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National Geographic’s cynical polar bear play

Last week, the venerated National Geographic organization posted a video of what is evidently a starving polar bear, with yellowed fur and a bony frame, wandering around Somerset Island, Canada in search of food.

The social media world was aghast.

“This is horrible!” people intoned. “What have we done?” they asked Facebook friends, looking for answers from the mob. “This is living proof of our demise… So so cruel!”

All of a sudden, everyone was an expert.

There’s little doubt that bear was a goner, and his death scene was excrutiating. The piano and cello music that accompanies the footage made akin to the death of Mimi in La Boheme.

However, the timing for the release of that video was curious, and the fact that an environmental activist group (SeaLegacy) was responsible for it is not an accident.

SeaLegacy states its mission is “to create high-impact visual communications that propel people to take action to protect our oceans.” They went to the Arctic to document climate change impacts and they stumbled on a doozy.

Some of the organization’s work is positively stunning. And some, like this video, is downright misleading.

 

THE CLEVER TIMING 

The footage was taken in July, but not released until December.

“This is what climate change looks like,” the caption reads, at about the 10-second mark. The captions continue, saying that shrinking sea ice is causing this starvation.

But just as the opening of the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge for oil and gas exploration was moving into congressional conference committee last week, National Geographic decided that now is the time to roll out the video?

It was a hail Mary pass for the vast environmental industry. They were even fact-checked by Snopes.com, and the organization declared the video “True.”

Inuit hunters fact-checked it and come up with a different viewpoint.

The Inuit in Canada are likely the world experts on polar bears, and they not only pushed back at SeaLegacy’s assertions.

“Climate change has very little to do with it,” said Eric Ootoovak, vice-chair of the Mittimatalik Hunters and Trappers Organization on Baffin Island. “You can really tell he’s sick. He’s not starving. If he was starving, he’d be able to move a bit more than that.”

Baffin Island hunters have been monitoring polar bear populations for generations — long before the bears became the poster-child animals for global warming.

“There’s too many bears in our area,” Ootoovak said, adding that they are becoming a menace to people. “My grandmother used to tell me stories from when they lived in sod houses and they would never see polar bears. When there was finally a bear, people all over spoke about it. Today, it’s impossible to camp without having a bear watch.”

[Read: The problem with polar bear propaganda]

But SeaLegacy doubled down on the hunters:

“Inuit people make a lot of money from polar bear trophy hunting,” SeaLegacy co-founder Cristina Mittermeier told CBC radio. “Of course it is in their best interest to say that polar bears are happy and healthy and that climate change is a joke, because otherwise their quota might be reduced.”

The July video was captured by SeaLegacy filmmakers on Somerset Island, near Baffin Island in Nunavut, where they were shooting a documentary about the effects of climate change.

Scientists with a contrary view have been largely ignored. The IUCN Polar Bear Specialist Group says the global population of polar bears is between 22,000 and 30,000.

One thing is certain: Polar bears are at the top of the food chain with no natural predators other than an occasional Inuit hunter. They are more likely to die of old age and age-related diseases than other species, such as whales, which are harvested or whose lifespans are even more difficult to document.

The population of polar bears appears to be increasing in some areas, while decreasing in others.

A 2016 scientific working group report on the Baffin Bay and Kane Basin polar bear populations was released in February, and confirmed what local Inuit have been saying: The populations are stable. The report received scant coverage from the media.

[Read the report on Baffin Bay and Kane Basin polar bear population trends here.]

Yet with cameras and polyester puff jackets, environmental propagandists will continue to descend on the Arctic.  In the name of storytelling, they will document a lot more of these deaths — natural or otherwise — in their effort to warn us all of an apocalyptic future where zombie polar bears roam the tundra and chew on the rubber seats of snow machines for sustenance, while cello music plays in the background.

A sign that Begich isn’t running for governor

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WALKER CRACKS OPEN UNION SUPPORT

One of the favorite dinner party conversations among politicos this season is whether or not former Sen. Mark Begich is going to make a run for governor of Alaska.

