsible human by having an opportunity to make mistakes. I’m not being negligent.”

Anderson also objected to the new definition, “reckless disregard for any annoying effect.” She then took out a pair of binoculars and looked through them at the Assembly for a moment.

“There are some people who would be annoyed by those,” she said, referring apparently to Municipal Clerk Barbara Jones, who had objected to election observers bringing binoculars into the ballot counting area during the recent election. “Have I just committed a crime? Perhaps I have, according to this.”

The ordinance updates harassment by changing the level of intent from “intent to harass or annoy” to “reckless disregard for any harassing or annoying effect.” It shifts the focus to the feelings of the victim of the harassment, but leaves a wide loophole for someone to say he was harassed for anything he finds offensive.

Dr. Michael Savitt, a pediatrician, who has testified in child abuse cases as an expert witness, said he has seen every kind of abuse there is.

“I have seen things you don’t want to see in your worst nightmares. I have seen every kind of abuse that there is: physical, sexual, emotional, and neglect,” he said.

“As I read this ordinance, I find it absolutely unnecessary. The laws are on the books to punish those who need to be punished. The prosecutors are more than able to make a case based on the examination of the child and interrogation of those involved,” Savitt said.

“We take this very seriously. What I find more than anything else here is there is going to be a government intervention between parent and child. I will tell you there are children who will say ‘You won’t let me go do this, well I am going to report you.’ This has happened. I’ve seen this happen already,” he said, also describing cases where neighbors wrongfully report on parents as a way to get even with them for something.

Assemblywoman Meg Zaletel said that people were reading the ordinance wrong and were stretching in their arguments about how the ordinance would be applied.

Assemblyman Kameron Perez-Verdia said the Department of Law had done a “really good job with this.”

Municipal Attorney Kate Vogel said the public testimony was full of “misinformation.”

Later in the evening, Dr. Savitt pushed back on what Vogel called “misinformation.”

“That is telling you that everyone who spoke here is a liar,” Savitt. said. “I for one am tired of being insulted because we disagree.”

The ordinance was postponed until June 22.

LGBTQ advocate tells Assembly that use of term ‘biological man’ is ‘transphobic’

If you want to know more about transgenderism, go to the Midtown Clinic and speak with medical professionals, Mercedes Curran said to the Anchorage Assembly on Tuesday night, targeting at least one Assemblywoman and members of the public who used the term “biological man or woman” during a recent Assembly meeting.

Curran, lecturing the Assembly and public in an angry tone, said the term “biological man or woman” is damaging. She is a member of the LGBTQ+ community.

“Determining gender purely by the basis of biological sex is not as clearcut as one could think. The chromosomes, testosterone levels, the anatomical features arguments don’t hold weight, not with all the research that is out there that shows otherwise,” she said. “Go get current, get educated. Maybe talk to the members of the trans and queer community and listen.”

“There is no excuse to continue to spread harmful information and hateful ideology,” she said. She said there is no reason any woman, trans or otherwise, should be turned away from a shelter and that trans women were a protected class and that to turn away biological males is unAmerican, unAlaskan, and unconstitutional.

She was responding to the debate about whether transgendered men-to-women can be prevented from entering shelters for women. The Hope Center in Downtown Anchorage only admits biological women, and has said these women clients are highly traumatized by men and should not be forced to sleep next to men.

In May, the Anchorage Assembly, on a vote of 8-2, passed an ordinance that revised Anchorage Municipal Code Title 5, the Equal Rights section, to prohibit women’s shelters from barring men who say they are women.

Read: Targeting Hope Center, Assembly passes measure to force women’s shelters to accept biological males

At the same time, the Assembly is funding a shelter for transgender people called “Choosing Our Roots” using federal Covid relief funds.

“Any rhetoric protecting real women is just bigoted dog-whistling that intends to fear-monger and dehumanize one of the most vulnerable populations in our community. Trans women are real women, whether you like it or not, no matter what you say in your echo chamber.”

It was yet another contribution in an ongoing national conversation about who may use women’s bathrooms, women’s locker rooms and whether boys can “identify” as girls and compete against girls in sports.

“Get used to it,” Curran said during her three minutes at the podium. The Assembly had no questions for her.

Former Rep. Tammie Wilson named as director of governor’s Fairbanks office

Former North Pole Rep. Tammie Wilson is the new director of the Fairbanks Office of the Governor. She replaces Jim Sackett, who resigned last month.

Wilson served in the Alaska Legislature from December 3, 2009 – January 24, 2020, and then resigned to take a position as a policy adviser with the Office of Children’s Services.

In her new role as being the liaison for Gov. Mike Dunleavy in Fairbanks, she will also have a secondary role of continuing to focus on Office of Children’s Services issues.

She served on the House Finance Committee, as well as Transportation, Health and Social Services, Labor and Commerce, Military & Veterans Affairs, and the Joint Armed Services committees. She ran for mayor in 2015, but lost to Karl Kassel.

State’s Covid information hub scaled back

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This week the Department of Health and Social Services stopped updating its Covid-19 Information Hub on a daily basis, and is now reporting the updates just three times a week.

