Tuesday, April 29, 2025
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Ballot Measure 2’s jungle primary, ranked choice voting set for court Monday

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The State of Alaska will defend Ballot Measure 2 in court on Monday. Ranked-choice voting and open primaries were passed by voters in November with BM2, and it’s now law, unless overturned by a court, the Legislature, or voters.

Bob Bird, chairman of the Alaska Independence Party, and Scott Kohlhaas, who ran as a Libertarian in 2020, sued on behalf of the minor parties, which they say are being harmed by the jungle primary scheme, because it removes parties from the Primary and leaves voters with mystifying choices in the General Election. With Republican Ken Jacobus as their attorney, the two filed a lawsuit in December, saying that Ballot Measure 2 harms individual rights to free political association because it takes parties out of the primary.

Ballot Measure 2 was the scheme of attorney Scott Kendall, who also is involved with the creation and legal defense of the Recall Dunleavy Committee. He is the former campaign manager for Sen. Lisa Murkowski and many political observers believe that BM2 was created to protect Murkowski from a Republican primary.

Under Kendall’s scheme passed by voters, all party candidates compete on the same ballot; the Republican Party doesn’t get to have its own ballot anymore.

The top four vote-getters advance to the General Election, where voters will rank their preferences, 1-4.

Votes are counted and reallocated to second and third choice candidates until one of the candidates gets a majority. It’s a complicated scheme that requires computer counting and is nearly impossible to audit by hand counting.

The lawsuit claims the scheme violates federal and state constitutions relating to political association and free speech. It’s a tough argument: While no other state has both jungle primaries and ranked choice voting, California has jungle primaries, while Maine has ranked choice voting.

Ranked choice voting was what led to the catastrophe in the New York City mayoral race this month, but the mistake was caught and corrected. The confusion has cast suspicion, however, as to the integrity of the election system in New York City and whether ranked-choice voting is all its cracked up to be.

The Alaska litigants are also concerned that any candidate can now put whatever party affiliation they want next to their name. A Democrat or Socialist could say he is a Republican, for instance, and the ballot would have to show that. With no party primaries, the political parties lost control over who gets to represent their political organization, which is an aspect of the constitutional argument of being able to associate as a political group and advance candidates under a political platform.

The Republican Party looked at the lawsuit and considered filing one itself, but in the end did not do so and did not join the lawsuit from the Alaskan Independence Party and Libertarian Party.

One of the arguments of the litigants is that ranked-choice voting makes voters less able to make a good decision because they have no idea which candidates might be eliminated and they might have voted differently if they had known that one candidate or another had been advanced or dropped through the reallocation of votes.

Republican leaders gathering in Fairbanks this weekend at their State Central Committee quarterly meeting expressed concern over Ballot Measure 2, but many thought the best way to proceed is with a ballot initiative to reverse it. That would take millions of dollars, just as it did for Kendall, who used dark money from Outside Alaska, with his Alaskans for Better Elections group that created the voting scheme.

Representing Bird and Kohlhaas is fellow plaintiff Ken Jacobus. The state will be represented by Assistant Attorney General Margaret Paton-Walsh, and intervenors on behalf of the Ballot Measure 2 side is Kendall, former Attorney General Jahna Lindemuth, and Sam Gottstein. The case will be heard by Anchorage Superior Court Judge Gregory Miller.

Brett Huber returns to Governor’s Office, will spearhead Statehood Defense Initiative

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Gov. Mike Dunleavy brought former senior advisor Brett Huber back into the fold last week to lead and coordinate the State of Alaska’s plan to reassert control of lands and waters, and to push back on federal overregulation.

Huber had been gone for several months from the Governor’s Office, returning as the senior policy advisor for statehood defense. Recently, Huber ran a political organization attempting to educate Alaskans about the hazards of Ballot Measure 2, the overhaul of Alaska’s voting methods. Voters passed that measure narrowly, ushering in a jungle primary and ranked choice voting in the General Election. Huber had been Dunleavy’s campaign manager in 2018.

Dunleavy emphasized the importance of defending the state’s role over lands and waters in his State of the State Address this year to Alaskans, and wrote President Biden a formal letter in March, expressing the State of Alaska’s intent to manage the more than 800,000 miles of navigable rivers and 30 million acres of navigable lakes that is within the state’s authority, which was affirmed in the 2019 Supreme Court decision Sturgeon v Frost. 

On Wednesday, Governor Dunleavy announced the State of Alaska is suing the U.S. Department of Interior for its unilateral extension of land restrictions to 28 million acres of federal land within the state.