On Aug. 25, Begich was certainly still in the hunt. In a letter to his supporters he wrote: “I wanted to let you know that in response to many urging me to run, I am considering it, but Deborah and I have not made a decision yet. I hope to make a decision and share that with you in the next few months. In the meantime, I ask that you keep your powder dry.

“As I think about this decision, I’d love to hear from you. Should I or shouldn’t I run for Governor? Do you think Alaska is on the right path? What are your biggest hopes and concerns for our future?”

We may never know what answer Begich received, but a fundraiser for Gov. Bill Walker and Lt. Gov. Byron Mallott just a few weeks later was flush with people one would expect to be at a Begich fundraiser — Jane Anvik and Vic Fisher, Barbara and Hal Gazaway, Bruce Botelho, Diane Kaplan. You know, the usual suspects.

Some of those keeping their powder dry in September are now all in on a fundraiser the Walker-Mallott ticket that the campaign will hold on Dec. 18 at the home of former Gov. Bill Sheffield.

They are the union representatives. They were nowhere to be seen during the governor’s first few fundraisers. But they are part of the Walker party now.

Alaska AFL-CIO President Vince Beltrami, center, is joined by AFL-CIO President Richard Trumka, at a labor protest against the Anchorage Hilton and Sheraton Hotels in this 2012 file photo.

Vince Beltrami is on board with Gov. Walker once again. He’s head of AFL-CIO in Alaska and was instrumental in Walker’s first win, cobbling together the slate of Walker and Mallott.

Tom Wescott, head of the firefighters’ union, has now thrown his support to Walker.

Joey Merrick, business manager for Laborers’ Local 341, has joined the co-host list.

Alaska Democrats, tired of losing, gave up having a gubernatorial candidate in 2014, and it worked out well for them. They have control the Governor’s Office, and now the House of Representatives, which they took control of by running “independents.” It worked beyond their wildest dreams.

But would Democrats really go for two election cycles without having someone from their party run for governor, especially when Begich appears eager to jump in? Walker seems to have convinced the Democrats to stick with him for another cycle.

Walker’s fundraiser next week is co-hosted by mostly the same people who hosted his September fundraiser. Overall, the list boasts fewer names.

A few new co-hosts, like former Rep. Jim Colver, appear, but one name is conspicuously absent from the invitation: Rep. Dean Westlake, who was supported by Walker and his key surrogate lawyer Robin Brena, but who is now under attack by his own party for sexual harassment. Westlake was a co-host in September, but not this time.

Brena’s name is not on the list, although he’s surely working on a parallel effort to elect Walker-Mallott through an independent expenditure group.

Has Begich decided not to run? Has Walker promised Democrats he will run in their primary? Both of those seem more likely this week, with the unions coming over.

YOUR INVITE

Here’s the invitation for the Dec. 18 fundraiser, and the co-hosts who are no longer keeping their powder dry for Begich. (Compare it to the September list here):

Slow Obamacare enrollments head into final day

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SURGE WEEK

This week is the home stretch for signing up for Obamacare for 2018. The enrollment period ends Friday, Dec. 15.

Health care experts are now saying enrollment will be down by 18.5 percent from last year.

Find out more about enrolling in a health care plan here.

So far, Alaska (population 740,000) has the lowest number of people enrolled in the nation, at 10,633. The next lowest is Delaware, with a population of 950,000 and an Obamacare enrollment of 11,553, as of Dec. 9.

TOTAL ALASKA ENROLLED TRENDS 

2016 = 23,029
2017 = 19,145
2018 – 15,600 (projected by Must Read Alaska)

Number of Alaskans enrolled as of Dec. 9: 10,633

Oddly, Alaska enrollments to date actually appear 22 percent higher than last year, according to the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services. That is likely due to a shortened six-week open enrollment period, compared to 12 weeks last year.

EFFECTUATED ENROLLMENT (ENROLLED & PAID FIRST MONTH PREMIUM)

Enrolling in health care is one thing, but paying for it and having it actually cover you is another. Many enrollees drop out of coverage before they pay their first premium. Cost is a factor: Alaskans pay some of the highest premiums in the nation.

