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Interest payments on national debt will soon exceed defense spending, Congressional Budget Office says

By CASEY HARPER | THE CENTER SQUARE

The cost of interest payments on the national debt will continue to grow as a financial burden for the U.S. over the next decade, even surpassing what the nation spends on national defense within a few years, a newly released budget analysis shows.

The national debt hit $31 trillion last fall and is well on its way to $32 trillion this year. As that debt grows, the U.S. Congressional Budget Office projects that the federal government will shell out over $10 trillion in the next decade on interest payments alone.

“To put this $10.5 trillion total in perspective, this means that spending on net interest will exceed all defense spending over the next decade,” the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget said in its analysis of CBO’s data. “In addition, we estimate the net interest spending will surpass all federal spending on children this year, meaning that we will be paying more to service our debts of the past than to invest in future generations.

“For every dollar that the U.S. government will borrow over the next decade, 50 cents will be just to pay interest on our national debt,” the group added.

CBO also projects that the debt as a percentage of GDP will hit record levels in that time and average $2 trillion deficits.

The latest debt projections are based on current spending obligations. That means new spending from Congress without offsetting tax increases or spending cuts will accelerate that growth of the debt beyond those projections.

“After jumping from $352 billion in Fiscal Year (FY) 2021 to $475 billion in 2022, annual net interest outlays will triple, reaching $1.4 trillion by 2033,” the CRFB said. “As a share of the economy, net interest will rise from 1.9 percent of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in FY 2022 to exceed its record as a share of GDP – 3.2 percent set in 1991 – by 2030 before reaching a high of 3.6 percent of GDP by 2033.”

CRFB said the cost of interest on the national debt will soon surpass entitlement spending if nothing changes.

“Unfortunately, the decades to follow 2033 are projected to be in even worse fiscal shape. With deficits continuing to grow unsustainably over time, interest on debt will eventually become the largest part of the federal budget,” the group said. “Net interest will surpass defense spending by 2028, Medicare spending by 2044, and Social Security spending by 2050, becoming the largest single line item in the budget. By 2053, net interest will consume approximately 7.2 percent of GDP – nearly 40 percent of federal revenues.”

Alaska Supreme Court approves lowering score required to pass Alaska Bar exam

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The Alaska Supreme Court signed an order on Monday that lowers the score needed to pass the Uniform Bar Examination in order to practice law in Alaska.

The old score needed was 280. The new score is 270, a 3.57% decrease in the passing score. The rule takes effect immediately.

Some applicants just finished the February 2023 Alaska Bar Exam, and their results won’t be known until May. For those who took the February 2023 exam, but did not score high enough but had previously scored a 270 or above on the exam, the Bar Association said it will be reaching out to discuss the best way to gain admission to the bar. Some may be able to apply if they previously had a score of 270 within the past five years.

Uniform Bar Exam states like Alaska have different scoring requirement but test-takers require a score typically between 260 and 280 to pass one of these two-day tests. A score above 280 is considered passing in all Uniform Bar Exam states.

Most states, Alaska included, allow qualifying applicants who graduated from an accredited law school to take the test an unlimited number of times, if they need to, while others put limits on the number of attempts. Sen. Lisa Murkowski failed to get a 280 score four times on the Alaska test, but passed the exam on her fifth try. In 21 states, bar exam attempts are limited from between two and six tries. States with absolute limits on the number of attempts are:

Kansas – 4
Kentucky – 5
New Hampshire – 4
North Dakota – 6
Rhode Island – 5
Vermont – 4

Alaska’s bar exam is administered three times a year, with the next two-day test scheduled July 25-26.

More details on the Alaska Bar Exam from the Alaska Bar Association at this link.

Media bias: MSNBC reporter says no credence given to China lab theory because it came from ‘the right’

A reporter from MSNBC said the quiet part out loud on social media this week: Journalists like him and “people” didn’t give the “China lab Covid theory” credence because it came from conservatives, or as he calls them, “right with ‘Chinese bio weapon’ conspiracies” and “right with anti-Fauci conspiracies.”

