GAMBLERS BETTING THAT MURKOWSKI WILL VOTE ‘NO’ TO CONVICT
The world of online betting has placed its bets big time on Bernie Sanders for winning the Alaska Democrats’ primary, a privately run caucus-by-ballot event that concludes on April 4.
The Alaska Democratic Party has never run this primary-style caucus before, and it will include mail-in ballots.
According to Predictit.com, Sanders is more than twice as likely to win Alaska delegates to the Democratic National Convention than Joe Biden.
Betting is a fluid sport, and results can change, but as of Tuesday, bets for Sanders were going for 68 cents, while Biden was only attracting 12-cent bets and Elizabeth Warren was only able to must 12-cent bets for the Alaska Democrats primary.
The rules of that wager are: “The winner of largest share of the popular vote in the 2020 Alaska Democratic presidential primary shall be the candidate identified in the contract.” Some 102,000 shares have been traded.
Over the past few weeks, Sanders has been climbing in that betting pool for Alaska, but he is also at the top in the prediction markets in these states:
Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada, California, Colorado, Hawaii, Idaho, Indiana, Kansas, Maine, Massachusetts, Michigan, Minnesota, Montana, New Mexico, Nebraska, Oklahoma, Oregon, Rhode Island, Utah, and West Virginia.
In 2016, more than 80 percent of Alaska Democrats who took part in the traditional caucuses operated by the party cast their votes for Sanders.
Joe Biden leads the betting in Connecticut, Kentucky, Maryland, Louisiana, New Jersey, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and South Dakota.
As for the betting room on impeachment, wagers are being cast for all kinds of possibilities, such as whether Joe Biden will testify. Some 15,000 bets have been cast on Sen. Lisa Murkowski’s vote on impeachment, with the vast majority betting that she will vote to not convict the president.