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Researcher lights up Internet: ‘I used to think gun control was the answer’

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LEAH LIBRESCO
for THE WASHINGTON POST

Leah Libresco is a statistician and former newswriter at FiveThirtyEight, a Big Data journalism site. She is the author of “Arriving at Amen.” She wrote this for The Washington Post and it has been shared widely.

Before I started researching gun deaths, gun-control policy used to frustrate me. I wished the National Rifle Association would stop blocking common-sense gun-control reforms such as banning assault weapons, restricting silencers, shrinking magazine sizes and all the other measures that could make guns less deadly.

Then, my colleagues and I at FiveThirtyEight spent three months analyzing all 33,000 lives ended by guns each year in the United States, and I wound up frustrated in a whole new way. We looked at what interventions might have saved those people, and the case for the policies I’d lobbied for crumbled when I examined the evidence. The best ideas left standing were narrowly tailored interventions to protect subtypes of potential victims, not broad attempts to limit the lethality of guns.

I researched the strictly tightened gun laws in Britain and Australia and concluded that they didn’t prove much about what America’s policy should be. Neither nation experienced drops in mass shootings or other gun related-crime that could be attributed to their buybacks and bans. Mass shootings were too rare in Australia for their absence after the buyback program to be clear evidence of progress. And in both Australia and Britain, the gun restrictions had an ambiguous effect on other gun-related crimes or deaths.

[Read more at The Washington Post]

Leave a comment on this story below.

MICHAEL MOORE BEGS TO DIFFER, WANTS CONSTITUTIONAL AMENDMENT

Michael Moore, the firebrand of the Left, posted this on his Facebook page — a proposal he has drafted to repeal the Second Amendment:

PROPOSED 28th AMENDMENT TO THE US CONSTITUTION

“A well regulated State National Guard, being helpful to the safety and security of a State in times of need, along with the strictly regulated right of the people to keep and bear a limited number of non-automatic Arms for sport and hunting, with respect to the primary right of all people to be free from gun violence, this shall not be infringed.”

I, Michael Moore, along with all who support an end to this epidemic of gun violence, propose a new Amendment to our Constitution that repeals the ancient and outdated 2nd Amendment (which was written before bullets and revolvers were even invented), and replaces it with a new 28th Amendment that guarantees States can have State militias (a.k.a. State National Guards which are made up of citizen-soldiers who are called upon in times of natural disasters or other State emergencies), allows individuals to use guns for sport and gathering food, and guarantees everyone the right to be free of, and protected from, gun violence (i.e., the public’s safety comes ahead of an individual’s right to own and fire a gun).

This amendment would allow states and the federal government to pass laws that would regulate gun ownership in the following manner:

• As over 90% of gun violence is committed by men, in order for a man to purchase a gun, he must first get a waiver from his current wife, plus his most recent ex-wife, or any woman with whom he is currently in a relationship (if he’s gay, he must get the waiver from his male spouse/partner). This law has greatly reduced most spousal/domestic gun murders in Canada.

• All automatic and semi-automatic guns are banned.

• No gun or clip can hold more than 6 bullets.

• To activate a gun for it to be used, the trigger must recognize the fingerprint of its registered owner. This will eliminate most crimes committed with a gun as 80% of these crimes are done with a stolen gun.

• One’s guns must be stored at a licensed gun club or government-regulated gun storage facility. Believing that having a gun in your home provides you with protection is an American myth. People who die from a home invasion make up a sad but minuscule .04% of all gun murders in the US. And over a third of them are killed by their own gun that the criminal has either stolen or wrestled from them.

• To own and operate a gun one must obtain a license (like one does to operate a car). To get a license you have to complete a gun training and safety course and pass a thorough background check.

• As nearly half of all gun deaths are suicides, mental health care must become a top national health priority and must be properly funded. And by making it more difficult to purchase a gun – and requiring its storage outside the home – easy access during a suicidal moment is denied.

• Current restrictions placed on the Centers for Disease Control (CDC), due to successful lobbying by the NRA, have prohibited them from studying the gun violence epidemic in the US. These rules need to be removed and the funding restored. Science will then be free to find out why we are ALONE among nations in killing each other at such a massive rate (hint: It’s not just the guns – it’s us as Americans).