MSNBC reporter Mehdi Hasan, who is British-American, then concluded: “Blame the conspiracy theorists.”

The admission that news was biased against conservative perspectives on Covid was in response to a Twitter comment by poll analyst Nate Silver, who said that scientists who suppressed discussion of the origins of the Covid-19 virus should be embarrassed.

“The reason this drives me up the wall is that if you’re ever going to pretend that ‘misinformation’ is a useful category, at least acknowledge it was a massive error to label lab leak discussion as ‘misinformation’ when multiple US government agencies now put the chances ≥50%,” Silver said.

“It’s hard to have a good faith disagreement about a major issue if the issue itself has been hijacked by bad faith folks,” Hasan said.

The back-and-forth between the two major media conversation-shapers comes at a time when there has been more public reflection about the suppression of free speech during the pandemic, and what that means for the public’s trust in their government.

In November, as Dr. Anthony Fauci was retiring from government service as the director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases and top Covid advisor to presidents, pleaded with the public, “The people who have correct information, who take science seriously, who don’t have strange, way-out theories about things but who base what they say on evidence and data, need to speak up more because the other side that just keeps putting out misinformation and disinformation seems to be tireless in that effort.”

But it was reporter Hasan who observed that the reluctance to give any credence to Covid origin theories was based in partisan politics.

“Also: ask yourself why so many people on the right, lay people, were obsessed with this one specific aspect of the science of Covid, which by the view is still not the majority view amongst scientists? Was it because of their scientific curiosity? Lol,” Hasan wrote.

Fauci said this week, in response to the news that the Department of Energy has changed its position and now thinks the lab-leak theory is most likely correct, that there is no evidence to support the lab-leak theory.

Fauci is not being completely forthright. In 2021, the National Institutes of Health was discovered to have been the funder of gain-of-function coronavirus research studies at a Chinese lab in Wuhan. Fauci denied the allegations, but the NIH admitted that it indeed funded those studies. Dr. Fauci’s wife, Dr. Christine Grady is chief of the Department of Bioethics at the NIH Clinical Center.

A scientific study published in October of 2020 supports the idea that news media used a political filter to decide what to cover regarding the pandemic. The study’s abstract says, “Using multiple computer-assisted content analytic approaches, we find that newspaper coverage is highly politicized, network news coverage somewhat less so, and both newspaper and network news coverage are highly polarized. We find that politicians appear in newspaper coverage more frequently than scientists, whereas politicians and scientists are more equally featured in network news. We suggest that the high degree of politicization and polarization in initial COVID-19 coverage may have contributed to polarization in U.S. COVID-19 attitudes.”

Don’t say patriot: Washington State Legislature considers making some speech illegal

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House Bill 1333 in the Washington legislature that make words and speech illegal. The bill would create a state commission to implement recommendations from Attorney General Bob Ferguson, who encourages a new classification of criminal behavior that he calls “Domestic Violent Extremism.”

The Ferguson report says that words and speech, not just physical acts, can be dangerous to human life and health, and that law enforcement must focus on arresting those with certain ideas because they are “precursors to acts of domestic terrorism” such as “threats,” “online disinformation” and “white supremacist, antigovernment and other ideologies.”

It’s not specified which words and thoughts might become flagged by the state for “domestic terrorism,” but that would be a changing definition, as words are used in different ways through time. The word “patriot” could become a red-flag word under HB 1333.

“Domestic violent extremism encompasses various forms of extremist and political violence like threats, coercion, and intimidation, online disinformation, extremist recruitment and government infiltration efforts, and the general spread of extreme white supremacism and anti- government ideologies.”

The Executive Summary of the report says that people’s words and speech, not physical acts that are dangerous to human life and health, are the true target of the bill.

The Washington Policy Center offers four key takeaways from the bill:

  1. HB 1333 would criminalize thought and expression under an invented category of offenses called “domestic violent extremism.”
  2. Attorney General Bob Ferguson requested the bill in order to prosecute some people for words and speech, rather than for violent acts.
  3. Under the bill government officials would decide whose words and whose speech would be subject to criminal prosecution.
  4. The Attorney General’s office would increase surveillance of citizens for perceived violations of words and speech prohibitions.
  5. Citizens would be encouraged to report friends and neighbors to the state for officially-banned phrases, thoughts and expressions.

