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By the numbers: Democrats spent big bucks for failed ranked-choice voting and leftist candidates

Democrat candidates and their causes were well funded this year, and they hemorrhaged cash to the consultants and media experts who ran their losing campaigns.

Take Kamala Harris, for example. Her brief campaign for president raised over $1 billion and lasted just 107 days, which means she burned through $10 million a day. Her spending was at times reckless: She made her campaign spend over $100,000 recreating the “Call Her Daddy” podcast set in a Washington hotel room so she would not have to fly to California for the appearance on the show, which only had a sliver of the audience that Donald Trump had on the Joe Rogan podcast.

The Harris campaign spent $654 million to paid media, and Democratic groups working on behalf of Harris spent $726.1 million on advertising. The total comes close to $14 billion. Trump’s campaign spent $378 million, according to AdImpact.

Harris’ campaign payroll totaled $56.6 million, while the Trump campaign spent $9 million, employing far fewer people.

Harris reportedly ended her campaign $20 million in debt and can’t even pay her employees without an extra infusion of cash from donors — and the letters asking for money went out immediately.

In Alaska, Rep. Mary Peltola had a massive cash advantage, running one of the most expensive campaigns in Alaska history.

As of October. 16, Peltola had raised nearly $11.4 million for her campaign, not including the millions spent on her behalf by third-party groups, such as Planned Parenthood and the many well-heeled unions that ran their own parallel campaigns for her reelection. She had $1,163,587 cash on hand as of the Oct. 16 filing period.

In other words, Peltola’s campaign spent over $31,000 every day for the 365 days leading up to the Nov. 5 election.

Her challenger, Republican Nick Begich, raised a little over $2 million, spent $1.8 million and had $279,455 cash on hand by Oct. 16.

Like Trump, Begich was outspent by the Democrats but appears to have won.

Ballot Measure 2, repealing the ranked-choice voting system now being used in Alaska, was even more lopsided in spending.

The group trying to keep ranked-choice voting — “No on 2” — raised more than $14.6 million, nearly all of it from dark-money billionaires like John Arnold, who are not Alaskans but who opposed repealing the system they had spent over $6 million in dark money in 2020 to install.

The citizens group trying to repeal ranked-choice voting in Alaska, “Yes on 2” had under $100,000, all Alaska donations, to work with, but because the “No on 2” people kept suing to keep the question off the ballot, their debt is in at least the tens of thousands of dollars, just in legal fees fighting off the Scott Kendalls of the other side.

Around the country, the groups pushing ranked-choice voting in other states also outspent those who favor regular voting.

These figures were supplied by Phil Izon, one of the Alaskans who worked to get the signatures to repeal ranked-choice voting:

Alaska: $6.84 million + $14.64 million = $21.48 million supporting RCV over two ballot measures (Ballot Measure 2 in 2020 installed ranked-choice voting, while Ballot Measure 2 in 2024 repealed it. Those opposing ranked-choice voting in Alaska had just $1.1 million between 2020 and 2024. The imbalance was 21 to 1.

Arizona: $15.88 million supporting ranked-choice voting (Proposition 140 in 2024); $150,000 opposing it. Voters decided against installing ranked-choice voting in Arizona.

Colorado: $14.66 million supporting ranked-choice voting (Prop 131 in 2024); $460,000 opposing it. Voters decided against installing ranked-choice voting in Colorado.

Idaho: $5.50 million supporting Proposition 1 in 2024; $150,000 opposing it. Voters decided against installing ranked-choice voting in Idaho.

Montana: $44.76 million supporting CI-126 and CI-127; $70,000 opposing them. Voters decided against installing ranked-choice voting in Montana.

Nevada: $22.38 + $19.36 = $41.74M supporting Question 3 in 2022 and Question 3 in 2024. $2.08 million + $2.43 million = $4.51 million opposing (Question 3 in 2022 and Question 3 in 2024). Voters decided against installing ranked-choice voting in Nevada.

Oregon: $10.12 million supporting, $10,000 opposing Ballot Measure 117 in 2024. Voters decided against installing ranked-choice voting in Montana.

South Dakota: $1.62 million supporting; none opposing ranked-choice voting. Voters decided against installing ranked-choice voting in South Dakota.

Washington, D.C.: $1.28 million supporting Ballot Initiative 83 in 2024); $1,000 opposing. Voters in D.C. approved ranked-choice voting.