These are a few of the regulations that can be enacted to both protect society yet not deny hunters and sportsmen their fun. This is the sane approach that meets everyone’s needs — everyone, that is, except those of the serial killer, the mass murderer, the violent ex-husband, the disgruntled employee or the disturbed and bullied teenager. We will never eliminate all murder; that’s been with us since Cain killed Abel. But we CAN join the community of enlightened nations where gun violence is that rare occurrence — as opposed to the daily tragedy we now suffer here in the United States of America. This can come to an end with the repeal of the 2nd Amendment and replacing it with the 28th Amendment.

For those who believe it will be impossible to do this, let me close by sharing with you two important facts that should give us hope:

1. We are not a country of gun nuts. 77% of all Americans do NOT own a gun! If three-quarters of the country has decided they have no need for a gun, three-quarters of the country may also decide they have no need for an archaic amendment that allows retired accountants to own 47 assault weapons. LET’S ORGANIZE THE 77%!

2. When President Obama tried to get Congress to pass simple, common sense gun control legislation after the massacre at Sandy Hook Elementary, polls showed 90% of the country backed him! But the NRA beat him. LET’S ORGANIZE THE 90%!

We can start with the upcoming midterm election. Let every candidate know: If you take NRA money, we will
remove you from office.

Then do it.

READERS – WHAT DO YOU THINK?

Please leave a comment on whether gun violence can be tamed through a constitutional amendment. 

Events for politicos

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Send your political events items to suzanne @ mustreadalaska.com. Here’s what we’re serving up this week:

Oct. 16: University of Alaska Fairbanks Chancellor Daniel White luncheon presentation at Friday Interior GOP/ Fairbanks Republican Women, Denny’s Restaurant, 11:30 am

Oct. 16: Kevin Meyer for Lieutenant Governor fundraisers in Fairbanks, home of Mike Samson, 5:30-7:30 pm.

Oct. 16: Joint Hearing on Alaska LNG Project. Sen. Cathy Giessel (R-Anchorage), chair of the Senate Resources Committee, and Rep. Geran Tarr (D-Anchorage), co-chair of the House Resources Committee, will have a joint committee hearing at the Anchorage Legislative Information Office 2nd floor, 1500 West Benson Blvd, to update the public on the status of the Alaska LNG Project. The AK-LNG Project was initially authorized in 2014 by the passage of Senate Bill 138. Senate Bill 138 requires that updates be presented to the Alaska Legislature and the public. The Alaska Gasline Development Corporation (AGDC) will be the lead presenter. The public is invited to attend in-person or to listen via the Legislature’s website: http://akl.tv.  1 pm.

Oct. 19: Visions for Victory Series: Crime and Punishment in Anchorage, sponsored by Anchorage Republican Women’s Club. The Center, 4855 Arctic Blvd., Anchorage, 6-8 pm

Oct. 19:  Scott Hawkins for Governor evening presentation at Valley Republican Women Club, Matsu Restaurant, 7 pm.

Oct. 20: Charlie Huggins for Governor fundraiser, 36357 Sylvan Circle, Soldotna, 6-9 pm

Oct. 20: Sen. Pete Kelly luncheon presentation at Friday Interior GOP/ Fairbanks Republican Women, Denny’s Restaurant, 11:30 am

Oct. 21: Mike Chenault for Governor at Rie Munoz Gallery in Junenau, 5-7 pm (this is updated with new time)

Oct 21: Charlie Huggins for Governor meet and greet, Challenger Learning Center, Kenai, 11 am -1 pm

Oct. 21: Mat-Su Republican Women’s Club Octoberfest at the Quake Brewing Company, 1540 N. Shoreline Drive. Turn off the Palmer Wasilla Highway at Town and Country Furniture. Tickets are $35, and it’s brats with beer and all the fixings, all is included in the price. 6-9 pm.

Oct. 27: Sen. Click Bishop luncheon presentation at Friday Interior GOP/ Fairbanks Republican Women, Denny’s Restaurant, 11:30 am

Nov. 3: Sue Hull, State Board of Education, luncheon presentation at Friday Interior GOP/ Fairbanks Republican Women, Denny’s Restaurant, 11:30 am

Nov. 3: Republican Women of Anchorage Masquerade Gala at 49th State Brewing Co. in Anchorage, 6:30 pm.