Here’s where the real Alaska enrollment numbers come in:

2016 = 15,252 effectuated
2017 = 14,177 effectuated
2018 = 10,800 +- (effectuated, projected by Must Read Alaska)

Republican lawmakers will overturn the mandate to purchase insurance, a cornerstone of the Affordable Care Act, which passed with only Democrats voting for it.

As it stands, the law now requires all to have insurance or pay a fine. This portion of Obamacare hits small businesses and sole proprietors hard, since they typically do not have company-provided health care plan. Many Alaskans report premiums and deductibles that are more than their home mortgages, such as this example sent to Must Read Alaska.

The Internal Revenue Service has announced the fines will be enforced when people file their taxes between Jan. 1-April 16, 2018. The release of that fine would not go into effect until the following year, unless something changes.

The tax bill now being worked out in a congressional conference committee between the House and Senate has the end of the individual mandate written into it.

While ginning up fake accusations against a senator, Edgmon’s posse sat on a secret

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SEN. WILSON WAS A CONVENIENT DISTRACTION FROM WESTLAKE

On June 15, 2017, Sen. David Wilson engaged in what amounted to a verbal dispute with an aide who stood at the door of the House Speaker’s Chambers in Alaska’s Capitol.

Behind the door, a caucus meeting was being held, with loud music playing.

Wilson pretended to record the music through the door. The aide told him to move along. It all happened in a few short seconds in full view of at least two members of the media, including Liz Raines of KTVA, and James Brooks of the Juneau Empire. Other people were in the hall, as they are during sessions.

Over the course of several months, a whisper campaign started from the Democratic side of the aisle, and Wilson, a Republican, was being accused of sexually harassing the aide. It was all done via rumor — no complaint has ever been filed against Wilson in this matter. No complaint needed to be filed, as the media would provide death by a thousand cuts.

[Read: Much ado about up-skirting-possible-lawsuit]

After the encounter, the Speaker’s legislative aide appeared to want nothing to do with the allegations, and neither she nor the Speaker filed a complaint.

They also didn’t deny the rumors.

By fall, two members of the media reported that Wilson had placed a camera-phone under the skirt of the aide, and that rumor took off like a rocket.

Those reporters, James Brooks of the Juneau Empire, and Liz Raines of KTVA, went on record.

Brooks was quoted by Raines in her story: “What I saw was David Wilson, Sen. Wilson, as I remember it, approaching the door and appearing to listen in or act like he was listening in. I couldn’t hear any conversations or I don’t remember them. At that point, a staffer came up and physically stood in front of the door and blocked him from coming up. At that point, he took his cell phone and appeared to press it against the door between the staffer’s legs. It didn’t seem like there was anything malicious in it. It came and went pretty quickly.”

Raines had given her account to Senate President Pete Kelly and House Speaker Bryce Edgmon.

BUT IT DIDN’T HAPPEN LIKE THAT

We now know that the truth eventually got on its shoes and tried to catch up with the rumor.

The official report, released this week, debunks the reporters’ account. Skiff Lobaugh, in charge of personnel for the Legislative Affairs Agency, reviewed the video tape of the hallway encounter and described it this way as he put to rest the false allegations:

  • Senator Wilson was in front of the Speaker’s Office talking with HSE on June 15, 2017.
  • HSE moved to stand between Senator Wilson and the door to the Speaker’s Office.
  • Senator Wilson took out what appears to be a cellphone.
  • Senator Wilson lowered the cellphone to a height level with the hemline of HSE skirt, at a distance of about one foot to two feet away from the skirt.
  • Senator Wilson did not physically touch HSE or her skirt with his hand or his cellphone.
  • The cellphone was angled towards both the HSE’s skirt and the door of the Speaker’s Office The door was directly behind the HSE. Senator Wilson was looking at the phone at this time, not at HSE or the door.
  • The cellphone was at skirt level for four seconds. The cellphone was lowered at 4:58:19 pm and raised at 4:58:23 pm.
  • Something was said, and Senator Wilson left the area. He headed towards the Senate side of the Capitol.