The total spent for pushing ranked-choice voting between 2020 and 2024 was at least $157.04 million. It exceeded by 24 times the amount the opposition to ranked-choice voting spent trying to preserve regular voting.

Fritz Pettyjohn: Reagan shut down the Cold War, and Trump can learn a lesson regarding Iran

By FRITZ PETTYJOHN

“We are the friends of liberty everywhere, but the guarantor of only our own.”  Thomas Jefferson.

When I was in the Alaska Legislature back in the 1980’s we were all fat and happy.ย  With Alaska North Slope crude selling at over $100 a barrel, the only difficulty was how we were going to able to spend all the money.ย ย 

Then the price began to fall and finally collapsed in 1986 to $32 a barrel.ย The Alaska economy went into a mini recession, the housing market nosedived, and cuts to the operating budget were needed.ย None of us could figure out what was going on.

Only later, when the Soviet Union disintegrated, did it become plain what had happened.

In his first foreign policy initiative, in 1981 President Ronald Reagan proposed selling AWACS planes to Saudi Arabia. Israel and the American Jewish community were flabbergasted and outraged.ย  With these planes, the Saudis would have early warning of any Israeli attack and could prepare to defend themselves.ย The Israeli air force owned the skies of the entire Middle East, and they wanted to keep it that way.

Reagan prevailed, and the Saudis owed us a very big favor.ย Soon they began flooding the world oil market, ostensibly to discipline OPEC cheating.ย But they kept it up, year after year until the market finally bottomed out in 1986.

It was no coincidence that it was in !986 that the Soviet politburo decided they could no longer compete with us in the Cold War.ย 90% of Soviet hard currency came from the sale of oil.ย No one in the world accepted payment in rubles, and hard currency was needed to have any participation in the world economy.ย You can’t play the superpower game if you don’t have any money.ย 

Reagan had won the Cold War without firing a shot.

American economic power, when properly harnessed, can substitute for armed might. That’s how President Donald Trump will end the Ukraine war.ย He can use carrots, as well as sticks.ย He can threaten Putin with all out economic warfare if Putin rejects a reasonable settlement with Ukraine.ย He can also offer economic assistance once a deal has been reached.

It is in our manifest geopolitical self-interest to divorce Russia from China.ย This justifies giving tax breaks to American companies that invest in Russia.ย With American help, Putin can lead Russia to a prosperity it has never known in its entire history.ย Russia was poor when he took power.ย He can leave it rich.ย That can be his legacy.ย ย 

This will also inhibit Russia’s historic imperialistic impulses over the long haul.ย Why invade Poland when you have more money than they do?

But what about the fact that Russia is and will continue to be a dictatorship?  What about the Russian people?  Shouldn’t they have a democratic form of government?  

That’s up to them to figure out.ย  We’re not going to guarantee anyone’s freedom but our own.ย  That’s realpolitik, or rational self-interest. When we deviate from that , as in Vietnam and Iraq, it is both futile and costly in American lives and treasure.

Which brings us to Iran, which has been caught red-handed attempting to assassinate our president-elect.ย His entire family is in danger.ย This cannot be allowed to stand.ย ย 

This doesn’t require an invasion, or any other military response.ย We can simply impose a total embargo on Iranian exports, by both land and sea.ย This will strangle their economy to such an extent that the Iranian people themselves will overthrow the despots who rule them.

A new era has begun, at home and around the world.

God bless America.

Fritz Pettyjohnโ€™s first venture in politics was working for Barry Goldwater for president in 1964. He served in the Alaska Legislature in the 1980sย and writes the blogย ReaganProject.com.

Bob Bird: The election, ANWR, the budget, PFD, and the 90/10

By BOB BIRD

Letโ€™s get some priorities straight. Alaska cannot squander this moment. It is going to take leadership and courage to turn things around. Amazingly, it might — it should — be a bi-partisan effort.

Before reading further, first go to YouTube and watch what Gov. Walter Hickel produced in 1993, when he initiated a $29 billion lawsuit against the federal government for its failure to give Alaska what was promised at statehood. Here is the link. It isnโ€™t long.

