State of Reform: Murkowski wins re-election in 2020

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The moderate Washington newsletter, State of Reform, which has a main focus on health care policy, says Sen. Lisa Murkowski was the big winner in Alaska’s General Election. Last week, the newsletter editor D.J. Wilson wrote:

“Ok, Sen. Murkowski was not on the 2020 ballot. However, before the 2020 election, the most important statewide election in Alaska was the Republican primary. It was a once-in-a-half-century Republican that can overcome that, or a once-in-a-generation Democratic wave, or maybe a special confluence of personalities and timing. It took something special.”

Wilson is writing, somewhat obtusely, about how the Republican Primary has long been an important moment in Alaska’s political life.

“That has all changed. Alaska officially becomes the second state in the nation to allow ranked-choice voting on statewide races. The ballot measure, which passed narrowly by about 3,800 votes, creates an open top four primary. In 2022, it’s reasonable you’ll have 2 or 3 Republicans on the general election ballot. With one Democrat on the ballot, moderate Republican candidates who lose will have their votes go, I’m postulating, to the next most moderate candidate. It will remain hard for Democrats to win, but moderate Republicans, like Sen. Murkowski, are likely to become heavy favorites for statewide office in 2022 under these rules.”

In other words, the winner in 2020’s General Election is the senator who faces what may be an open primary in 2022, instead of having to face a Republican primary that she would have little chance of winning. Thus, the Ballot Measure 2 victory may have secured her a place in the 2022 primary, which would likely propel her to victory the following November.

50 COMMENTS

  1. “Boy, did we screw up. What a mess!” Koch writes. “[P]artisan politics prevented us from achieving the thing that motivated us to get involved in politics in the first place — helping people by removing barriers.” –reported by Axios

  2. She is a useful idiot and that remains to be seen. Murkowski has destroyed any credibility she had. She only helps folks that put her in the spotlight

  3. Wasn’t that the whole reason behind this asinine measure?
    It was to ensure Murkowski another term. Man o man! Somebody had better challenge this or we need to get own ballot measure to oppose this … I’m mad as hell that Alaskans really voted for this crappy and deceitful piece of sh&t!!! People it’s time to really wake up to the Left’s takeover. If we don’t do something, our state and our country will never, ever be the same!

  4. The people who voted for Ballot 2 thinking it would give republicans a boost are gonna be in for a shock.

    Ranked choice is even stupider than mail in voting.

    Alaska, the new California.

  5. The person that wrote that is an idiot. They are so far unplugged from Alaskan politics, they don’t know how much she’s hated in the state . Any warm bodied Republican can beat her. If Palin runs it’ll be a landslide. Not that I’m a huge fan of Palin but anybody’s better than having a mole sit in on Republican meetings.

  6. This is at least plausible. So for me it is the one potentially positive result I can see in the Ballot Measure 2 outcome. I voted NO on both measures. However I’m not sure that Senator Murkowski would be an easy mark for a so-called conservative Republican in a closed primary had the measure not passed. Joe Miller had the strength of surprise; no one will get to use that again in Alaska. I’m also not sure Senator Murkowski is all that more moderate than most Alaska Republicans. She is as good on the Second Amendment as anyone in the US Senate, which is great. Yes, in the autumn of 2018 I was a little upset with her about where she was on Kavanaugh but that all worked out for the best. And earlier she saw Obamacare differently than I do, but I do not expect anyone to see everything exactly as I do. She undoubtedly knows a lot more about health care than I do. As I mentioned, she’s great on guns. She did fine on the most recent Supreme Court nominee. She holds her own in every forum and setting. She will do as well for us with the Biden people as any Alaskan can realistically hope. If Ballot Measure 2 really is a windfall for Lisa that’s OK with me.

  7. Thank Mike Pocarro 650 Kenai Radio for helping this pass to help get his princess Lisa re-elected. I have turned him off for good.

  8. Well, there is your proof that RCV is not good for the state.

    Kind of surprised it only took this long for the drawbacks to manifest themselves.

  9. I hope the Murkowski family will be able to stomach the barage of anti- Lisa Murkowski sentiment for the next 2 years, because that’s what is coming. This senator is going down.

  10. This lady is everything that’s wrong with the swamp in DC. She runs on a strong Republican conservative, but her actions once back in the capital is nothing of the sort. I have held my nose and voted for her in the general elections , but have never voted for her in any primary. Please, we need a strong candidate to put her out to pasture. What happed in Prop 2 election really reminded me of what happened in the Presidential election. Way ahead on election night and days after only to be beaten by “early mail in ballots”. Mail in ballots must be , at least must be in by Election Day, not two weeks after the election . If someone can’t vote on Election Day, they can vote absentee…..

  11. This particular ballot measure passing should be sending up some red flags. Did we really vote in favor of this? Time to do some investigating on ballot fraud in this state. It’s happened here before.

    • I agree. I believe that both Dan Sullivan and Don Young re-elections were the result of fraudulent voting. They did not win! Let’s demand a recount and only count the legitimate votes.

  12. Here’s the funny part. Maine repealed their ranked choice voting three weeks ago. Massachusetts refused to pass it. Both of these make us dumber than either state. OTOH, it does demonstrate nicely what a well-researched, well-financed, and persuasive political campaign can do. Of course, you always need the breathtakingly corrupt AK Supreme Court to allow it on the ballot. Remember way back when a ballot initiative could only do one thing. This one did at least 7. Apparently it all depends on your perspective, as rewriting the entire AK election system is apparently a single issue. Cheers –

  13. I don’t know of anyone who voted yes on this trash. I understand Alaska uses the “Dominion” software in our voting machines. This is worth looking in to.