EDGMON LET LEDOUX DO HIS DIRTY WORK

Speaker Edgmon allowed Rep. Gabrielle LeDoux, the Rules Committee chair, to be the attack dog, and she was eager:

“The Senate needs to figure out what to do with this guy,” said LeDoux on camera, with righteous indignation, irritated that Senate President Pete Kelly had called for a review and strengthening of harassment policies. That was going to be her play, and Kelly messed up her plans to shame Wilson and the Senate leadership.

Reporter Liz Raines, right, continued to report on the story to which she had become a central witness. Her account of what happened between David Wilson and legislative aide Amory LeLake has been refuted by an official investigation. Here, she interviews House Rules Chair Gabrielle LeDoux, who gave credence to the accusations.

“It’s one thing to write letters about this, but right now, the Senate is protecting exactly a person who did that, and I am referring to Sen. David Wilson, you know, the guy who hit the reporter, who is alleged to have stuck a telephone between a staffer’s legs,” LeDoux told reporter Raines, who continued to report on the story to which she had become central.

At the time, it seemed Wilson didn’t stand a chance against the account of the reporters.

LEDOUX CONTINUES ATTACK

Rep. LeDoux took over the lead role in the attack against Wilson, while Speaker Edgmon and Majority Leader Tuck remained silent for months:

“They’ve [the Senate leadership] sent a letter [to ask for strengthening policies], but they haven’t bothered to do anything when one of their own members apparently acted inappropriately. It’s one thing to send letters; it’s another thing to do something,” Rep. Gabrielle LeDoux told the Empire.

Her idea of doing something was to continue to attack Wilson.

“In deference to the victim — I’m not going to mention the victim’s name — but there have been rumors in this building about an incident which occurred … in June involving David Wilson, Sen. Wilson,” LeDoux continued, as she played judge and jury, trying Sen. Wilson in the court of public opinion. She had a victim card, even if there was no victim.

The media was a willing partner. The House Democrats, with LeDoux in front, played them like a fiddle.

But then, something happened that the Democrats perhaps did not see coming: Legislative aide Olivia Garrett had had enough.

EDGMON, TUCK, KAWASAKI WERE SITTING ON A SECRET

While Sen. Wilson fought for his reputation, repeatedly denying allegations, Speaker Edgmon and Tuck knew something that Republicans in the Senate and House didn’t know:

Months earlier, Garrett, an aide to Rep. Scott Kawasaki, D-Fairbanks, had lodged a complaint against Rep. Dean Westlake, D-Kotzebue.

Dean Westlake

Garrett in early March had gone to Majority Leader Tuck and told him of the harassment she had been subjected to by Westlake.

She asked what she should do. Tuck told her to write a letter detailing the complaint. On March 13, she finalized the letter to Edgmon and Tuck, gave the letter to Tuck, and then she waited.

And waited.

Nothing ever came of it. April, May, June, and July went by. The Democrats were ginning up accusations against Sen. Wilson, fueling the media with rumors, and nothing was being done about her actual complaint. She was ignored.

By August, Garrett quit her job. Still no action was taken. In early December, she went public with her accusations.

It’s highly likely that at least three members of the Legislature knew of Garrett’s complaint back in March: Chris Tuck most surely, as he had coached her on how to write the letter, and had received the letter from her; Speaker Edgmon, who has admitted he knew of the complaint in March and was addressed in the letter. It’s also just as plausible that Rep. LeDoux knew.

And then there was Rep. Scott Kawasaki, who was Garrett’s supervisor.

Kawasaki has his own trail of harassment rumors behind him, going back years — taking place in the Capitol and in bars in downtown Juneau.

Surely Kawasaki knew that Garrett was filing a complaint, and yet he, too, remained silent, not advocating for justice for either Garrett or the accused, Rep. Westake.

Edgmon, Tuck, and LeDoux have not apologized to Sen. Wilson for allowing LeDoux to run roughshod over truth and justice. Neither have they apologized to legislative aide Olivia Garrett for ignoring her complaint. Kawasaki has all but disappeared from the public eye.

