President Joe Biden is trailing former President Donald Trump in several key swing states, according to a poll conducted by Bloomberg News and Morning Consult.
In Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin, Trump leads by 4 points with voters over Biden, 47% to 43%
The voters in these battleground state voters said the economy was better off under the Trump administration than it is under Biden, with 49% trusting the former on the issue rather than the latter at 35%.
In a self-selected poll conducted by Must Read Alaska’s newsletter, readers agreed that the economy was better before Biden took office. Must Read Alaska readers tend to be more conservative than those polled by Bloomberg or Morning Consult:
According to the poll released Thursday by Bloomberg and Morning Consult, Trump led Biden by between 1 point to 5 points in five of the seven individual swing states. The two leading candidates were tied in Michigan at 44%. Nevada respondents preferred Biden over Trump, 46% to 43%.
More key takeaways from the poll:
- In an aggregate of surveys from Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, Biden lacks the backing of 14% of voters who supported him three years ago, compared with a 9-point attrition rate among Trump’s 2020 supporters.
- Roughly 3 in 4 swing-state voters said the country’s economy is headed down the wrong track and they are more likely than not to say their personal financial situation was better off under Trump than it is under Biden. It reveals that the president’s “Bidenomics” pitch is not breaking through, as these voters are significantly more likely to trust his predecessor to handle their top voting issue.
- Over the coming year, Biden’s challenge will be to prove his economic successes and address concerns about everyday costs. The data suggests there’s an opportunity here, given many swing-state voters — including those who backed his 2020 bid — said they don’t know who to trust on the issue even while expressing some dissatisfaction with Biden.
“Similar to what we have chronicled with our 2024 GOP primary tracker, the Oct. 5-10 survey shows a tight contest between the two likely major-party nominees 13 months from Election Day. Biden is trailing Trump in each of the key electoral states we tested except Nevada, while he is tied with his predecessor in Michigan,” Morning Consult explained.