Incredibly, most Alaskans and many legislators, have never heard of the phrase โ€œ90/10.โ€ It has been buried, thanks to our own congressional delegation, under the fig-leaf phrase, coined by Sen. Ted Stevens and echoed by Rep.Don Young, Sen. Lisa Murkowski, Sen. Dan Sullivan and others, which says, โ€œFifty percent of something is better than 90 percent of nothing.โ€

A better phrase would be, โ€œOur politicians have sold out our birthright for a mess of pottage.โ€ 

From Wikipedia:ย Aย mess of pottageย is something immediately attractive but of little value, taken foolishly and carelessly, in exchange for something more distant and perhaps less tangible but immensely more valuable.ย 

You will find it in Genesis 25: 29-34, in the story of Jacob and Esau.

So, what is the background for Alaskans? Because the most valuable argument against Alaskan statehood was our inability to pay for self-government, congress crafted us a special gift: that oil revenues taken from federal properties would be split, not 50/50 as with the other states, but 90/10 in Alaskaโ€™s favor.

As the pro-Alaska historians, lawyers and legislators tell you in the video, this could not be unilaterally changed, but had to be OKโ€™d by a statewide referendum. But as an inducement to open up ANWR to lower 48 congressional votes, who would have to face the mediaโ€™s kissy-poo pets in the Green Lobby, our own โ€œchampionsโ€ lured them into accepting ANWRโ€™s opening on a 50/50 split.

It was done under the radar thanks to our local media outlets in the Anchorage Daily News, and its โ€œcourt historianโ€ Dr. Stephen Haycox, who pontificated: โ€œHickel apparently did not realize that Congress must be free to change its legislation to conform to changing public opinion, to changes in societyโ€™s will.โ€

This conforms to liberal tastes that contracts can be broken by the stronger (federal) party, and to the idea that the Constitution is a โ€œliving documentโ€.

You may recall that Donald Trump was on the cusp of opening ANWR in 2020, then โ€œlostโ€ his re-election bid. But it was on the 50/50 basis, thanks to Don Young, whose final years in congress took a mysterious leftward slant. 

With the kind of momentum conservatives now possess, with the Green Lobby off balance, with the pro-ANWR development natives of Kaktovik (in the heart of ANWR) voting for Trump 57-12, with our state budget and PFD in a shambles, what are we waiting for?

In debates I had in 2008 with former Sen. Mark Begich, he had the good sense to agree that 90/10 had to be defended. He completely understood that it meant more revenue for state government. Now, with his pro-development nephew likely to take our congressional seat, we have the proper alignment of the stars.

Except, of course, in the RCV-elected state legislature.

When Sen. Jesse Bjorkman and I were broadcast partners at KSRM, as a recently-arrived Alaskan, he had never heard of โ€œ90/10.โ€ To his credit, he was all on board when it was explained to him. If he is going to forfeit his conservative credentials once again for the sake of influence in a Democrat-controlled state senate, maybe — just maybe — he can use it for this vitally important purpose. It is a chance for him to have a hand in making state history.

Do Democrats want more revenue for state government? 

Do conservatives want a new oil-and-gas boom? Do they want a balanced budget? Does everyone want a recovering economy, value-added jobs and a full PFD?

Do we want and need a gas pipeline? Do we want a generations-long economy of permanent jobs?

The questions answer themselves.

Bob Bird is former chair of the Alaskan Independence Party and the host of a talk show on KSRM radio, Kenai.

Alexander Dolitsky: Expect extreme opposition to Donald Trump to continue

By ALEXANDER DOLITSKY

Indeed, it was a very pleasant surprise to me and to other commonsense Americans to see how tremendously wide and strong the voter support for Donald Trump turned out and how weak the support was for the Biden/Harris Administration.

That renews my and other commonsense Americans’ hope for the possible future of the United States as a true democracy.ย Many more people saw through all the media, progressive โ€œDemocraticโ€ Party, and the U.S. โ€œintelligenceโ€ agencies propaganda than many of us expected possible, and they included a significant number of voters from the โ€œDemocraticโ€ Party base itself (e.g., blacks and Hispanics, especially men, in addition to virtually the whole working class) who clearly were rejecting the far-left, neo-Marxist nonsense under name of liberty, equality and justice for all.ย 

Although the rejection of the Democrats extended to Congress, too, it was much weaker there than in the presidential election.  It looks like the commonsense Republicans might be able to control the White House and both chambers of congress for at least the next two yearsโ€”those will be very important years and, hopefully, major years of reversing much of the damage already inflicted by the Biden/Harris administration and far-left Democrats. 

