By DAN FAGAN
A an epic showdown is brewing in Alaska between two powerful forces. But it’s not the traditional Republican versus Democrat battle we’re used to.
The question many are asking is this: How can a state where President Donald Trump carried by double digit percentage margins, and Republicans outnumber Democrats in the legislature, face the real danger of taking a sharp turn to the left?
Anchorage Republicans State Sen. Cathy Giessel and Rep. Chuck Kopp, are among several GOP members joining with Democrats to battle Republican Gov. Mike Dunleavy.
So many GOP legislators working arm in arm with Democrats means conservative Republican legislators have little to no power.
But that’s not the case with Dunleavy. The governor is uniquely positioned to take on the Legislature. He’s backed by Trump, a majority of Alaskans, and the ever-growing national MAGA movement. And Dunleavy seemingly has a veto proof veto pen to use against some the more left-leaning policies pushed by the Democrat-controlled Legislature.
If Dunleavy, who earned the nickname “Big Mike,” stands strong, there may be little legislators can do to advance their agenda.
The two sides clearly have very different visions for the future of Alaska. When Trump signed a historic comprehensive executive order designed to open up Alaska to resource development, Sen. Giessel accused the president of turning the state into a colony.
“We aren’t a colony to be pillaged,” she said.
She warned Trump’s executive order could “…jeopardize our lands and waters.”
In Giessel’s latest newsletter, she also predicted personal income taxes are in the future for Alaskans.
Giessel, along with Kopp, are two of the legislators pushing hard to bring back a pension retirement system for state workers. Even though the old pension plan was dropped 20 years ago, the state is still several billion behind in pension obligations. If the plan had not been abandoned, the debt would be considerably higher. Bringing it back will surely begin to sink the state deeper into debt when it comes to pension obligations.
Neither Giessel, Kopp, nor any advocate of bringing back state pensions will say what the fiscal note of such an expensive plan would be.
Giessel pushing for new state income taxes while bringing back costly pensions for state workers could be a tough sell.
Dunleavy is expected to veto a pension plan and Giessel’s call for income taxes.
Dunleavy may now also have to use his veto pen to block new oil taxes. Yet another Republican, Sen. Rob Yundt, proposed a close to 10% tax on Hilcorp. Yundt’s tax is almost identical to the one proposed by serial oil taxer and Democrat Bill Wielechowski last year.
Yundt, who represents a conservative Mat-Su Valley district, campaigned against new taxes. Critics say the Yundt Tax comes at a bad time. Dunleavy and Trump are trying to woo new investment to Alaska from oil and gas companies. And there is new momentum when it comes to building a gas pipeline with Trump in office.
Another showdown issue between the Democrat controlled Legislature and Dunleavy comes with education spending. Alaska is dead last in the nation when it comes to test scores. Yet the $2.7 billion spent on K-12 education in the state ranks in the top five in the nation per capita.
Dunleavy is open to more education spending, but he wants accountability measures added. The Legislature’s majority, supported heavily by the very powerful teacher’s union, oppose any accountability. They want to double down on more spending.
Since 2003, Alaska has more than doubled its per-student spending. That’s twice as high as the inflation rate. This session, legislators proposed a 43% increase in education spending over three years.
The battle lines are clearly drawn. A Democrat controlled Legislature with big plans to grow state government with new taxes, generous benefits for state employees, and an adversarial approach to Trump, versus Gov. Dunleavy’s hope to grow resource development and the private sector economy.
Some argue Dunleavy is a lame duck with only two years left in his second term. But he could end up being one of the state’s most consequential governors in Alaska’s short history. Big Mike seemingly is the only person able to stop the Democrat-controlled Legislature and its plan to pass state policies mirroring California, New York, Oregon, and Washington.
Dan Fagan hosts a morning drive radio show on KVNT on 1020 AM 92.5 FM and 104.5 FM. It’s streamed live on 1020KVNT.com
Cathy is no republican. Eternity is a long time you lying cheat Cathy.
Alas, minority Republicans refuse to commit to working together and supporting each others subcommittee and committee work on the budget. A task required by the Constitution. A task Republicans learned in 1994, as majority party, but the current minority seems determined to ignore.
Nor does there appear to be a minority Republican with the communication skills needed to organize fellow Republicans. BTW: a task that is not easy!
Best I can tell, Republicans appear determined to remain in the legislative wilderness as a Republican minority. Which is not only too bad, but it is also much easier- requiring no legislative work at all.
Sad, but until voters demand Republicans commit to working together, we Conservatives will remain unrepresented in the Legislature.
Great summation Bruce…!
This is going to be more fun the watching the Sunday football game! Who should we bet on?
