What happened to the Thanksgiving COVID surge? - Must Read Alaska
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Tuesday, January 26, 2021
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What happened to the Thanksgiving COVID surge?



The experts agreed: After Thanksgiving and Christmas-New Year, a huge spike in COVID-19 cases would swarm across the land, similar to the rises of the known cases that occurred after Memorial Day and July 4. Hospitals would be overwhelmed and deaths would soar.

In Alaska, that didn’t happen.

The virus count was indeed highest from about Nov. 9-30 in Alaska. Thanksgiving was on Nov. 26, the day when many gather and dine together in close quarters. Another spike between two and five days after Thanksgiving was all but certain. The public was warned repeatedly that Thanksgiving was a super-spreader event and the best plan was to shelter in place.

Dr. Anthony Fauci, America’s top infectious disease expert, warned in November that the nation could see a “surge upon a surge” of COVID-19 in the weeks after Thanksgiving.

Behaviors did change, to a degree.

But then Americans stopped fretting, and wanted to see their families. Airports over the Thanksgiving holiday experienced their busiest times since March, 2020, with an average of 900,000 people traveling every day for seven consecutive days around Thanksgiving Day, according to the Transportation Security Administration.

The TSA airport travel comparisons are at this link.

In some places, such as California, that hasn’t worked out so well. Cases are surging.

But in Alaska, the cases kept going down in Alaska, and by Inauguration Day, Jan. 20, 2021, the prediction chart above has Alaska’s viral case numbers back down to where they were in September, about 145 cases a day.

That doesn’t take into account the hundreds of vaccines being administered in Alaska every day. Every person who is vaccinated is also protecting the pod of people around them, including those more vulnerable to serious effects of COVID, such as elders and those with weak underlying health conditions.

The effect can be quite rapid, if the vaccine gets into the right arms. Already, over 29,000 Alaskans, many of them older than 65, have had their first vaccination dose, and another 49,000 have had a bout with the virus, and are protected to varying degrees because of their antibodies.

Experts might attribute the drop in cases to draconian Anchorage policies that shut down some local businesses during the holiday season, but the State of Alaska’s own data shows that the downward trend had already begun by the time those job-crushing closures in Anchorage took place, an order made by Acting Mayor Austin Quinn-Davidson.

At Tuesday’s Anchorage Assembly meeting, the Assembly will consider a resolution to end the mayor’s emergency powers and return businesses to full capacity. It will also consider another opposing resolution to extend them until April. The liberal Assembly is likely to support the extension of the mayor’s powers until after the municipal election on April 6.

The meeting starts at 5 pm at the Loussac Library at about 5 pm. The agenda and details are at this link.

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Written by

Suzanne Downing had careers in business and journalism before serving as the Director of Faith and Community-based Initiatives for Florida Gov. Jeb Bush and returning to Alaska to serve as speechwriter for Gov. Sean Parnell. Born on the Oregon coast, she moved to Alaska in 1969.

Latest comments

  • There is no evidence (yet) the currently available vaccines stop you from getting covid-19 not stops you from being contagious.

    The currently available vaccines stop those vaccinated from experiencing severe symptoms.

    Hence being vaccinated does not protect others from covif-19 -it just protects yourself from being hospitalized based on the available evidence to date.

    • I’ve heard that, but it makes no sense. It would need to behave unlike any other virus known to mankind: You have antibodies to it, but it is replicating in your body and therefore able to spread to others? Wouldn’t you think if you have active virus in your system you would then test positive on COVID tests?

      From the CDC website: “After getting a COVID-19 vaccine, will I test positive for COVID-19 on a viral test? No. Neither the recently authorized and recommended vaccines nor the other COVID-19 vaccines currently in clinical trials in the United States can cause you to test positive on viral tests, which are used to see if you have a current infection.”

    • Jeff thinks he’s Dr. Zink informing all of us dumb peons about covid and the vaccine. We can read and inform ourselves without having to read your typo filled public service announcement.

    • Definition of Vaccine:
      a substance used to stimulate the production of antibodies and provide immunity against one or several diseases, prepared from the causative agent of a disease, its products, or a synthetic substitute, treated to act as an antigen without inducing the disease.
      So if it is not giving immunity it is not a vaccine or am I missing something.

    • Just saw an article in the Times of Israel. Article posted on Jan 13, 2021.
      First shot of the Pfizer vaccine has shown a 50% drop in infections after 14 days.

  • Remember when it was reported that a lab was’t reporting their cases? I’m pretty sure that’s where the huge spike came from which prompted this last EO. Our numbers have been low and steady, the whole time. It was the “catching up” for that lab that made our numbers hit almost 800 in Anchorage a few times; which is what helped “Acting Mayor” AQD slap that EO on our city and do more harm than good to our small businesses. It wasn’t her EO that helped the spike go down, it was the fact that the lab had finally put all it’s input into the data base like it should have in the beginning.

  • Let’s hope the Assembly and the Mayor temp. reconsiders their misguided belief that lockdowns were the reason for the current downward slope. It was Alaskans who changed their behavior after the governor addressed the issues shortly before Thanksgiving.

    • So what you’re saying is regardless if people do it voluntary or mandatory the end result is the same? Kind of a mute point wouldn’t you say?

  • Our highest right now in Florida is occurring at present and has been for the past week or so, probably a backlash from holiday travel. I see people who I’ve seen all summer long not wearing masks, now are masked up tighter than Dick’s hat band.

    • Oh boo hoo. Their theory is like them throwing a wet noodle on the wall hoping it will stick……but they forget to wet the noodle first.