The exceptions are hospital data  and vaccine monitoring dashboards, which will be updated five days a week. Daily summary emails and social media posts will also be reduced to three times per week, the department said.

Last June, the state was seeing a sharp uptick in Covid-19 cases, and was alarmed at the new highs being set routinely as the virus spread across the state. A 44-case day last June 25 shocked the state.

This year, there were 50 new cases of Covid-19 over three days and few paid attention to it. The statewide alert, once high, is now low.

  • June 4 cases – 19 residents, 0 nonresident
  • June 5 cases – 22 residents, 0 nonresident
  • June 6 cases – 8 residents, 1 nonresident

And 47 percent of Alaskans ages 12 and older have been vaccinated, while 53 percent have received a first dose of Covid vaccine.

The vaccination rates across the state show that Juneau is at the highest level, with more than two-thirds of its people vaccinated, while just one-third of the Mat-Su Valley residents have been vaccinated, ranking at the bottom. Juneau has experienced 1,303 cases, or about 4.3 percent of the population, while Mat-Su Borough has seen 11,623 cases, or 11 percent of the population:

  • Juneau Region: 67%
  • Other Southeast Region – Northern: 63%
  • YK-Delta Region: 61%
  • Southwest Region: 55%
  • Other Southeast Region – Southern: 54%
  • Northwest Region: 51%
  • Anchorage Region: 49%
  • Other Interior Region: 49%
  • Kenai Peninsula Region: 41%
  • Fairbanks North Star Borough: 40%
  • Matanuska-Susitna Region: 32%

A total of 67,698 known cases of Covid-19 have been diagnosed in Alaska, while the total number of nonresident cases diagnosed in the state is 2,822, In the year and a half since the pandemic, 1,581 Alaskans have been hospitalized with the virus and 362 deaths are reportedly due to Covid-19.

There are currently 21 patients diagnosed with Covid-19 who are hospitalized and two additional patients who are considered persons under investigation for a total of 23 current Covid-related hospitalizations. Four of these patients are on ventilators. The percentage of patients currently hospitalized with Covid-19 is 2.3%.

A total of 2,300,710 tests have been conducted, with 20,413 tests conducted in the previous seven days. The average percentage of daily positive tests for the previous seven days is 0.87%.

John Morris: Next steps in addressing homelessness in Alaska’s largest city

BY DR. JOHN MORRIS

Homelessness is the foundational problem of our city. Not because it stands in the way of downtown revitalization and economic development, adds to crime, or decreases property values, but because it cuts at the soul of our city. A community is a living thing and when a part of us is hurting and we don’t seem to be able to do anything about it, it hurts us like a wound that does not heal.  

It is expected that cities of our size provide professional fire, police, and ambulance services. Government, not just private charity, steps in when we are hurt, in danger, or threatened.  

Why doesn’t having a safe place to sleep at night make the list? By the best counts available, nearly a dozen of our neighbors die on the streets or in our woods each month in winter. Fires happen daily. Not to mention the crimes, the injuries, the assaults, the overdoses, the frost bite…

Mayor-elect Dave Bronson and I believe that this is wrong, that if one more person dies on our streets, and we could have prevented it, then we could have done better. For what is government then, if not to protect the weak?  

The strategy is simple: Build enough shelter capacity to provide a safe place for every one who needs it. Fast. Go out and find our homeless neighbors where they are, engage them with teams of people who can earn their trust, with lived experience and training, carrying the message that there is a better, safer place for them. Not everyone will come. But a safe place will be offered to all and, when accepted, provided.

This is not another three-year plan to end homelessness. It is emergency treatment to end the suffering.  We think of it as building an ambulance and an emergency room, as distinguished from building a whole hospital. The emergency room stabilizes you, treats your pain, gives breathing room and time to find permanent solutions, a diagnosis and a cure. A hospital does surgeries, gives antibiotics and therapy, the definitive treatment. The municipality will build the ‘ambulance’ and the ‘emergency room,’ we will rely on our partners to build the ‘hospital.’ 

Much has been made of the law enforcement component of our plan and it is true we will enforce our laws. Our public spaces will be restored to the use of us all and our streets will be made safe. But we promise you this – before the arm of the law extends to any of our poorest neighbors our city will first offer a helping hand.  Ideally more than once.  If you care about someone, you help them, this is understood. But we believe that when you truly care for another, you care enough to tell them no. 

We do not promise to solve homelessness, rather we act to address it. Compassionately, practically, and systematically. It is too big for any one charity or service provider or private group to handle alone, and the problems are perhaps too personal and individualized for government on its own. It takes all of us.  The municipality will provide emergency shelter, so not one of our neighbors must sleep out in the snow or under a plastic sheet.

Our city’s excellent private organizations are ideally suited to engage our homeless neighbors, learn their stories and help show them that there are other, better ways than a life on the streets. Anchorage’s businesses and charities have successfully built the various types of low cost or supportive housing people need, and can do so again. And our city as a whole, our people – all of us – must act together with both compassion and wisdom.

Understanding that giving to a panhandler on the street helps neither them nor their neighbors, but knowing instead that giving that money to a group that can help that same person find a solution can change a life.  