There appears to be no internal mechanism for bringing charges against the House leadership for complicity and possible collusion in allowing Rep. Westlake to continue harassing women in the Legislature for months after the complaint was filed. This isn’t something Legislative Affairs Agency is likely to do.

History tells us that those in power are not able to investigate themselves for wrongdoing. Who, then, will ask House Speaker Edgmon, House Majority Leader Tuck, Rules Chair LeDoux, and Rep. Kawasaki to take an oath and give a sworn statement about their actions?

Did these House players know of real harassment, and keep silent, while allowing unfounded and ugly accusations to become very public and drawn-out against a member of the Senate? The public may never know.

Quote of the day: Holleman on pedophiles, molesters

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We give you a social media exchange between Anchorage School Board member Andy Holleman and Forrest McDonald, a campaign consultant (and candidate for House) who gives free advice on a platform for Holleman’s next campaign, (which is “mildly paraphrased” in his sample ad).

Holleman is a reliable liberal vote, while McDonald is conservative, and who is known to have an acerbic wit.

 

 

 

 

 

 

Did Edgmon and Tuck conspire to cover up Westlake complaint?

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What did they know and when did they know it?

Did the House Speaker and House Majority leader agree to keep a complaint of sexual harassment under wraps? Did the two ever plan to act?

Legislative Affairs is now investigating the original complaint of sexual harassment of a legislative aide by Rep. Dean Westlake. The complaint was made in March, and the agency’s Human Resource Director Skiff Lobaugh is in charge of the report.

But who is investigating why Speaker Bryce Edgmon and House Majority Leader Chris Tuck stuck the complaint letter in a drawer, and left a legislative aide fearing for her job? The aide eventually quit.

There is no investigation into what appears to be a cover-up of something that is, by Alaska Statute, a crime.

THE BACKGROUND

On March 13, legislative aide Olivia Garrett gave a letter to House Majority Leader Chris Tuck, detailing two incidents of harassment from Rep. Dean Westlake.

WHAT WAS TUCK’S ROLE?

Majority Leader Tuck had given Garrett specific guidance on how to write the letter, Garrett said. She followed his advice closely, fearing retaliation from Tuck, who is currently the second-most powerful person in the Alaska House, if she didn’t abide by his instructions, Garrett told KTUU.

Garrett said she especially heeded Tuck’s instructions to write that she wanted to “move forward in a professional manner,” and not “embarrass or damage” anyone.

In other words, Tuck helped her write the letter.

Tuck may or may not have shown the letter to Speaker Bryce Edgmon, although it was addressed to both of them. Edgmon has alternately said he didn’t know about the letter, and that he knew about it in March.

“I wrote the letter, gave Rep. Tuck a hard copy, and never heard from him again,” Garrett told KTUU. Garrett, who was a legislative aide for Rep. Scott Kawasaki during session, left legislative service in August. She has in recent days filed a Human Rights complaint against Westlake.

But did the House Speaker know, and for how long? Tuck isn’t saying what he did with the letter, but Edgmon is now admitting he saw it in March.

“In an interview earlier this week, Edgmon, a Democrat, said he became aware of the complaint in March and spoke with Westlake, a first-term lawmaker from Kotzebue,” the Associated Press reported.

Edgmon earlier said that if there are any substantiated claims of harassment, there should be consequences.

“When I say substantiated, I think it has to go through a full investigation process,” he told a reporter.

[Read: What Edgmon said when the harassment complaint became public.]

But complaints can’t be investigated and substantiated if those in power conspire to keep them secret.

Instead, once the complaint became public, Edgmon and House Democrats immediately called on Westlake to resign. So did the Alaska Democratic Party.

Now, neither Edgmon or Tuck will discuss anything about the case because they say it is now a confidential investigation.

Rep. Colleen Sullivan-Leonard has asked for an independent investigation into the entire matter.