      I was the first one to post on this article but it was deleted. oops…… censored.

      • And yet here you are. So much for your theory.

        • I am still here but my post isn’t. Just goes to show if you say something the left does not agree with they berate you to shut you up.

    • This isn’t Florida. Why are you so obsessed with somewhere you do not live?

      • Idiot
        My roots are there. Go back to Portland.

  • Also the shot roll out program isn’t going as smoothly as they had hoped for. they haven’t even started giving shots in my county and in some of the highest counties around Orlando and Miami only about 3% of people ages 65 and above have been given their first shot. Apparently depending on who you listen to there’s a shortage of the vaccine and even greater shortage of people to give the shot. What was supposed to take days and weeks now looks like it’s going to take months if not a year.

    • And what does that have to do with Alaska news?

      • Don’t worry about it troll. Things are bigger than Alaska.

  • The same happened in Juneau. We had a huge push through the holidays with highly advertised free tests for those with no symptoms. Evil Juneauites traveling during the holidays were told they were putting everyone at risk, doom and gloom predicted. Ha, a couple thousand tests were completed with only 4 or 5 cases. Only a handful of active cases being monitored and no one in the hospital. They had to drop us to level 2. The whole mandate should be dropped. If you are at risk, you know who you are and can take measures.

  • I will tell you what happened to the curve…….it fizzled. The whole theory of slowing the curve/covid is kin to the theory of man made global warming and how it fizzled too.

    • The reality is these mandated measures are guesswork at best, magical thinking at worst.
      No “expert” can point to a single case where it was proven that widespread mask wearing, social distancing, or any of the other mandates have proven to be more effective than voluntary measures. It is “common sense” logic.
      Which is fine if they are voluntary, not mandated. Encourage mask use, encourage small to no groups, that is fine. When it becomes a mandate, that is when I want to see demonstrable, fact based proof.\
      NYC has some of the strictest measures in the nation, but even they admit less than 2% of cases can be traced to restaurants and bars. Yet, they have them all closed, and we have them severely restricted.
      It is more about control at this point. Two weeks to slow the curve has turned into more than a year, and it will be extended until no one ever gets ill for any reason whatsoever.

  • Much of that surge in the Mat-Su Borough was due to the 1,000 people infected and sick at Goose Creek Correctional Center.

  • The turkeys went south.

  • There is no evidence (yet) the currently available vaccines stop you from getting covid-19 nor stops you from being contagious.

    The currently available vaccines stop those vaccinated from experiencing severe symptoms.

    Hence, being vaccinated does not protect others from covid-19 -it just protects yourself from being hospitalized based on the available evidence to date.

    -google “wall street journal vaccine immunity”

    the liberal rag-the wall street journal take it or leave it

    • How can there be a “vaccine” if the strain has not even been isolated? This so called covid 1984 plandemic vaccine is not a vaccine it is a babies binky for those who think their masks will protect them and the science is what they say it is?

      • It was 5 days after it arrived.

      • My goodness! So many armchair epidemiologists. Save your prognostications for the Super Bowl and leave the real work to professionals.

        • Professional pseudoscience…..It is Pavlov’s dog. Ring the bell and the dogs will salivate.

        • It’s true. Look it up.

        • Professionals of what? Pseudoscience by consensus? Just because there is a white lab coat or opinion does not make anything real or meaningful unless you ASS U ME.

  • It is not raining today in Anchorage, so I am going to remove my roof till rain water starts accumulating on my floors and then and only then will I start constructing a new roof.

  • Where is your map from, Suzanne?

  • Every word of mainstream media is a slant or outright lie. But for some reason people actually believe this is a real pandemic with no evidence other than the same mainstream media telling you everybody’s dying of it.!!

  • Record reported covid-19 related deaths world wide today and near record in the USA.

    Guess the pandemic is over.

    • If those who are paranoid and scared of their own shadow and bark at everyone else’s they will stand in any line to be vaccinated and keep putting diapers on their face.
      All because of their perceived threat. 4 more years.

    • Seattle right?

  • It was just about control, the Alaska TV media pushed the propaganda for the democrat assembly. The assembly is full of communists.

  • I did a public records request to the illegal Mayors office and asked for a “Report that shows independent scientific evidence that Anchorage restaurants and bars are responsible for the majority of Covid 19 Cases being reported and proven by contact tracing”.

    The response I received from Carolyn Hall in the illegal Mayors office was “We don’t have any documents responsive to your request as written, however, we do have several references and research studies related to the risk of COVID-19 transmission in restaurants settings. Would you like those documents?”

    • It just goes to show the deception and conflation of the truth. If they do not have the “Data” they deflect to other fabricated data.

  • Not to sound too crass….but so what? Alaska’s COVID’s cases are at the lowest point since September

  • The COVID-19 curve has flattened and continues to flatten below numbers that were reported in September (as noted above). Science beats policy every time. Whether or not they believe it, is their problem. Open up the Municipality of Anchorage for business. Oops, silly me, that would mean the assembly giving up its power it continues to bludgeon the public with.

  • One of the main reasons why many people are NOT taking this vaccination is because of all the extra garbage dumped into the vaccine. You’re still dealing with mercury, Formaldehyde, and aluminum along with many other “not so healthy” stuff. Many people are taking extra doses of various vitamins. Israel listed a hot tea with lemon and baking soda. every afternoon. The action of the lemon with baking soda kills kills the virus. These two compounds alkalize the immune system. I am sure many people saw this on FB posted by many..

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