The latest Morning Consult poll shows Donald Trump leading in swing states of Wisconsin, Nevada, Michigan, Georgia, North Carolina, Arizona, and Pennsylvania, in a general election contest that compared views of Donald Trump, Joe Biden, Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Jill Stein and Cornel West as the candidates on the ballot:
WISCONSIN
Trump 43% (+8)
Biden 35%
RFK Jr. 10%
Stein 2%
NEVADA
Trump 43% (+12)
Biden 31%
RFK Jr. 12%
Stein 2%
West 1%
MICHIGAN
Trump 43% (+6)
Biden 37%
RFK Jr. 8%
West 1%
Stein 1%
GEORGIA
Trump 44% (+7)
Biden 37%
RFK Jr: 8%
West 1%
Stein 1%
NORTH CAROLINA
Trump 45% (+13)
Biden 32%
RFK Jr. 9%
West 1%
Stein 1%
ARIZONA
Trump 43% (+8)
Biden 35%
RFK Jr. 10%
West 1%
Stein 1%
PENNSYLVANIA
Trump 43% (+3)
Biden 40%
RFK Jr. 7%
West 1%
Stein 1%
The poll shows that Arizona, Georgia, Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin, which went for Trump in 2016, Biden in 2020, are returning to Trump in 2024.
The survey was conducted with nearly 4,956 likely voters. Of note, registered independents are trending toward Trump, but only 5% of Democrat-registered women would vote for Trump, while 33% of independent-registered women would vote for Trump, and 24% would vote for Biden. Swing voters will be the key demographic in this general election, and now represent the largest voting bloc.