WESTLAKE APOLOGIZES, WON’T QUIT YET

For his part, Rep. Westlake has issued a statement of contrition and apology:

I would have preferred to publicly respond to recent allegations, but I am still in recovery from heart surgery and must make a written statement only. These allegations have become a confidential personnel matter, and in respecting the process I cannot discuss the details. I very much wish that I could. However, I will say the following:

I want to once again apologize to any woman whom I have made uncomfortable with either my actions or words. I never intended to hurt anyone, but I understand now that I have. I am truly sorry for that, and I want to thank anyone who came forward. Doing so required strength and bravery.

In the midst of a national moment that has empowered many women to come forward with their painful experiences, I have found myself re-examining my own actions and thinking through how they have affected the women with whom I work and interact.

I, like many men, have learned a lot from the women who have shared their stories over the past few weeks. I used to think of certain actions as friendly or funny, but I have come to understand that they can be offensive and intrusive.

I am imperfect, and I know I have disappointed many people who trusted me to represent them. Let me be clear, I am committed to being better and to changing my behavior. I will learn from this experience, and I will be an ally and supporter of women moving forward.

Many people in the past few days have called for me to resign. I have thought seriously about it, and I have asked for counsel from friends, family, native leaders, Elders, and God. I have decided not to.

I am proud to represent House District 40, which is not a Republican or Democrat district- it is an Alaskan district. I will continue to work on behalf of the people of my district and of Alaska more broadly.

I want to thank everyone who has supported me throughout this time. These stories do not reflect who I am, and I am determined to make it right.

Power play: House members set up own harassment reporting system

 

 

Power play: House members set up own harassment reporting system

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REP. MILLETT SAYS MEMBERS NOW DON’T TRUST SPEAKER, DUE TO INACTION

House Minority Leader Charisse Millett today announced that because Speaker Bryce Edgmon and House Majority Leader Chris Tuck have shown an inability to properly handle accusations of sexual harassment, she has assigned two members of her caucus as “Harassment Resource Officers.” Call it a safety net, if you will, just in case this ever happens again.

House Minority Leader Rep. Charisse Millett

 “In light of the recent deficiencies displayed in our current policies regarding reporting procedures and process, I am designating Representatives [Jennifer] Johnston and [Dave] Talerico inside our caucus as ‘Harassment Resource Officers”.- Rep. Charisse Millett

Reps. Johnston and Talerico will get training in how to handle reports of harassment, and Millett said.

The “displayed incompetence of the current Speaker of House, his leadership group, including the Majority Leader and Rules Chair,” have resulted in a lack of trust by their fellow lawmakers and legislative employees, who learned through the media that a report of sexual harassment was kept secret by Edgmon and Tuck for nine months.

On March 13, the two were notified by former legislative aide Olivia Garrett of sexual harassment she endured from Rep. Dean Westlake. The letter to the two was never acted on, and the aide, who quit working for the House in August, finally made the letter public through KTVA this month after she went public with her accusations in front of a “truth and reconciliation” meeting of the Alaska Democratic Party.

Speaker Edgmon has told the media he cannot speak about the matter because it is private, and he has not revealed what action, if any, he took once informed of the harassment.

“This is a confidential personnel issue and I am not able to comment on details of the incident or the complaint,” he said in a statement. “Unwanted sexual advances and other forms of harassment are unacceptable and hinder the work of the Alaska Legislature to do the people’s business. Any victim who comes forward must be respected and should know their concerns will be heard, investigated, and addressed with fairness and transparency. Our priority is to ensure a safe and respectful work environment where no one feels threatened. We strongly encourage anyone who has been subjected to sexual harassment, assault, or aggravation in or related to their place of work to come forward. We want them to feel confident that their personnel matters will remain confidential and private, and that the Legislature will listen and follow through.”

However, the Associated Press is reporting that Edgmon knew of the letter from the aide back in March.

Tuck has remained silent about why he didn’t act on the letter he was given on March 13, which detailed the harassment accusations. Rules Chair Gabrielle LeDoux has also remained mum on the matter, and is believed to be in Cuba.

