Election update: Young, Sullivan still far ahead, as both ballot measures failing - Must Read Alaska
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HomePoliticsElection update: Young, Sullivan still far ahead, as both ballot measures failing

Election update: Young, Sullivan still far ahead, as both ballot measures failing


With 192,918 votes already counted before today, the Division of Elections counted more ballots from various districts in the state. This story will be updated.

Must Read Alaska has learned that over 95,000 votes remain to be counted.

The total ballots counted is now at 242,665, and the first numbers have been released to the Division of Elections website, with more on the way later tonight, Nov. 10.

Ballot Measure 1 is losing 61.58% to 38.42% with 234,848 votes counted. This is the measure that would increase taxes on oil. The proponents would need to get 75 of the remaining vote to win, and 25 percent of the remaining vote is Republican. The latest tranche of ballot counting broke 51-49 for the measure. The “no” team lost only 800 votes in tonight’s count. The 54,000 vote lead was eroded to the point where “the fat lady has sung.”

Ballot Measure 2 is losing 53.31% to 46.69% with 234,272 votes counted. This is the measure that would scramble Alaska elections into a ranked-choice system and jungle primary. This ballot measure could end up passing because there are a lot of votes still to be counted and it is doing better than some people expected. It’s still losing but among the votes counted today, 18% were “yes” votes. If it continues in this vein, Ballot Measure 2 will pass with 3,600 votes.

Biden / Harris had 64,246 on election night, now at 91,497 votes, 37.9%

Trump / Pence had 118,844 on election night, now at 139,264 votes, 57.67%

Of note, in 2016, Hillary Clinton received 36.55% of the vote, and Donald Trump received 51.28% in the final count of the 318,608 votes counted. In 2020, Trump is doing even better in Alaska than he did four years ago.

Al Gross had 61,364 on election night, now at 87,445, 36%.

Sen. Dan Sullivan had 119,174 on election night, now at 140,440, 58%.

Of note, this is Sen. Sullivan’s first run for reelection. In 2014, he won against one-term incumbent Democrat Sen. Mark Begich, 48-46%.

Alyse Galvin had 69,674 on election night, now at 97,420, 40.69%.

Congressman Don Young had 119,999 on election night, now 141,181, 59%.

Of note, in 2016, Steve Lindbeck received 36.02% of the vote and Congressman Don Young received 50.32% of the vote of the 308,198 votes counted. In 2018, Young won 53.08% to Alyse Galvin’s 46.50%.

Tonight she needs nearly 73 percent of the remaining ballots to win against the Dean of the House.

District 1: The race tightened up between Rep. Bart LeBon and Christopher Quist, now is 55-44%, but LeBon still is 700+ votes ahead.

District 4: Republican Keith Kurber vs. Democrat Rep. Grier Hopkins. Hopkins has flipped into the lead 52-47, with about 343 votes separating them.

District 5: Republican challenger Kevin McKinley fell behind Democrat Rep. Adam Wool. Wool leads 51-49, with 154 votes separating them.

District 15: Republican David Nelson leads Democrat Lyn Franks, 52-48, and is ahead by 146 votes in this low-turnout district.

District 16: Republican challenger Paul Bauer is now losing to Democrat Rep. Ivy Spohnholz; she is ahead 53-40, with a 978-vote lead.

District 21: Democrat Rep. Matt Claman recaptured the lead 61-38, over Lynette Largent,

District 23: Kathy Henslee, the Republican was leading Democrat Rep. Chris Tuck, but he is now ahead 48-43. Tuck is up by 313 votes.

District 25: Republican Rep. Mel Gillis still leads against challenger Calvin Schrage, 51-49; 166 votes separate them. About 2,000 votes remain in this race. Schrage could close the gap.

District 27: Republican Rep. Lance Pruitt still has 61 percent. This district had no votes counted today, so is the same.

District 31: Republican Rep. Sarah Vance vs. challenger Kelly Cooper. No votes counted today.

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Written by

Suzanne Downing had careers in business and journalism before serving as the Director of Faith and Community-based Initiatives for Florida Gov. Jeb Bush and returning to Alaska to serve as speechwriter for Gov. Sean Parnell. Born on the Oregon coast, she moved to Alaska in 1969.

Latest comments

  • Why is it taking so long to count votes? Is the Division of Elections waiting for other states like Arizona, Georgia and Pennsylvania to finish counting?

  • It is a little after nine on the tenth, and you are the only source I can find for any updates. Congratulations to you, and huge boos for the Division of Elections and the local network news and newspapers. They are just terrible.

  • How is it one can jump onboard and become a ballot counter for one’s local community and state elections?

  • Division of Elections has latest counts.

    Suzanne, the story to look for is how many ballots were thrown out. The state spent the last week validating all remaining ballots. How many were deemed NOT a legal ballot? With PFD registration, many people who are registered will not vote. Art Chance wrote that these are the people cheaters need to find, but in the process some will vote. How many voted twice?
    I suggest false ballots and voting twice ballots could be the story for us who care.

  • Is Lt. Governor counting votes by himself?

  • I smell a rat with Measure 2, it goes against the pattern. We need a hand count & new machines.

  • Recall John Sturgeon reported that folks spent $1.1M on a ballot measure that, with the Great Alaska Vote Experiment, should finish the total bust up of Alaska’s election system. (mustreadalaska.com/john-sturgeon-ballot-measure-2-replaces-fair-elections-with-trickery/)
    Folks who spent $1.1M on something understandably want what they bought… no surprise there.
    A hardened cynic might suggest the surprise would be learning that somebody, even at some dark hour, couldn’t accidentally find enough extra ballots to make Proposition 2 happen.

  • The Nov 4, 10:14am update listed 176,140 votes for Prop 2, as of last nights update at 10:52pm, there were 253,903 ballots counted so far. 133k – No, and 120k – Yes. This represents an increase of 77,763 additional ballots counted, which breakdown to 45k Yes (58%), and 32k No (42%). Without evaluating past voting trends for remaining districts, it is difficult to state with certainty, but if this percentage holds true, there would need to be another 77-78K ballots out there before Prop 2 should be in jeopardy of passing.

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