Nevertheless, we can be very sure that there will be very strong and organized opposition to Donald Trump and the Republicans from not only the Democrats but also their allies in the neo-Marxist media and the administrative state.  At least, now for a change, we have some reason to be hopeful instead of just politically depressed.

Clearly, during this 2024 turbulent election, Americans recognized and stood tall against neo-Marxist ideology โ€” i.e., white privilege doctrine, Critical Race Theory, transgenderism, DEI and systemic racism demagoguery. Commonsense Americans stood strong in protecting Judeo-Christian moral values and principles โ€” an ideological and theological foundation of our exceptional Republic.

I am writing this short piece from the Dominican Republic. And I can you tell that Dominicans, our Caribbean neighbors, overwhelmingly support Donald Trumpโ€™s victory. As for me, even Dominican salty food began to taste much sweeter.

Alexander B. Dolitsky was born and raised in Kiev in the former Soviet Union. He received an M.A. in history from Kiev Pedagogical Institute, Ukraine, in 1976; an M.A. in anthropology and archaeology from Brown University in 1983; and was enroled in the Ph.D. program in Anthropology at Bryn Mawr College from 1983 to 1985, where he was also a lecturer in the Russian Center. In the U.S.S.R., he was a social studies teacher for three years, and an archaeologist for five years for the Ukranian Academy of Sciences. In 1978, he settled in the United States. Dolitsky visited Alaska for the first time in 1981, while conducting field research for graduate school at Brown. He lived first in Sitka in 1985 and then settled in Juneau in 1986. From 1985 to 1987, he was a U.S. Forest Service archaeologist and social scientist. He was an Adjunct Assistant Professor of Russian Studies at the University of Alaska Southeast from 1985 to 1999; Social Studies Instructor at the Alyeska Central School, Alaska Department of Education from 1988 to 2006; and hasย been the Director of the Alaska-Siberia Research Center (see www.aksrc.homestead.com) from 1990 to present. He has conducted about 30 field studies in various areas of the former Soviet Union (including Siberia), Central Asia, South America, Eastern Europe and the United States (including Alaska). Dolitsky has been a lecturer on theย World Discoverer, Spirit of Oceanus,ย and Clipper Odysseyย vessels in the Arctic and sub-Arctic regions. He was the Project Manager for the WWII Alaska-Siberia Lend Lease Memorial, which was erected in Fairbanks in 2006. He has published extensively in the fields of anthropology, history, archaeology, and ethnography. His more recent publications includeย Fairy Tales and Myths of the Bering Strait Chukchi, Ancient Tales of Kamchatka;ย Tales and Legends of the Yupik Eskimos of Siberia;ย Old Russia in Modern America: Russian Old Believers in Alaska;ย Allies in Wartime: The Alaska-Siberia Airway During WWII;ย Spirit of the Siberian Tiger: Folktales of the Russian Far East;ย Living Wisdom of the Far North: Tales and Legends from Chukotka and Alaska; Pipeline to Russia; The Alaska-Siberia Air Route in WWII; and Old Russia in Modern America: Living Traditions of the Russian Old Believers; Ancient Tales of Chukotka, and Ancient Tales of Kamchatka.

Terror in Wasilla: FBI seeks spray-paint vandal who marked crisis pregnancy center

The FBI’s Anchorage Field Office seeks help in identifying the person responsible for vandalizing the HeartReach Center at 865 South Seward Meridian Parkway in Wasilla.

On Oct. 20, at approximately 12:20 a.m., the person, wearing a mask, approached the HeartReach Center and spray-painted approximately 10 swastika symbols on the building and dropped nails in the parking lot. Security footage of the incident shows the individual wearing a dark-colored long-sleeve shirt over a black hooded sweatshirt, and a light-colored face covering.

The organization provides pregnancy tests, adoption referrals, and sexual disease testing, and information that gives women more complete information about the realities of abortion.

This is at least the second instance of spray-paint terrorism intended to intimidate conservatives:

In Anchorage last month, an unknown criminal spray painted swastikas and the word “FASCIST” on the home where there were Trump flags on display.

Must Read Alaska readers say Division of Elections should release vote data; public records request filed

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A reader poll at Must Read Alaska reveals that 97% of over 600 participants believe the Alaska Division of Elections should release the raw data from the Nov. 5 election, rather than sit on that data and not release it until after the ranked-choice calculation is completed by the computers later this month.