At the request of the attorney general, the bill has been introduced by Rep. Bill Ramos, a Democrat representing Issaquah.

The Biden Administration attempted a federal law that was similar to the Ramos bill in 2022, but it faced stiff resistance from constitutional scholars and free speech advocates.

HB 1333 would give the power to state government and far-reaching power to the attorney general and a politically charged commission to decide which words and speech would be subject to prosecution, and would encourage the surveillance of innocent citizens, while incentivizing people to turn in their friends and neighbors for using officially banned language or even physical expressions.

Read the Washington Policy Center bill summary at this link.

Three top Alabama newspapers ended print editions

Sunday, Feb. 26, 2023 was the last print day for three of the largest newspapers in Alabama.

The Alabama Media Group stopped printing The Birmingham News, Mobile’s Press-Register, and the The Huntsville Times. The end of the print era for the dead-tree editions of the newspapers had been announced in December. The newspaper group had already cut publishing the print edition of these newspapers to three times a week since 2012. The three have moved to all digital content.

All of the final editions had the same front page, with a letter from Editor-In-Chief Kelly Ann Scott and group President Tom Bates, thanking thanks the communities for their support these many years.

The Birmingham News was first published on March 14, 1888, by founder and managing editor Rufus N. Rhodes, who got the newspaper up and running with an $800 capital investment.

The Mobile Press-Register was founded in 1813, and is Alabama’s oldest newspaper. From 1997 to 2006, it was known as the Mobile Register.

The Huntsville Times was founded as the Huntsville Daily Times by Jacob Emory Pierce in 1910.

The number of print newspapers has dropped by more than 25% since 2005. The number of journalists working for print newspapers is down by 59%, since 2006, according to the Medill School of Journalism at Northwestern University.

“Newspapers are continuing to vanish at a rapid rate. An average of more than two a week are disappearing. Since 2005, the country has lost more than a fourth of its newspapers (2,500) and is on track to lose a third by 2025. Even though the pandemic was not the catastrophic ‘extinction-level event’ some feared, the country lost more than 360 newspapers between the waning pre-pandemic months of late 2019 and the end of May 2022. All but 24 of those papers were weeklies, serving communities ranging in size from a few hundred people to tens of thousands. Most communities that lose a newspaper do not get a digital or print replacement. The country has 6,380 surviving papers: 1,230 dailies and 5,150 weeklies,” the report said last June.

Read the full report on newspapers’ decline at this link.

War of words: Scott Adams, creator of Dilbert, canceled by publisher, newspapers, and syndicator over race remarks

The company that syndicates “Dilbert,” said it is cutting ties with the popular comic strip creator Scott Adams, after what they call racist remarks about black Americans. Hundreds of newspapers have dropped his comic strip, which is widely syndicated by Andrews McMeel Universal.

Andrews McMeel Chairman Hugh Andrews and CEO and President Andy Sareyan said the syndicator was “severing our relationship” with Adams, and “we will never support any commentary rooted in discrimination or hate.”

The question about whether Adams was making a racist comment or was making an observation of racism among black Americans is clear: He was commenting about a poll that shows a large number of black Americans don’t believe it’s ok to be white.

Penguin Random House’s subsidiary Portfolio said it will no longer publisher Adams’ forthcoming book, “Reframe Your Brain,” which was set to be released in September.

On Twitter, Adams said that Portfolio has said it will no longer print any of his past titles.

In addition to his comic creations, Adams has published book titles such as, “How to Fail at Almost Everything and Still Win Big,” and “Bigly.”

During one of his video episodes of his podcast, broadcast on Feb. 22, Adams referred to a Rasmussen survey that finds that 53% apparently found out that 53% of black Americans agree with the phrase, “It’s okay to be white.”