  14. ACoE just denied Pebble’s RoD (record of Decision) finding that their mitigation plan was insufficient. Pebble’s stock immediately plummeted over 60%, from .85 to .36, Murkowski said she would de-fund ACoE so they couldn’t finish their RoD determination. Apparently ACoE decided to forestall that action by Murkowski.
    There you have it; Alaska has just became a “banana republic” where local warlords (Murkowski) rule the roost.
    I had sold my shares in Pebble (NAK on the NYSE) a few days ago, for about .85 and I just bought back in at .37, which effectively more than doubled my number of shares.
    Once the shock is over, in a few days or weeks, NAK should go back up.

    • Amazing logic flow in this little hunk of screed. Wait, there isn’t any logic here. Very contemporary. Just make things up without regard to facts, truth or reality.
      Oh well ……………………….

      • Murkowski is on record saying that she would de-fund ACoE so they couldn’t finish the RoD for Pebble. Sullivan is on record saying that he is totally against the Pebble mine and will do all he can to stop it.
        I can show the receipt that I recently sold and bought shares in NAK.
        So, what part did I make up?
        You Joe, are on record putting down anyone with an opinion different than yours, regardless of any facts.
        So, what part did you make up?

        • I think the bit about Alaska being a banana republic and then moving on with the warlord business pretty much consigns you to someone who is wearing a tin foil hat. What’s next on your list of goofball ideas? The second shooter on the grassy knoll? Get a grip and try to make make your purchase grounded in reality.

          • Reality: Biden apparently will be our next president, putting the anti-mining Environazis a leg up, and re-empowering the anti-Pebble activists in the EPA.
            Murkowski and Sullivan both stated that they would fight against Pebble.
            The average investor usually over-reacts to bad news and the ACoE decision caused them to dump their shares in Pebble.
            Later, they may realize that that their knee-jerk-reaction wasn’t really warranted, and they buy back into Pebble.
            I made my best guess, anticipating a denial, and sold two days before them, and bought back in a few days, or weeks before they will.
            Sell high and buy low is the Holy Grail of stock trading.
            NAK’s average trading day was around 3 to 5 million shares. The last few days it’s been 0ver 50 million shares traded every day.
            Big money is buying every share that small money is dumping. Somebody knows something!
            Nobody ever bats a thousand, but that, Joe is the reality you may never achieve.

          • The major mining companies are already letting the government know that unless they change their tune real soon, that they will stop bringing their profits back to America, cancelling their domestic startups, and continue investing in third world s…h… countries.

  15. Genius comment here Rob B. There is obvious difference between Frank the Bank and Senator Lisa. How, exactly, has Senator Murkowski not represented Alaska’s interests? Or are you just repeating some vaguely clever phrase you heard from some commentator on the internet?

  16. U.S. Constitution
    QUOTE
    Article I, Section 4, Clause 1:

    “The Times, Places and Manner of holding Elections for Senators and Representatives, shall be prescribed in each State by the Legislature thereof; but the Congress may at any time by Law make or alter such Regulations, except as to the Places of chusing Senators.”

    Sorry Charlie initiatives cannot change the election process for House and Senate. AND since this was immaculately conceived by the State Supremes as a “one issue” initiative it most certainly is not then serverable. To insure standing have a legislator challenge the whole thing in Federal Court.

    • Thanks Rick! I believe you are right on this because the legislature will have the final say on this trick to steal our vote.

    • constitution.congress.gov/browse/essay/artI_S4_C1_1_1_1_2/

      The quotes is correct by my sources. What are yours? It’s an easy fact to verify if you take the time. I have a good grip. I have a very good idea what I’m talking about and you have not yet shown anything that indicates you do… “spewing and get a grip”. Facts not sophomoric spittle win the argument.

  17. Can anyone tell me if the recount on the ballot measure was completed? There was supposedly a recount being done and many questions how days later, Ballot Measure 2 suddenly leaped ahead of the no votes. From what I understand, Alaska uses Dominion Voting Machines that are easily manipulated by corrupt administrators and or foreign entities. I have been working with Rep. Rausher to encourage the Governor to audit these machines. Ballot measure 2 was supported by over 7 million dollars of dark money from outside the state.

  18. Why do my posts constantly get pulled from this site? Who is moderating this sight? I have placed nothing out of the ordinary except factual information. I’m reconsidering supporting this site if this keeps happening. We have enough censorship already in social media.

    • Michael – I am not able to approve comments on a 24-hour basis. Sometimes it takes me a few hours to get to them when I am busy with stories. Most comment do get approved, but there are some that do not, if they are vile, repetitive, or filled with capitalized words and look like they’ll take too long to edit. – sd

  19. A forensic recount of ballot measure two must take place because of the dominion machines used in Alaska. There is no way The RINO Murkowski couldn’t win re election without corruption just like she did against Joe Miller. Lise is an established Democrate in a Republican skin, the true Alaskan Spirit has been diminished expeditiously by corrupt politicians and judicial overreach.

  20. Humbly appreciate the response! i didn’t know you were the sole moderator. Hop your Thanksgiving was a pleasant one!

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