Due to Alaska’s complicated voting system, some races in Alaska cannot be called because the computers at the State election office must perform the extra step of reassigning second- and third-choice votes. The entire nation is now waiting on Alaska to complete the congressional race, for example, since neither candidate Nick Begich nor incumbent Mary Peltola reached the 50% + 1 vote threshold to win.

But the Division of Elections has the existing, already counted second- and third-place votes in hand and those data files are being kept secret from the campaigns and the public.

Must Read Alaska has filed a public records request with the division to release the data that it has, since this is public information and there is no legal reason to not provide it.

The first time ranked-choice voting was used in Alaska — in November of 2022 — the data was not released until after the division had already run the calculation, which gave Peltola the win over Sarah Palin. After that, the Election Division posted the raw data on its website and data analysts were able to see what occurred in the election.

As Alaska’s elections are run now, the public won’t know who won that seat until Nov. 20 — 15 days after the election ends. There is no law requiring that secrecy. If the data was released earlier, the campaigns could analyze it and understand whether or not there is truly a path forward for them.

The current standing in the Begich-Peltola race is that Begich is ahead with 125,222 votes, and Peltola has 115,089 votes. Third-party candidate John Wayne Howe has 9,880, and Democrat Eric Hafner has 2,492. Begich has a vote lead of over 10,000 votes; there are believed to be about 45,000 more votes to be counted before the Division will, after Nov. 15, run its calculation to determine where the straggler ranking votes are assigned.

Jim Minnery: We won the World Series! And other observations about the 2024 election

By JIM MINNERY

As with you likely, I’ve been doing a fair share of digesting what just transpired Tuesday. Here are a few post-election thoughts to add to your menu.

First and foremost, as my friend Bob reminded me at our semi-weekly coffee at City Market this morning,ย WE WON THE WORLD SERIES !

Although I was as ecstatic as any other conservative out there who saw our movement dodge a bullet (literally and figuratively), I was a bit dismayed about the results of our State Legislative races.ย  Likely losing the State House (there are some races still at play) meansย both chambersย of the Alaska Legislature might be filled with the bi-partisan coalition nonsense that has permeated either the State Senate or State House for way too long.

It is certainly painful but…as Bob reminded me – “That’s little league stuff. We just won the World Series!ย 

Let’s dive in. 

Alaska went big once again for Trump. That bodes well on so many levels. I’ll let others pontificate on the economic ramifications of lower inflation, more jobs, a border that actually does what it is supposed to and resource development sure to expand opportunities here in the Great Land.

In no uncertain terms, our state and nation stood up and spoke truth to the liberal, biased media with their votes – the poll that matters most. By electing Donald J. Trump to serve again as our President and Commander-In-Chief, we can confidently predict that our Federal Courts will again be filled with conservative constitutionalists. This arena, as we see time and time again, is essential for ensuring fundamental freedoms the Biden-Harris Administration has been systematically dismantling from day one of occupying the White House.

Over the past four years, Joe Biden and Kamala Harris have relentlessly pursued policies that targeted our most fundamental freedoms: religious freedomfree speechparental rightsthe right to life, and fair play and equal opportunities for women and girls. With Tuesday’s historic win, the stage is set to begin reversing these harmful policies and secure new legal protections that will safeguard fundamental rights from future attacks. 

A Trump victory also speaks volumes about the attempt by elitists for decades now to to malign those with traditional, conservative views as Hitler-like. It was completely and utterly debunked.ย 

In this short but profound piece, R.R. Reno from First Things dissects how the “Archie Bunkers” of the world, you know, you and I, are nothing more than “proto-facists” clingingย to our Bibleโ€™s moral teachings and yearning for the security of a โ€œclosedโ€ society. Trump is an authoritarian, an enemy of the diversity and inclusion made possible by an โ€œopenโ€ society unhinged from any mooring of outdated and unwanted standards.ย 

With this presumed mandate of Trump, Reno notes how Americans of every stripeย “should welcome the general erosion of the open society consensus and its ready accusations of fascism and authoritarianism. In that regard, whatever one thinks of the man or his platform, Trumpโ€™s electoral success is good news for those of us who think that the highest, noblest, and most liberating act is to surrender ourselves, heart, mind, and soul, to God.