LEGISLATIVE STAFFERS OFFER THEORY

Several legislative staff members, speaking on the condition of anonymity, have offered the theory that Edgmon, Tuck and LeDoux were using the letter as a form of blackmail against Westlake, to ensure he voted for higher tax rates on oil companies. Westlake comes from a district that depends on oil for its economy and ran on a pro-oil platform. But in early April, his behavior changed and he began acting “paranoid.” He suddenly had a change of heart on oil taxes and on April 10 voted with the Democrats on HB 111. That bill passed the House 21-19 along party lines. Westlake’s vote was essential to its passage.

A call to Westlake for comment was not returned. He is said to be recovering from a surgical procedure on his heart and not available. But he has issued a statement saying that he does not plan to resign his position, even though House Democrats and the Alaska Democratic Party have called on him to resign.

PARALLEL REPORTING STRUCTURE CREATED

Reps. Jennifer Johnston and Dave Talerico

Rep. Johnston and Talerico “will be empowered to receive reports and assist in referring concerns and incidents to the Legislative Affairs Agency’s Personnel Office and Human Resources Manager. They are both committed to taking all reports seriously, without partisan or personal biases,” Millett said in a statement. “These officer positions are not meant to take the place of any existing reporting tools or channels, simply to supplement the Legislature’s current policies, and add to any forthcoming revisions to those policies.”

“All members and staff deserve to feel safe coming to work, and to feel that their reports will prompt action – not fall on deaf ears. Please contact my office, along with Representatives Johnston and Talerico, with any questions about this policy addition,” Millett said.

Governor’s climate change advisor makes as much as he does

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AND SHE COMMUTES FROM SEATTLE, RECORDS SHOW

Governor Bill Walker hired a senior climate change advisor who earns $145,000 a year, which is the same as his salary. And she has been commuting by jet from Seattle to Alaska, at State expense,  since signing on with the administration. She racked up over 11,000 airline miles in her commute during a three-month period.

The Governor’s Office has been paying for the airline tickets, cab rides, hotels, and other travel-related expenses for Cayenne “Nikoosh” Carlo, according to travel documents obtained through a public records request.

Dr. Carlo, who has a PhD in neuroscience and who is deeply involved in arctic and climate change issues, is on contract to work 130 hours per month, or about 33 hours per week.

Her job description is to work on “services as directed by the Governor or his designee.” In this case, the governor’s designee is Lt. Gov. Byron Mallott, who is his lead person on all things climate related for the administration.

 

CARLO’S CARBON FOOTPRINT 

Must Read Alaska asked for and received travel records for Carlo, through October.

Carlo’s travel authorization reports show she is assigned to the Lieutenant Governor’s Office and traveled between Seattle and Juneau several times, beginning in July.

Carlo flew from Seattle to Juneau between July 31 and Aug. 3, and again from Seattle to Juneau and Anchorage between Sept. 6-20.

She flew from Seattle to Juneau again between Oct. 3-5., and between Oct. 29 to Nov. 1.

Oct. 16-22 she flew roundtrip from Seattle to Anchorage for AFN.

The carbon footprint for those trips is over one metric ton of CO2e, or carbon dioxide equivalent, according to the Carbon Footprint Calculator, which offers suggestions on how to offset your carbon footprint. In this case, Carlo could plant trees in Kenya, the web site offers.

Two months after Carlo’s hire, Walker signed Administrative Order 289, creating a “Alaska Climate Change Strategy and Climate Action for Alaska Leadership Team.”

“The Strategy creates a flexible and long-lasting framework for Alaskans to build a strategic response to climate change informed by the best available science, integration of indigenous and local knowledge, and consideration of Alaska’s economic interests. The order also calls for State departments to review their previous work on climate change, and identify immediate adaptation and response actions they can take.”

NEW CLIMATE CHANGE TEAM ANNOUNCED

On Tuesday, Walker announced the members of that team, with Lt. Bryon Mallott as the leader:

Ralph Andersen of Dillingham. Anderson is the President and CEO of Bristol Bay Native Association and a member of Clarks Point Tribal Council. Ralph is also Chairman of the Bristol Bay Partnership and the Western Alaska Salmon Coalition, and is former Co-Chairman of the Alaska Federation of Natives.