Bet on the Dems. Fagan has just returned to Alaska and missed out on the all wimping out “Bike Mike” has done in 6 years: yielding to the judiciary over abortion funding and Grand Jury rights, going to Germany to extol carbon sequestration. Every conservative in this state knows Big Mike has been a Big Flop.
Under the current Alaskan GOP leadership we have seen the party at it’s lowest point in history. The Alaskan people are frustrated with the lack of action against the Juneau traitors. Our state is being lost to the union controlled democrats and the GOP doesn’t give a rats ass.
As far as education funding, it’s way past time for the State to consider consolidating some of its 50+ school districts (some of which have less than 100 students). Molly Hootch also needs to be revisited, because students is small schools (some with only 2 or 3 teachers) are being cheated from a qua!ity education. The benefits of boarding far outway any.negatives.
Yundt is leveling the playing field so all North Slope players pay the same rate.
What we need instead of an income tax is an end to corporate welfare which is costing us over $1.4 billion per year. Cut this spending on welfare and you don’t need to tax Alaskans.
It aint hard.
M is right. Ignore the fear porn paid for by the recipients of corporate welfare. They need to be prosecuted under RICO, along with our legislators. Bring on a DOGE audit and convene the grand jury. Stop giving away Alaska’s resources.
M,
This legislature certainly isn’t cutting welfare, they are insisting on doubling down on the welfare state.
Nothing has changed. Alaska has far too many residents reliant on the government payroll, and all of benefits for being a government worker. This fact alone has made our population into two classes of residents. People in the private sector are tired of the bellyachers who depend on the government to make their living. Politicians like Giessel and Kopp only foment this bitterness and pronounce the distaste for government employees. The effort by Giessel and Kopp will only exacerbate a civil war between Alaskans. Trump, Dunleavy, Maga, and the majority of Alaskan residents will prepare for a battle. And it won’t be pretty. Giessel and other Democrats
who think they will be the next governor will instead become the next political pariahs, and will live out the rest of their lives accordingly.
We have amoral people in the legislature who campaigned on lies because they are hard core socialists, and to them the ends justify the means, so they told people wanted to hear, get into the legislature, and take the coat off so we see them as they are. We have a uniparty bought and paid for by the outside influencers like Soros etc.al. kopp and giessrl are a couple of turncoats.
If Dunleavy thinks of himself as a lame duck , that is shortsighted. He now has a chance to show up in a big way that will pave exciting new opportunities for himself. But it’s not about him after all. It’s about Alaska and the ppl of Alaska. We are a red state. A resource rich state. Let’s do this!! Veto!!
It’s not a showdown when the Cowardly Lion is involved. It’s a matter of when he capitulates and how badly.
A showdown implies a fight. Not in Dunleavy’s wheelhouse.
I don’t see Governor Dunleavy as a lame dock. If he chooses to run for the Senate in two years, standing up against the Democrats and the rhinos will help set him apart from the others running in the race.
Time will tell whether this is the Battle Royale Dan Fagan suggests.
The current Governor has had six years to cut government spending and get Alaska on a sustainable budget.
So far, the results have been mostly talk and no meaningful accomplishment towards reduced spending and adoption of a sensible and sustainable budget. Instead the current Governor keeps increasing the size of government, e.g., creating new departments that increase administrative overhead without meaningfully benefiting the public.
With two years left before the Governor is termed out, maybe he will finally start delivering on the promise to reduce government spending. Let’s hope so but looking at the recent budget proposed by the Governor, it seems like he’s prepared to raid savings accounts and short the public’s PFD instead of finding targeted reductions in current spending.
Why the Governor continues to over promise and then not deliver is anyone’s guess? A lot of folks who pay attention to politics in Alaska wonder whether the Governor’s wimpy conduct is related to some plan to run for another office. Having been stymied in his attempt to have President Trump to give him a job in the federal government, there’s a lot of speculation whether the Governor’s planning on running against Senator Murkowski in three years.
Mike Dunleavy’s been on the government payroll going on a couple decades. He’s probably not inclined to get into a big confrontation in his last two years as Governor if he’s aiming now for a slit in the US Senate. He appears more interested in figuring out where he’ll land when the current gig as Governor is over than taking on the hard but necessary task of cutting costs in the government he heads.
Time will tell. In the meantime, the finances of the a state of Alaska are in flames.
Alaska needs a new political party to replace all the RINOs who have shamelessly defected to the Democrats. The state of the Alaska (so-called) GOP is abysmal and intolerable.
Thank you, Dan!
Framing funding of education instead of a funding a handout as moving left is laughable.
Frank,
Are you alright buddy, you didn’t have a stroke on us did you?
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