As you can see from the two election maps below, Nick Begich is still 0.4% +1 vote from the magic number that will put a Republican back in our sole Congressional seat. As Suzanne Downing atย Must Read Alaska has noted in her predictably impeccable journalism, it seems inevitable Mary Peltola will, thankfully, be a one and done U.S. House member. Interestingly, 16,501 Alaskans ( these numbers will change slightly as more are tallied ) voted for President Trump and then for someone other than Nick Begich. In most cases that was Mary Peltola, who is as left leaning by every measurement as Kamala Harris and AOC.ย 

That kind of cognitive dissonance, in my view and from the data, can best be described as Alaskans in rural areas who want someone that “seems more like them” despite having just cast their vote for the blue collar billionaire.

In any event, much can and will be written about the amazing ramifications of the trifecta of a Trump Administration with majorities in the U.S. Senate, (sorry Lisa Murkowski) and House.

Sen. Murkowski is not in an enviable position. She has been a thorn in Trump’s side, she is widely disliked by her own party and, possibly most importantly, the U.S. Senate Republican majority margin, that could grow, eliminates the need to give Murkowski deference as a deal breaker or maker. And to top it off, her ranked choice voting scheme she orchestrated with Scott Kendall to avoid a Republican Primary appears to be going down in flames.ย 

It is dawn and we are once again, turning on the lights on the city on a hill. Enjoy the brightness in the coming days knowing that the true Light of the World is on the horizon. John 8:12

On theย State Senateย side, it’s a mixed bag.

Republicans Rob Yundt from Wasilla and Mike Cronk from Tok are two new Senate members who have both told Alaska Family Action in ourย Values Voter Guideย that they wouldย refuse to join a coalition majority in which the opposite political party controls a majority of seats.

Assuming they join the current three-person Senate Republican minority, made up of Shelley Hughes from Palmer, Mike Shower from Wasilla and Robert Myers from North Pole, that would give the minority five members, the minimum needed to hold seats on Senate committees.

Two races AFA was watching closely and had high hopes for were Leslie Hajducovich against incumbent Democrat Sen. Scott Kawasaki in Fairbanks and Eagle River newcomer Jared Goecker against Republican incumbent Sen. Kelly Merrick who has been part of the bi-partisan coalition. Hadjucovich is down by just 74 votes out of 9,411 votes cast while Goecker pulled in just 40% of the vote in the District. With 60% of the vote going to Merrick and to a Democrat, Eagle River/Chugiak has some “splaining” to do about their claim as a conservative suburb of Anchorage.ย  It is unknown whether Hadjucovich, if she pulls out a last minute victory, would join the bi-partisan coalition or not.ย 

Ben Carpenter, a former solid House member who put his hat in the ring against fellow Republican Sen. Jesse Bjorkman who was backed up hard by the unions, fought well but couldn’t pull off a victory.ย 

In terms of any pro family legislation advancing in the State Senate, it is likely to remain difficult to get anything to a floor vote. We’re looking at possible bi-partisan legislation that other states have had some success with and we’ll always be on alert for anything negative that surfaces. Stay tuned.ย 


On theย State Houseย side, it’s difficult to put a positive spin on it although many ballots have yet to be counted and there are several races still in play.

The big losses for social conservatives were mostly in Anchorage. Lucy Bauer losing to Ky Holland, Rep. Craig Johnson losing to Chuck Kopp, Stanley Wright being down to Ted Eischeid, and David Nelson being down to Rep. Cliff Groh were key to looking like the House Majority might be gone.

At the time of this writing, incumbent Stanley Wright is down by 111 votes and former legislator David Nelson is down by just 28 votes! You’ve heard this before but every vote really does matter.

From a favorable perspective looking at the House…

Jubliee Underwood in the MatSu Valley looks to have defeated David Eastman. Although he has a faithful following,ย AFA has long believed Eastman was a stumbling block for advancing conservative ideas in Juneau.ย 

– We picked up a Republican seat with Jeremy Bynum in the Ketchikan area after incumbent Rep. Dan Ortiz retired.

– As always, our conservative rock stars in the Valley did what they do best – win. Here’s to all of you, Hughes, Shower, Johnson, Tilton, McCabe, Rauscher.