“I look forward to supporting Governor Dunleavy in Alaska’s defense against an encroaching and overreaching federal government, and further assisting as he ensures the Last Frontier has a robust future for generations to come,” Huber said.

Huber has three decades’ worth of experience in public policy with a focus on state and federal issues. He served as chief of staff to a number Alaska State Senate leaders, and as an advisor to leaders in the Alaska Legislature on land, fish, and wildlife issues.

The Alaska Legislature in its operating budget agreed with Dunleavy’s proposal to allocate $4 million for the Statehood Defense Initiative, which would involve the Departments of Natural Resources, Law, and Fish & Game among others.

Alaska Republicans vote to withdraw support for Rep. Kelly Merrick, Eagle River

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Republicans from District 14, Eagle River, requested the Alaska Republican Party withdraw its support for House Rep. Kelly Merrick, due to her joining a Democrat majority in the House.

The party did this in prior years with former Rep. Jim Colver, former Rep. Gabrielle LeDoux, and former Rep. Paul Seaton, who broke from the Republicans to join the Democrat-led caucus. The party also withdrew support from now-House Speaker Louise Stutes, who is a Republican but doesn’t caucus with Republicans.

Merrick ran in 2018 and again as the incumbent in 2020. She has heavy labor union support, and is married to the top labor boss in the state, Joey Merrick, who runs independent expenditure groups that work against Republican candidates.

The fragile 21-member Republican majority was broken when Kelly Merrick negotiated a role as the co-chair of House Finance Committee, in exchange for leaving the Republican majority caucus. She wasn’t the only one: Rep. Sara Rasmussen left the Republican caucus but did not join another caucus, and she was not censured by the party.

The vote was 52-10 in favor of what is effectively a condemnation of Merrick’s actions. The party will provide no financial support for Merrick, should she choose to run for reelection.

The best firearms salesman: Joe Biden

Thanks largely, we suspect, to the Biden administration’s wrong-headed persistence in pursuing its anti-Second Amendment policies, buyers scooped up more than 1.2 million guns in June, making the month the second-best for gun sales on record.

The FBI’s National Instant Criminal Background Check System shows that is a slight decline from May’s 1.3 million gun sales and about 900,000 short of last year’s monthly sales record.

Mind you, while things such as the Left’s calls for police defunding, along with food shortages, prisoner releases and widespread rioting, likely fueled surging purchases in recent years, President Joe Biden’s war on the Second Amendment now is prompting, at least partly, today’s gun sales. Americans, it turns out, are not ready to become subjects rather than citizens.

You have to wonder when Biden finally will realize he joins a long list of Democrats vying to be history’s best firearms salesman. He is moving steadily up in the ranks.

Alaska Supreme Court rules against Alyse Galvin in 2020 election challenge of ballot design

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Alyse Galvin has lost again. This time, in court against the Alaska Division of Elections.

When the Division of Elections decided congressional candidate Galvin would be listed as a Democratic Party candidate on the General Election ballot in November, 2020, Galvin objected. She identified as an “independent,” wanted to be listed as an independent, and said it wasn’t fair to have a “D” next to her name.

But there was a problem: She was the Alaska Democratic Party’s official nominee.

She sued. Galvin, who was running for Congress for the second time against Congressman Don Young, sought to stop the Division of Elections from printing and mailing the General Election ballots, saying the ballot design harmed her as a candidate. Her lawsuit didn’t work at the Superior Court, and the election proceeded, with the ballot as designed by the Division of Elections. She appealed to the Alaska Supreme Court.

Galvin was a new breed of shape-shifting Democrat in Alaska who has registered as nonpartisan or undeclared, since in a conservative state like Alaska, Democrats don’t do well running in their own party.

On Friday, the Alaska Supreme Court issued a decision in that lawsuit that, while it didn’t say the State Division of Elections made the right decision putting a D next to Galvin’s name, acknowledged that the division used its best discretion, and agreed with the Superior Court ruling that the injunction Galvin had sought would have jeopardized the prospects of a successful and timely election.

“The superior court did not abuse its discretion by denying Galvin’s requested preliminary injunction because granting the injunction could have imperiled the public interest in an orderly and timely election,” the court wrote.

Win Gruening: Ranked-choice voting is not that simple

By WIN GRUENING

If the election debacle that played out in the New York City’s mayoral race is any indication, Alaska voters may get surprised next year when our first election under a ranked-choice voting system (RCV) is held.  Previously used just in a few school board and municipal races across the country, Alaska became only the second state (after Maine) to approve RCV elections after passage of Ballot Measure 2 last November.  