He said this was the first political poll that has changed his activities, and that if blacks don’t think it’s OK for him to be white, then they are part of a hate group. The poll got him thinking about his.

“I’ve been identifying as black for a while because I like to be on the winning team,” Adams said in a YouTube video. “And I like to help. I always thought if you help the black community, that’s sort of the biggest lever, you could find, the biggest benefit. But, it turns out that nearly half of that team doesn’t think I’m okay to be white.”

Then Adams said he will “re-identify as White, because I don’t want to be a member of a hate group. I had accidentally joined a hate group. If nearly half of blacks are not OK with white people, according to this poll, not according to me, according to this poll, that’s a hate group. That’s a hate group. And I don’t want to have anything to do with them.” It got even spicier after that.

“I would say, based on the current way things are going, the best advice I would give to white people is to get the hell away from black people,” Adams said. “Just get the hell away. Wherever you have to go, just get away. Because there’s no fixing this. This can’t be fixed.”

Among newspapers that canceled his comic strip are The Los Angeles TimesThe New York Daily NewsThe Santa Rosa Press DemocratThe Philadelphia InquirerThe Albuquerque JournalThe Boston GlobePortland Press Herald/Maine Sunday TelegramSanta Fe New MexicanThe (Spokane) Spokesman-Review , The Seattle TimesPittsburgh Post-GazetteSalt Lake Tribune, and a growing list, which Adams predicted would leave him with no newspapers by Monday.

Watch the entire Episode 2027, “Real Coffee with Scott Adams at his YouTube channel, and see the comments in context … before Adams gets canceled by YouTube’s parent company, Google:

Safari Club International convention names Dunleavy ‘Governor of the Year’

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The Safari Club National Convention took place for the first time in Nashville last week. The largest ever in attendance, over 17,000 hunters, patriots, outfitters, and guides traveled to the Music City from around the world to take part in the event.

Gov. Mike Dunleavy of Alaska won the prestigious “Governor of the Year Award.”

In his acceptance speech he talked about the great state of Alaska and the opportunity to harvest big brown bear, moose, Dall Sheep and, he joked, now Alaska has “big Chinese balloons”  to add to the list. The crowd loved it.

Alaska was front and center as discussion topics with the numerous of federal government overreach issues. Biden Administration has, at last count, made 44 executive orders and actions against Alaska. Safari Club International has hired another attorney to specifically work with Alaska issues that threatened public land access and hunting rights. 

The Alaska Chapter of Safari Club International won the Top Gun Award for 2023 at the annual convention in Nashville.

Other notable Alaskans attending the convention were John Sturgeon, who won at the Supreme Court — twice — on hunting rights. Also attending were Mike Crawford, National SCI Board Member; Ted Spraker, former Alaska Board of Game chairman and current president of Kenai SCI; Elaina Spraker, Office of U.S. Senator Dan Sullivan; Louis Cusack, Alaska SCI executive director; Ruth Cusack current Alaska Board of Game member; Deb Moore, executive director of Alaska Professional Hunter Association; Jen Yuhas, Outdoor Heritage Foundation of Alaska; Ben Mulligan and Eddie Grasser, State of Alaska Department of Fish and Game.

The Alaska Chapter was awarded “Top Gun Chapter” out of 180 chapters worldwide. 

Steve Goreham: Green energy — the greatest wealth transfer to the rich in history

By STEVE GOREHAM | MASTER RESOURCE

We are in the midst of history’s greatest wealth transfer. Government subsidized support for wind systems, solar arrays, and electric vehicles overwhelmingly benefits the wealthy members of society and rich nations. The poor and middle class pay for green energy programs with higher taxes and higher electricity and energy costs. Developing nations suffer environmental damage to deliver mined materials needed for renewables in rich nations.

Since 2000, the world has spent more than $5 trillion on green energy. More than 300,000 wind turbines have been erected, millions of solar arrays were installed, more than 25 million electric vehicles (EVs) have been sold, hundreds of thousands of acres of forest were cut down to produce biomass fuel, and about three percent of agricultural land is now used to produce biofuel for vehicles. The world spends about $1 trillion per year on green energy. Government subsidies run about $200 billion annually, with more than $1 trillion in subsidies spent over the last 20 years.