Nov. 10: Bart LeBon, candidate for House District 1, luncheon presentation at Friday Interior GOP/ Fairbanks Republican Women, Denny’s Restaurant, 11:30 am

Send political calendar items to suzanne @ mustreadalaska.com

 

Brutal: Gov. Walker gets creamed on Facebook fail

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Gov. Bill Walker, having returned from five days in China, perhaps thought he was “on message” when he posted on Facebook that he needs more revenue to “protect Alaskans’ health and safety.”

He went on to say the Alaska Native Engineering Program at University of Alaska had seen a $960,000 budget cut.

It was a message that was doomed from the start.

Facebook readers were especially biting. Some of the more than 128 commenters argued with his logic, while others took the opportunity to criticize him for taking half of the Permanent Fund dividends. The vast majority were disapproving for all kinds of reasons:

“Try having less special sessions and save even more….now…. “

“We need to cut some personnel out of our executive branch. Starting with you.”

“Cruel joke , taking away peoples needed PFD monies for these Phony crisis.”

“Not growing a budget is not a cut.”

“Lies. You have cut NOTHING. OVERALL STATE SPENDING HAS INCREASED.”

“I almost feel like you are bragging or are proud about this! This is quite sad…to cut funding that provides better opportunities to children who are our future. Sad.”

“Wow. Of all things, you find funding an engineering education program a waste of funds? This has got to be the craziest thing I have read today and we don’t lack for crazy these days.”

The governor recently returned from a five-day trip to China to try to develop a market for his gas line. Previous trips to Japan and South Korea for the same purpose have not proven particularly fruitful for a project that appears to be running out of time and is on its last few months of funding.

Gov. Bill Walker, third from left, joined by AGDC President Kevin Meyer, left, Chief Oil and Gas Adviser John Hendrix, Shelley James, and the governor’s economist John Tichotsky, with Chinese officials last month in China.

The governor is spending more than $6 million a year on salaries for Alaska Gasline Development Corporation executives, has opened a gas line office in Houston and Japan.

Walker recently added a climate change director to the Executive Office of the Governor at a cost of more than $100,000 per year and today is hosting a climate change conference in Anchorage.

Other executives he has kept in his administration are former Chief of Staff Jim Whitaker, who is now in charge of major projects, and the governor’s campaign manager, (listed as a special assistant), John-Henry Heckendorn, who serves in the dual role of governor’s “body man,” and campaign liaison.

The governor will be hosting a fundraiser at his Anchorage home on Thursday for his re-election and that of Democrat Lieutenant Gov. Byron Mallott.

Businesses donate, innovate, improve education

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Last month, Hecla Mining, the operator of Greens Creek Mine on Admiralty Island, made a significant contribution to the University of Alaska Southeast. The $300,000 donation will provide scholarships to UAS’s Pathways to Mining Careers program – training students in the latest mining technologies.

This brings the total amount donated by Hecla for the program to $900,000.

Mining companies like Hecla understand the importance of investing in a locally-trained work force. Without it they will lose the race between technology and education as industry invests more in automation.  They realize the ability of the available work force to compete for jobs is handicapped by the poor performance of education systems across our country. This is most evident in the kind of technical disciplines necessary to fuel our economy in the future.

This realization hits home as the results of two surveys were made public.

First, U.S. News and World Report ranked the economies of the 50 U.S. states – measuring each state’s economic stability and potential. Hobbled by the oil downturn and high unemployment rate, Alaska came in #50 – dead last.

Equally disturbing, Alaska’s Department of Education and Early Development recently announced more than 60 percent of Alaska’s public school students failed to meet grade-level academic standards in English language arts and math in this year’s statewide standardized tests.

Students did slightly better on the statewide science exam but barely half were considered proficient.

This follows equally poor results Alaska schools experienced in 2015 – the last time students were tested.

And just two weeks ago, author Mark Lautman was in Juneau discussing his book, “When the Boomers Bail”. Lautman described a new economic paradigm in communities across the nation caused by shifting demographics, our country’s lack of a properly educated workforce and the competition among communities to attract a sufficient supply of qualified talent to fill needed jobs.

Why is it that mining companies seem to understand this but our public schools do not?

Teachers and administrators acknowledge that Alaska’s test scores have been consistently below national averages. In yet another effort to transform our school systems, the State Board of Education has launched Alaska’s Education Challenge to address issues affecting student achievement gaps and to increase Alaska’s graduation rates.