Touted by its Alaska proponents as “simple as 1-2-3-4” and often referred to as “instant-runoff voting”, the first use of RCV in NYC’s party primaries has been anything but that.  The Democratic mayoral primary held on June 22 had 13 candidates on the ballot and voters were asked to rank their top 5 choices.  A week later, after the initial wave of computer-generated elimination rounds, chaos reigned after the discovery of 135,000 test ballots that were mistakenly included in the vote count.  

Finally, after adding 120,000 absentee ballots the next week and re-running ballot elimination rounds, Eric Adams was declared the winner with 50.5% of the vote – 2 weeks after the election. The results still must be certified. 

Alaska’s new voting system, which is even more complicated than NYC’s, will take effect in our 2022 election cycle.  There are two major changes to Alaska’s elections:

  • partisan primaries are replaced with open top-four primaries for state executive, state legislative, and congressional offices; and
  • in the general election, traditional ballots will be replaced with ranked-choice voting where voters can rank the top four candidates that win in the primaries.

Under Alaska’s new primary system, all candidates for a given office run in a single primary election. The top four vote-getters, regardless of political party, then advance to the general election. 

In the general election, voters rank those four candidates – 1 through 4. If no candidate wins a simple majority, the candidate with the fewest votes is eliminated. That candidate’s 2nd choice votes are then redistributed to the other candidates. The tabulation process continues in rounds eliminating the lowest vote-getters until one candidate receives over 50% of the vote.

In reviewing Alaska election results over the past three elections cycles, it isn’t clear that RCV would have necessarily altered the outcomes of any of the statewide races. But RCV will generate an enormous amount of voter confusion.

Instead of filling in just 3 or 4 ovals as they would on a traditional general election ballot, voters could now be asked to fill in 25 or more ovals, creating countless opportunities for mistakes. If a voter ranks more than one candidate as their first choice, it will be treated as an “over-vote” and be invalidated. Voters will likely inadvertently leave ovals blank thereby depriving themselves of a vote on subsequent elimination rounds.  

The initial unofficial results, hopefully available soon after polls close, will be updated periodically as absentees arrive up until the 15th day following the election. It isn’t until after all absentees are counted that election computers will then begin the elimination process, if necessary, to re-allocate 2nd choice votes, 3rd choice votes and so on.

The ultimate outcome of some races, therefore, could remain in doubt for weeks and results could change dramatically. If vote results are contested, the procedure for recounting will be largely opaque, controlled by vote-counting software that automatically re-adjusts vote totals.  

This is the radical change that voters approved, albeit by only a thin 1% margin. 

But voters can educate themselves on the races so they’re ready to vote for their candidates before entering the voting booth. With our new open primary, candidate party labels may or may not be accurate so one cannot rely on them. It’s also important to note that, in a heavily contested multi-candidate race, only voting for one candidate, or ”bullet voting”, makes it more likely that the candidate you least prefer may win.

Hats off to the Alaska Division of Elections that already has begun educational efforts.

Regrettably, the traditional principle of one-person one-vote that has served our country well for hundreds of years has been replaced by a confusing and unproven system.  

The change isn’t simple, and Alaskans need to prepare for it.

After retiring as the senior vice president in charge of business banking for Key Bank in Alaska, Win Gruening began writing op-eds for local and statewide media. He was born and raised in Juneau and graduated from the U.S. Air Force Academy in 1970. He is involved in various local and statewide organizations and currently serves on the board of the Alaska Policy Forum.

Tshibaka wins Alaska Republican Party endorsement for U.S. Senate

Kelly Tshibaka asked the Alaska Republican Party State Central Committee for its endorsement today for U.S. Senate. The State Central Committee debated the question on procedural matters briefly, and quickly took a vote.

By a margin of 58-17, Tshibaka won that endorsement handily. The support for her Senate candidacy was over 77 percent of those voting, with just five voting members abstaining.

Tshibaka announced her challenge to Sen. Lisa Murkowski on March 29, two weeks after the Alaska Republican Party had voted — by the same 77 percent — to censure Murkowski over her history of actions that have been counter to the platform and interests of the Republican Party. However, the 58 votes to endorse Tshibaka was greater than the 53 votes in March to censure Murkowski.

Read: Alaska Republican Party votes to censure Sen. Lisa Murkowski

“I am grateful and thrilled to have the strong support of the Alaska Republican Party, which voted overwhelmingly to endorse my candidacy for the U.S. Senate,” she said. “We all share a unified goal: to promote the principles upon which our country and state were founded. I have pledged that I will be true to our shared, conservative Alaska ideals and be a senator upon whom they can depend to make every decision based on what is best for our great state.”