World leaders obsess over the need for a renewable energy transition to save the planet from human-caused global warming. Governments deliver an endless river of cash to promote adoption of green energy. The Inflation Reduction Act of 2022 provided $370 billion in subsidies and loans for renewables and EVs. But renewable subsidies and mandates overwhelmingly favor the rich members of society at the expense of the poor.

Wind systems receive production tax credits, property tax exemptions, and sometimes receive payments even when not generating electricity. Landowners receive as much as $8,000 per turbine each year from leases for wind systems on their land. Lease income can be quite high for a landowner with many turbines. In England, ordinary taxpayers pay hundreds of millions of pounds per year in taxes that are funneled as subsidies to wind companies and wealthy land owners.

In the US, 39 states currently have net metering laws. Net metering provides a credit for electricity generated by rooftop solar systems that is fed back into the grid. Solar generators typically get credits at the retail electricity rate, about 14 cents per kilowatt-hour. This is a subsidized rate, which is more than double the roughly five cents per kilowatt-hour earned by power plants. Apartment residents and homeowners that cannot afford to install rooftop solar pay higher electricity bills to subsidize homes that receive net metering credits. Rooftop solar owners also receive federal and state tax incentives, another wealth transfer from ordinary citizens.

US federal subsidies of up to $7,500 for each electric car purchased, along additional state subsidies, directly benefit EV buyers. The average price of an EV in the US last year was $66,000, which is out of reach for most drivers. A 2021 University of Chicago study found that California EV owners only drive 5,300 miles per year, less than half the mileage for a typical car. Most electric cars in the US are second cars for the rich.

A mid-size electric car needs a battery that weighs about a 1,000 pounds to provide acceptable driving range. Because of battery weight, EVs tend to be about 50 percent heavier than gasoline cars, which causes increased road damage. But EVs don’t pay the road tax included in the price of every gallon of gasoline. EVs should pay higher road taxes than traditional cars, but today this cost is borne by everyday gasoline car drivers.

Renewable systems require huge amounts of special metals. Electric car batteries need cobalt, nickel, and lithium to achieve high energy density and performance. Magnets in wind turbines require rare earth metals, such as neodymium and dysprosium. Large quantities of copper are essential for EV engines, batteries, wind and solar arrays, and electricity transmission systems to connect to remote wind and solar sites.

According to the International Energy Agency, an EV requires about six times the special metals of a gasoline or diesel car. A wind array requires more than ten times the metals of a natural gas power plant on a delivered-electricity basis. The majority of these metals are mined in developing countries.

Almost 70 percent of cobalt is mined in the Democratic Republic of the Congo. Indonesia produces more than 30 percent of the world’s nickel. Chile produces 28 percent of the copper. China produces 60 percent of the rare earth metals. These nations struggle with serious air and water pollution from mining operations. Workers in mines also suffer from poor working conditions and the use of forced labor and child labor practices. But apparently no cost is too great so that rich people in developed nations can drive a Tesla.

To top it off, the European Union recently approved a Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM). The CBAM will tax goods coming from poor nations which aren’t manufactured using low-carbon processes. CBAM revenues will be a great source of funds for Europe’s green energy programs that benefit the wealthy.

In January, California, Connecticut, Hawaii, Illinois, Maryland, New York, and Washington proposed a wealth tax on billionaires. It’s interesting to note that all seven of these states mandate and heavily subsidize wind and solar arrays and electric vehicles, which transfer wealth from poor and middle-class residents to those same billionaires.

Steve Goreham, a policy advisor to The Heartland Institute, is a speaker, author, and researcher on environmental issues as well as an engineer and business executive. This column first ran at his own blog, Master Resource.

Tim Barto: The details that separate men from women

By TIM BARTO

Men can menstruate, give birth, and win NCAA women’s swimming championships, but the true test that differentiates between the sexes is in the details of conversation and observation.