As part of the challenge, five committees comprised of Alaska educators, lawmakers, tribal representatives, parents and students will send their final reform recommendations to the board by Nov. 1. The board will deliver a report to the governor and Legislature in December.

The various committees, made up of almost 100 members, are noticeably light on business representatives. Perhaps they should consider a program promoted by Lautman that is sponsored by private industry and being pioneered in Juneau schools this year. The program was developed to address several intractable challenges many communities face today: underperforming public schools and a growing shortage of technical talent.

A brain-child of Ukrainian-born physicist, Anatoliy Glushchenko, associate professor at the University of Colorado at Colorado Springs, this program is simple and based on a universal, age-appropriate physics curriculum beginning in middle school. After living abroad for many years, Glushchenko observed most countries either over-produce or under-produce technical talent.

Countries that over-produced taught a full spectrum of physics topics in all middle school grades. Conversely, under-producers, like most Alaskan schools, waited until high school and sometimes made Physics an elective.

According to Glushchenko, by introducing applied physics in middle school, the student’s brain is completely “re-wired” for complex, analytical thinking.

This results in improved success metrics in almost all subject areas, especially math, but also in the language arts.

Physics is the fundamental science discipline describing how the world works. Whether a student goes on to become an engineer or a musician, studying physics at an early age develops critical thinkers who can internalize and process complex ideas as they advance in life.

The program does not require the recruitment of physics-qualified instructors and is available through a 501(c)3 organization, “See The Change”. The model is to train the trainer (the teacher) who, in turn, educates the student. All content is online and training materials are easily available through the website seethechangeusa.org.

The pilot program, implemented in two of Colorado Springs’ poorest performing middle schools, resulted in greatly improved test scores after just the first year.

Local businessman Bruce Denton is spearheading an effort to incorporate the new curriculum in the Juneau school system and has pledged to raise the $47,500 funding for it within the Juneau community.

Collaboration among legislators, educators, parents and students that also includes our engaged and generous business community may eventually prove to be the magic formula for transforming our local schools into true centers for learning.

Our Alaska economy is depending on it.

Win Gruening retired as the senior vice president in charge of business banking for Key Bank in 2012. He was born and raised in Juneau and graduated from the U.S. Air Force Academy in 1970. He is active in community affairs as a 30-plus year member of Juneau Downtown Rotary Club and has been involved in various local and statewide organizations.

 

 

 

Local election results from around Alaska

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Results from Oct. 2, 2017 municipal and borough elections in Alaska:

This story will be updated as information is available. Presumed winners of races are listed below but these results are unofficial while absentee ballots and questioned ballots are counted:

BETHEL: Mitchell Forbes, Thor Williams, and Naim Shabani for City Council. Voters approved Prop 1, to raise the sales tax on alcohol from 12 percent to 15 percent, and allocate 20 percent of the revenue generated to fund Bethel’s health, public safety, and social services programs..

DILLINGHAM: Two seats on the Council, and three seats on the School Board. Emily Hulett is running against Kim Williams for Seat A; Patty Buholm faced no opposition for seat C. Seat B had no candidate.

FAIRBANKS CITY: Council – Cleworth for Seat E; Pruhs for Seat F; Prop A-No to a marijuana establishment ban; Prop B-No to higher property taxes;

FAIRBANKS BOROUGH: Assembly – Quist for Seat D; Major for Seat E; Lowjewski for Seat H; Rice for School Board Seat F; Dominique for School Board Seat G; Wilbur for IGU at large; Rice for IGU Seat D. Marijuana establishment ban fails 9488 to 4080.

HOMER: Caroline Venuti and Rachel Lord for City Council.

JUNEAU: Rob Edwardson ousted Debbie White for Assembly. Jesse Kiehl and Maria Gladziszewski retained their seats. Short, Holst for School Board. Prop 1, extending the 1-cent extra sales tax passed. Prop 2, allowing the city to consider things other than low bids when awarding contracts, passed. 27.3 percent turnout.

KENAI CITY: Henry Knackstedt and Tim Navarre for City Council.

KENAI BOROUGH: Charlie Pierce and Linda Hutchings will be in a runoff for Kenai Peninsula Borough mayor; Norm Blakeley, Brent Hibbert, Hal Smalley, Kelly Cooper and Kenn Carpenter for Assembly. School Board – Jason Tauriainen won over Board President Joe Arness, to represent the Nikiski and Tyonek area.