Mayor Elect Bronson has asked me to join his transition team as homeless coordinator. Not homeless guru, director, or czar. It might be better to call the job title ‘convener.’ Anchorage does not need another person claiming to have the solution to homelessness.

What we need is a team that brings together the great people we already have in this town, who are experts in the field and – I don’t know another word for it – coordinate with them. Take the next step. Unifying our efforts, measuring outcomes, and raising the bar on what we want to accomplish.  We aren’t inventing something new, we are taking the next step, building on our community’s successes.

Over the past weeks and months we have been meeting with homeless service providers and other stakeholders, first learning from them and then sharing our vision, building just such a team of people who agree and share that vision. Vision and team. That is what real leadership is and that is what Mayor Elect Bronson is bringing on July 1. 

Dr. John Morris, M.D., is a board-certified pediatric anesthesiologist and transition team leader for homelessness for Mayor-Elect Dave Bronson.

Alaska Rep. David Eastman tours audit of election results in Maricopa County, Arizona

Rep. David Eastman of Wasilla was spotted touring the facilities in Maricopa County, Arizona, where an audit is being conducted of the 2020 presidential election.

In addition to Eastman flying on his own dime from Anchorage to take a tour of the ongoing audit, delegations from Pennsylvania, Colorado, Nevada, and Georgia have been at Veterans Memorial Coliseum. The night before, Eastman had attended a party celebrating the victory of Dave Bronson as the next Anchorage mayor.

Arizona Senate Republicans approved an election audit — a recount of all 2.1 million Maricopa County ballots. The county, where Phoenix is the largest city, accounts for 60 percent of the ballots cast in Arizona.

While the audit won’t overturn the results of the presidential or U.S. Senate races, the method is being closely monitored by both ends of the political spectrum — Republicans say it will create more trust in elections or could prove election fraud, while Democrats and the mainstream media say it will destroy the Democracy as we know it.

Arizona Senate Republicans hired a private company out of Florida called Cyber Ninjas to lead the effort that involves subcontractors. According to sources in the building, the hand count is about 80 percent complete.

The audit can be watched via numerous stadium cameras at this azaudit.org site.

Murkowski is part of new bipartisan group negotiating with Biden on ‘infrastructure’

The bargaining between the Republicans in the Senate and President Joe Biden came to an impasse Tuesday, and the president broke of the talks. He is instead working with a group of 20 senators on a massive infrastructure bill that at least one Democrat lawmaker has admitted is much ado about climate change, rather than roads and bridges.

Senator Shelley Moore Capito, (R-W.Va.), was the lead Republican negotiator to the White House when she got the call from Biden on Tuesday, breaking off the talks.

The new bipartisan group of senators now working with Biden includes Alaska Sen. Lisa Murkowski, a Republican, along with Sens. Kyrsten Sinema (D-Ariz.), Rob Portman (R-Ohio), Mitt Romney, (R-Utah), Joe Manchin, (D-W.V.), and Sen. Jon Tester (D-Mont.). The group of senators began meeting together on Tuesday to come up with an offer for the president.

Rep. Tom Malinowski, (D-NJ) said at a June 4 town hall: “President Biden, on the other hand, proposed a bill that defines infrastructure more broadly… and, on top of that, included some things that probably most people would not think of as infrastructure but that many of us think are really important for the country.”

That is the big sticking point for conservatives, who have seen everything from climate change to day care redefined as “infrastructure” by the Biden Administration.

The talks with the Republicans also broke off because the conservatives in the Senate would not spend more — the GOP’s final offer was about $700 billion too little for the president to accept; his package wants more than $2.3 trillion in new federal borrowing over the next eight years. It would take 15 years for Biden’s proposed corporate tax hike to generate enough revenue to pay for the projects.

As for paying for day care with borrowed federal dollars, the children will be graduating from high school before their federally funded day care is paid off, conservatives note.

Doug Schrage named fire chief, and new city attorney Patrick Bergt appointed by Mayor-elect Bronson

Dave Bronson, mayor elect of Anchorage, named Doug Schrage as the new fire chief for Anchorage.

Schrage is a former chief operating officer of the Anchorage Fire Department and has been serving as the fire chief of the University of Alaska Fire Department in Fairbanks, where he has overseen the education of firefighters across the state.

When serving in Anchorage for over 25 years, he held every rank through deputy chief at the fire department. He began his career in 1981 as a student fire fighter in the University Fire Department.

Current Fire Chief Jodie Hettrick said in March that she plans to retire and the end of June.

Bronson also named Patrick Bergt as the incoming municipal attorney. Burgt is a lifelong Alaskan and served as a district attorney in Anchorage, prosecuting violent, drug, and property crime. He also served in private practice and as an attorney for public lands. Raised in Anchorage, he is a graduate of Service High School.

The municipal attorney serves as chief legal counsel to the executive branch, including the mayor, and all executive, departments, agencies, boards and commissions. He supervises and control all civil and criminal legal services performed by the department and contract counsel for the Municipality.

The current municipal attorney, Kate Vogel, was appointed by Mayor Ethan Berkowitz.