A few days ago, I had lunch with a friend who announced his fourth grandchild had just been born. Patriarchal displays of congratulations ensued, and happiness abounded. The lunch was delicious and the conversation great. All well and good . . . until I reached home. I told my wife about the nice conversation, the jaeger schnitzel that was just like they have in Germany, the great things our friend was doing in his ministry, and, oh yeah, his daughter gave birth again yesterday.

“She did? Boy or girl?” my wife asked.

“Umm.”

“You didn’t ask him what sex the baby was!”

“Sure, I did,” I responded. And I did, in fact, ask that question. The answer just wasn’t stored in the memory banks. “It was a girl, I think.  Or a boy.  One or the other.”

“How do you not remember if the baby was a girl or boy?” Incredulous my wife was, although, honestly, she should know better by now.  We’ve been married 32 years. 

It was an all-too-familiar replay of last week’s conversation. Again, it stemmed from me having lunch, this time with a young man smitten with our daughter. I was there to make sure he was worthy of her, but I went alone. (Having passed the test, he soon gets to meet Mama for the real trial.)

“Is his hair color light or dark?”

“Umm.”

A slightly cocked head and terse lips were my wife’s only response to my lackluster reply. 

“Sort of a, you know, light-dark mix. Brownish in a blonde kind of way.”

“What was he wearing?”

A look of frustration greeted my wife’s stare, then she just turned and walked away. I gotta’ give her credit for a rather noteworthy act of restraint. Either I need to quit having lunches with guys, or I need to quit reporting on the lunches I have with guys, or I need to learn to remember the details, like colors. Colors are evidently at the top of the women-folk’s important details list — hair, eyes, house, coat, shoes. Names are up there, too – nieces, nephews, children of friends, that couple we met four months ago when visiting a new church. 

“So, I saw Kim at Fred Meyer yesterday … “

“Who is Kim again?” I was the one asking the question this time.

“You know, Dalton’s wife. We met them at that new church back in November?”

“We went to a new church in November?”

Only the whites of her eyes were visible, they were rolling so violently upwards. “She was wearing a long beige sweater. He had a vest and tie on.”

“Heh heh. Yeah, so how is Kim?”  

The detail minefield is exacerbated when your wife happens to be from a culture that calls every female friend over 18 “aunty” and where all the children of our friends earn the title “cousin.” We’ve visited people on no more than five occasions and my wife gets frustrated because I don’t know what their relationship to us is. So I practice.

“Aunty Liane is Aunty Wendy’s sister, right?”

“Wow, I’m proud of you, Honey.” My wife was, indeed, proud, but such success comes with a heavy price: more details. “And they have another sister – Aunty Lisa.”

“Right, Isao’s Mom,” I said confidently.

“No, Wendy is Isao’s Mom. Lisa’s son is Max. He’s the one attending the merchant marine academy.”

“Cool. I didn’t know that.”

“Yes, you did. You talked with him last visit. Wendy’s youngest son is attending there, too. They’re roommates.”

And on it goes. I have to fill out a scorecard each time we take a vacation.

Part of the problem, though, is that I simply forget to tell her the things I actually remember, such as my mom was discharged from the hospital, our nephew is getting pinned as a Warrant Officer, our friends’ kid (a cousin, of course) made All-American at UCLA. That kind of stuff. Eventually, I get around to it, but it just doesn’t impress me as something I should immediately yap about after I hang up the phone. My wife differs. 

And I know it’s a female thing. My guy friend – Ernie or Frank, or something like that – told me his wife does the same thing. And my newly married daughter commiserates with her mother about how our new son-in-law, Aaron (or Elijah, or Nebuchadnezzar – one of those Old Testament names), always forgets to give her details of their conversations.  

Women have this penchant for details, a biological need for bits of information about people and a desire to strangle us guys who don’t share the same penchant. So, if a man wants to claim himself a woman, he’d better master the art of expecting detailed information but being eternally disappointed when those expectations are shattered. 

Tim Barto is a former Naval intelligence Specialist who used to always try and anticipate questions his skipper would ask at the end of the brief. He is not so skilled at anticipating his wife’s questions when returning from lunch.