Penny Vadla of Soldotna, Debbie Cary of Central, Mke ILLG of Homer for Borough Board of Education.

Prop 1, to ban marijuana establishments outside city limits, failed. Prop 2, to borrow funds for repairs of the borough administration building, failed. Prop 3, raising the cap on taxable sales from $500 to $1,000, failed.

KETCHIKAN CITY: Kiffer and Flora for City Council. The proposed ban on ridesharing (Uber, Lyft) failed.

KETCHIKAN BOROUGH: Pickerell, Bailey, and Pierce for Assembly; Brown, Thompson and Gubatayo for Board of Education; Prop 1 special sales tax on marijuana passed, for outside city limits (city has one already). Ketchikan had an over 21 percent voter turnout.

MAT-SU BOROUGH: Ted Leonard and Clayton Tew for Assembly; Ole Larson, Kelsey Trimmer for School Board; Prop B, 3 percent area sales tax for Talkeetna, passed. Mat-Su had a 9.19 percent turnout.

(UPDATE – OCT. 13: Absentee votes show Tew trailing Mayfield by 18 votes.)

NOME:

NORTH POLE: Council – Aino Welch; Sharon Hedding

NORTH SLOPE BOROUGH: The Accuvote machine in Nuiqsuit was broken, results may vary. UPDATED: Harry Brower for Mayor – this looks like it will be a runoff between Harry Brower and Frederick Brower; Alzred Steve Oomittuck for Assembly Seat A-1; Doreen Ahgeak Lampe for Assembly Seat A-3B;  Mary Patkotak for Assembly Seat A-3D; Herman Ashoak, Assembly Seat 3-E,; Vernon Edwardsen, Assembly Seat A-3F; Martha Tokrook, Asssembly Seat A-F; Jerry Sikvayugak, Assembly Seat A-6.

PALMER: Sabrena Combs and Brad Hansen for City Council.

PETERSBURG: Mark Jensen for Mayor; Jeff Meucci and Brandi Marohl for Assembly. Flouride ban failed. ATVs will still be banned on city streets, as that question failed. Incrase in the sales tax cap defeated. Limiting a sales tax exemption for non residents buying goods and services for use outside of Petersburg passed. Voter turnout was 43 percent.

SEWARD: David Squires for Mayor; Sue McClure, Jeremy Horn, Suzanne Towsley for City Council

SITKA: Richard Wein, Steven Eisenbeisz, Ben Miyasato for Assembly; Dionne Brady-Howard and Elias Erickson for Board of Education.

SOLDOTNA: Nels Anderson for mayor; City Council – Tyson Cox for Seat B; Keith Baxter for Seat F.

TALKEETNA: Prop B, 3 percent area sales tax for Talkeetna, passed.

WASILLA: Bert Cottle re-elected for Mayor, [City of Wasilla sales tax result: ?]

WRANGELL: Stephen Prysunka for Assembly; Jessica Rooney for School Board; David Wilson (83 votes) or Robert Rang (82 votes) for School Board.

 

 

 

Quote of the week: Parish out to get political appointees

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“I’ve actually got a bill in now to try to to promote greater efficiency in government by limiting the number of people appointed just on the basis of their political connections to the upper levels. The fact is that when someone is a political appointee, it’s their job to deliver on the unrealistic promises they made to get appointed.”

– Rep. Justin Parish of Juneau, on KINY radio, explaining how he has a bill in to grow a more “efficient” permanent public workforce and shrink the union-exempt workforce appointed by the governor … before explaining to the radio host that he actually doesn’t have a bill “in” but has a staff member working on one.

And it’s an appointed staff member with political connections, presumably.

Updated: Anchorage police roll out new crime suppression plan

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Anchorage Police Chief Justin Doll announced a new crime suppression initiative today during a press conference at 11:30 am.

The new initiative will involve some restructuring of the police force with an emphasis on a unit that will work on violent crime suppression and more night patrol shifts as part of the package.

Before taking over as chief in June, Doll served as the head of the Crime Suppression Division.

Mayor Ethan Berkowitz campaigned for mayor by emphasizing public safety, but crime has spiked under his administration.

