BOOK REVIEW
Predicting the Next President – The Keys to the White House 2016, By Allan . Lichtman
The man who has predicted every presidential win since 1984 says Donald Trump will win on Nov. 8.
Polls are all over the map on the Hillary Clinton-Donald Trump race for the presidency.
But Allan J. Lichtman doesn’t use polls. He looks at conditions, such as these:
- After midterm elections, if the incumbent party holds more seats in the U.S. House than after the previous midterm elections
- Whether there is a serious contest for the incumbent party nomination
- Whether the incumbent party candidate is the sitting president
- Whether there is a significant third party or independent campaign
- Economy – if there is a recession during an election
- Social unrest during the incumbent’s term
- Scandals in incumbent administration
- Foreign policy and military success or failure of the incumbent
- Charisma of incumbent party candidate
- Charisma of the challenger candidate
Of course, even Lichtman has never seen a presidential race like this one. We found the 2016 edition of his book at Amazon.
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Suzanne Downing founded Must Read Alaska and served as its editor for many years. Her prolific writing spans nearly every topic meaningful to Alaskans. Before founding Must Read Alaska, she served as editor of the Juneau Empire and as a speechwriter for Governor Sean Parnell.