Sarah Vance, an outstanding pro family legislator out of Homer, fought off a tough challenger and will be returning to Juneau.ย ย 

– South Anchorage incumbent Julie Coulombe battled valiantly to fend off Democrat Walter Featherly to keep her office in the Legislature.ย 

– Newcomer Heather Gottshall orchestrated an impressive race against Democrat incumbent Rep. Andy Josephson and, although ultimately falling short, picked up over 47% of the vote. Here’s to encouraging her to put her hat back in the ring.

– Long time ally Mia Costello in West Anchorage pushed through to a hard fought win.

– Another newcomer, Aimee Sims generated nearly 47% of the vote against Democrat incumbent Rep. Donna Mears showing that this seat is still attainable for Republicans. Ditto on using this experience to keep pressing.

– Eagle River/Chugiak stalwarts Reps. Jamie Allard and Dan Saddler got the kind of results we wish we would have seen on the Senate side in this district. Shows you how strong the union organizer Joey Merrick, Sen. Kelly Merrick’s husband, is.ย 

Jim Minnery is president of Alaska Family Council and Action.

Assumptions and projections on Begich-Peltola race

It’s Day 3 after Election Day, and due to the vagaries and unknowns that come with ranked-choice voting, Alaska still has no congressional representative-elect.

But our Must Read Alaska analysis shows that Nick Begich will, in fact, win for Congress. It’s based on assumptions and projections:

Assuming all of the remaining absentee and early-vote ballots are going to break out by district the way the existing counted vote has gone, this would mean Begich would receive 40% of the 25,000 as-of-yet uncounted absentee votes.

This does not mean Peltola will get 60% of those, because there is still third-party candidate John Wayne Howe and Democrat Eric Hafner.

Using the same assumption — that uncounted votes will reflect the pattern of already-counted votes — Begich will get 53.6% of the remaining 22,000 early votes.

Those two numbers would mean Begich would see as much as 4,000 of his current 10,000-vote lead eroded, but he would still be the leading candidate.

That would then lead to the ranked-choice scenario designed by Sen. Lisa Murkowski’s minions.

In that process, the second votes of Eric Hafner and John Wayne Howe would be distributed. Some will be exhausted ballots, with no second or third choice.

But because Peltola spent millions of dollars trying to reach white working-class men with a message that they should only vote for Howe, (because only he would be conservative enough for them,) those voters who believed her are not likely to mark Peltola second. These were not Democrat voters who she was trying to manipulate with her message — they were conservatives.

Before the ranked-choice process, we predict Begich will lead by as much as 5,600 votes.

As Hafner and Howe are eliminated the total universe reduces to the binary choice: Republican Begich and a Democrat Peltola. Now, with those two others out, Begich is highly likely to win by a margin of 2,000-6,000 votes.

Whether the Peltola campaign or the Democrats will then sue the Division of Elections over some aspect of the election is an unknown. The Democrats have sued at every turn during this election season, and past performance may predict their future behavior.

But the National Republican Congressional Committee has sent lawyers and staff to Alaska to ensure the vote count is done properly and they are on site now in Fairbanks, Anchorage, and Juneau.

On the other side, Democrats have not even put a person in charge of observing the absentee ballot adjudication process in Wasilla, a recognition they know things are not going well for them.

Monday is Veterans Day, and no votes will be counted.

The next count will be on Tuesday, Nov. 12, to count all received early and absentee votes not already counted.

Stop by Must Read Alaska for more analysis as the election plays out over the coming days.

Special Counsel Jack Smith to take a break from prosecution of Trump — for now

Federal prosecutors in the Department of Justice on Friday want more time to decide whether to continue prosecuting President-elect Donald Trump.

Special Counsel Jack Smith said Trump’s sweeping victory on Tuesday over Vice President Kamala Harris means his team needs to regroup and come up with a plan of attack.

“The Government respectfully requests that the Court vacate the remaining deadlines in the pretrial schedule to afford the Government time to assess this unprecedented circumstance and determine the appropriate course going forward consistent with Department of Justice policy,” prosecutors wrote in a motion before the court. Judge Tanya Chutkan granted the motion and ordered Smith to send her a status report by Dec. 2 regarding his plans to attack Trump for what he has called a criminal scheme to overturn the 2020 election of Joe Biden.

Trump has pleaded not guilty to the charges and the U.S. Supreme Court found that he had presidential immunity for the actions he took while in office while executing his core constitutional duties and that he had limited immunity on other matters. Unofficial acts are not protected.