Reports of car thefts and home break-ins are now routine and crime in Anchorage has hit a critical point, residents say. One middle-aged Anchorage woman testifying last week at an Assembly work session remarked that she never goes out unarmed anymore because Anchorage isn’t the same city it was when she moved here.

During an April press conference, when he was being named chief, Doll said, “With another academy graduating in June, the department’s really poised to start doing great things. We’re looking forward to that: implementing innovative police strategies and really reaching out to the community, things like foot patrols and officers on bicycles.”

UPDATE:

At midday, the Anchorage Police Department issued details of its crime suppression strategy, which will be fully implemented in mid-October:

  1. The VICE team will move from the Detective Division, to the Crime Suppression Division. This moves CAP and VICE under one chain of command for drug investigations. Simplifying this structure means the units will work more closely together and be more effective.
  2. An APD detective assigned as liaison with the Alaska Information Analysis Center (AKIAC) will move to the Crime Suppression Division as a dedicated Task Force Officer. This detective will be housed with the APD crime analysis unit to add a layer of intelligence to data being explored. This intelligence sharing with our law enforcement partners will help APD determine trends, hot spots, and better connect suspects to crime. A detective will also be added to both the Homicide Unit and Robbery/Assault unit to assist with violent crime investigations.
  3. Finally, an Investigative Support Unit (ISU) is being created to assist detectives and patrol. This unit will consist of eight officers and a sergeant who are not tied to calls for service. This enables them to assist detectives serve search warrants, run surveillance, find witnesses, conduct long term investigations, provide targeted high intensity patrol enforcement, or react to major incidents.

“As we finally feel the impact of increased staffing, we assessed how to strategically deploy our resources to have the most impact on crime and take violent offenders off the street,” said Chieff Doll. “Our goal is to more proactively address crime, rather than simply react to it.”

Study: Media ignores Menendez trial but covered Ted Stevens nonstop

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The Media Research Center, an organization that exposes liberal media bias, says CNN has not reported the corruption trial of Democrat Sen. Bob Menendez, N.J., with the same fervor it covered the trial of Republican Sen. Ted Stevens of Alaska in 2008.

Sen. Stevens was the focus of nearly daily coverage by CNN, which at times updated its reports several times each day.

In the first three weeks of the Stevens trial, (Sept. 20 to Oct. 11, 2008), CNN aired 36 stories about Stevens.

The Menendez trial was updated just seven times during his trial, (Sept. 5-26, 2017) – a six-to-one disparity, the center reports.

Were other big stories competing for attention during either of these trials? The center says both trials had breaking news competing for time in equal measure.

Were the charges similar? The center says the charges against Menendez are more severe. Stevens was accused of failing to report a gift in the form of renovations to his Girdwood home, but there was no accusation of quid-pro-quo bribery.

Menendez is accused of receiving multiple gifts over a decade and responding with political favors in a sordid lifestyle involving private jets, lush resorts in the Caribbean, and luxury hotels in Paris. Menendez helped get visas for the girlfriends of his close friend and co-defendant, Salomon Melgen, who is one of his major donors, and who was involved in massive Medicare fraud.

Stevens was convicted just eight days before the 2008 general election, which cost him his bid for a seventh term. He lost narrowly to Mark Begich, who in turn lost to current Sen. Dan Sullivan in 2014.

 Stevens’ conviction was later thrown out when it became known that prosecutors had rigged the outcome by withholding information that contradicted their case. Many have maintained that the case against Stevens was politically motivated from within the Justice Department. He died in a plane crash in Alaska on Aug. 9, 2010.

At the end of his senatorial career, Stevens was the longest-serving Republican senator in U.S. history, (later surpassed in tenure by Orrin Hatch-Utah) and was instrumental in Alaska’s path to Statehood.

[Read: Menendez has set a new low for blatant corruption]

Quote of the week: Kawasaki on prayer, gun control

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“I hope we can all pray and mourn for the victims and families of Las Vegas for just a moment before this becomes a political platform. We need smart laws surrounding gun ownership.”

– Rep. Scott Kawasaki of Fairbanks, having his nano-moment of prayer on Facebook before turning the Las Vegas mass shooting into a political platform for gun control, on Oct. 2, 2017. Kawasaki is now running for Senate for the seat held by Sen. President Pete Kelly.