Over the past several weeks leading up to the Republicans’ quarterly meeting, several Republican districts voted to endorse Tshibaka, and earlier this month she was endorsed by former President Donald Trump.

“We now move forward with a united front, determined to defend Alaska from the continued onslaught of the radical Biden administration. We need a senator who will stand with Alaskans and not cozy up to the Washington, D.C. insiders, a senator who has earned the trust of the people and strives to keep it every day. It is time for conservative leaders, with courage and common sense, to rise together across the nation. I am honored to be endorsed as that candidate for Alaska,”  Tshibaka said.

Read: Three more districts endorse Tshibaka

Three more districts endorse Kelly Tshibaka for U.S. Senate

Three more Republican district organizations endorsed Kelly Tshibaka for U.S. Senate, including District 3 of North Pole, District 31 of Kenai Peninsula-Homer, and District 40, the most northern political district in the United States.

Tshibaka is running against incumbent Sen. Lisa Murkowski. The three districts bring the total number to 12 that have endorsed the Republican challenger. 37 of the 40 House districts have Republican organizations, which means nearly one third of the organized districts have now voted to support Murkowski’s challenger.

Tshibaka was in Fairbanks on Friday, and attended a meet-and-greet with interested people at the Red Lantern restaurant, where over 40 attended. She was spotted later at the Allen West-Gov. Mike Dunleavy event, a fundraiser for the Alaska Republican Party at the Event Center in Fairbanks.

Kelly Tshibaka meet-and-greet in Fairbanks on July 9, 2021.

The other districts that have endorsed Tshibaka are 8, 12, 13, 14, 15, 21, 23, 29, and 30.

Republicans meeting in Fairbanks on Saturday have been asked by two Republican women’s clubs to endorse Tshibaka at the state party level; Tshibaka herself has sent a letter requesting the endorsement.

In March, the party censured Sen. Lisa Murkowski for her various roles in opposing President Donald Trump, including Murkowski’s role in voting to convict him in the impeachment process after he had already left office.

Tshibaka has earned the endorsement of former President Donald Trump.

First big cruise ship in 21 months arrives in Alaska: Serenade of the Seas

The first large cruise ship to dock in Alaska in over 20 months arrived in Ketchikan on Friday, when the Royal Caribbean Serenade of the Seas pulled into port. It was a test run.

The Centers for Disease Control had federal officials onboard, and after a day in Ketchikan the ship turned and returned to Seattle to complete what is known as a “simulated cruise.”

The 2020 cruise season in Alaska was a bust, due to restrictions caused by the Covid-19 pandemic. Most of Southeast Alaska’s economy has suffered immense harm because of the lack of visitors. Prior to 2020, Alaska had over 1 million cruise passengers a season, dropping to zero passengers in 2020.

Still in effect are Canadian government restrictions, which required congressional action to overcome. On May 20, Congress approved a bill to waive the requirements of Alaska-destined cruise ships to make port calls in Canada, and President Joe Biden signed the waiver.

Politicians, such as Sen. Lisa Murkowski, and civic leaders were on hand to greet the ship in Ketchikan. The Serenade had only about 300 people onboard — all volunteer passengers — and was essentially operating to show the CDC that it had good Covid-19 protocols in place.

Royal Caribbean released health protocols for Serenade cruises on July 1, which include wearing face masks in the public areas of the ship, and social distancing rules onboard.

Among activities that were monitored by the CDC:

  • embarkation and disembarkation procedures, including terminal check-in
  • on board activities, including at dining and entertainment venues
  • evacuation procedures
  • transfer of symptomatic passengers or crew, or those who test positive for SARSCoV-2, from cabins to isolation rooms
  • quarantine of all remaining passengers and non-essential crew
  • other activities listed in CDC technical instructions and orders

Serenade is one of two Royal Caribbean cruise ships scheduled to sail to Alaska this year. Ovation of the Seas is scheduled to begin Aug. 13 for an abbreviated season.

Serenade will sail 7-night cruises, with stops in popular ports of call, including Juneau, Sitka, Ketchikan and Icy Strait Point, Alaska, Endicott Arm fjord, and Dawes Glacier of Glacier Bay, but not Skagway.

Attending a formal event on the dock to welcome the ship were Lt. Gov. Kevin Meyer, Mayor Bob Sivertson and Rodney Dial from the City and Borough of Ketchikan, and chamber of commerce representatives.