Linda Behnken of Sitka. Behnken is the Executive Director of the Alaska Longline Fishermen’s Association (ALFA) and has 34 years of experience as a commercial fisherman. Linda is a Commissioner of the International Pacific Halibut Commission and has previously served on the North Pacific Fisheries Management Council.

Lisa Busch of Sitka. Busch is the Executive Director of the non-profit Sitka Sound Science Center, where she is responsible for operations and organizational development and health. Lisa has prior career experience as a radio producer and environmental journalist, and has worked extensively in providing communication training for scientists.

Luke Hopkins of Fairbanks. Hopkins is former Mayor of the Fairbanks North Star Borough and has previously served on the Borough Assembly and the Board of Directors of the Alaska Municipal League. Luke was a member of the Immediate Action Work Group of the former Sub-Cabinet on Climate Change, where he helped to develop policies to protect coastal communities imminently threatened by climate change.

John Hopson, Jr. of Wainwright. Hopson, Jr. is Mayor of the City of Wainwright, President of the North Slope Borough Assembly, Chairman of the Eskimo Whaling Commission and Vice Chairman of the Voice of the Arctic Inupiat. John has been engaged as both a community and corporate leader on the North Slope for over a decade.

Nicole Kanayurak of Barrow (Utqiaġvik). Kanayurak is a 2017 Knauss Marine Policy Fellow working in the NOAA Office of International Affairs and Seafood Inspection, focusing on international fisheries legislation and negotiations. Nicole is currently the youth representative to the Inuit Circumpolar Council and former representative to Future Arctic Leaders, and has held a variety of positions working for the North Slope Borough.

Mara Kimmel of Anchorage. Kimmel is married to Anchorage Mayor Ethan Berkowitz and is adjunct faculty at the Institute of Social and Economic Research at UAA. Mara’s doctoral research focused on the relationship between land rights, governance and human development in Arctic and sub-Arctic communities.

Meera Kohler of Anchorage. Kohler is the President and CEO of Alaska Village Electric Cooperative (AVEC), a non-profit electric utility owned by the residents of 58 communities throughout Alaska. Meera was a member of the former Alaska Climate Change Sub- Cabinet.

Michael LeVine of Juneau. LeVine is the Senior Arctic Fellow at Ocean Conservancy. Michael’s work focuses on sustainable management and stewardship of ocean resources, as well as the creation of economic opportunity in the face of changing ocean conditions.

Mark Masteller of Palmer. Masteller is an Assistant Professor at University of Alaska where he teaches classes on energy efficiency and renewable energy as part of the sustainable energy program. Mark serves as the Alaska Director for the Cascadia Green Building Council and as a board member for the Matanuska Electric Association. He has over 20 years of experience in wildlife research and management as a wildlife biologist.

Molly McCamon of Anchorage. McCammon is the Executive Director of the Alaska Ocean Observing System (AOOS). As part of her work, Molly leads the Alaska Ocean Acidification Network and co-leads the Alaska Harmful Algal Bloom Network and the Alaska Integrated Water Level Observing Network.

Denise Michels of Nome. Michels is a former Mayor of Nome and recently joined DOWL as a Senior Project Manager and will work with Newtok. Previously, while at Kawerak, Denise helped Shishmaref with their relocation efforts. Denise is a former member of the Inuit Circumpolar Council, the Alaska Arctic Council Host Committee, the Northern Waters Task Force, and the Adaptation Advisory Group of the former Sub-Cabinet on Climate Change.

Chris Rose of Anchorage. Rose is the founder and Executive Director of the Renewable Energy Alaska Project (REAP), which is dedicated to increasing renewable energy and energy efficiency throughout Alaska. Chris was a member of the Mitigation Advisory Group of the former Climate Change Sub-Cabinet, and has previously served as the Commissioner of the Mat-Su Borough Planning Commission.

Isaac Vanderburg of Anchorage. Vanderburg is the Executive Director of Launch Alaska, Alaska’s first energy accelerator. Launch Alaska is focused on building companies in the energy sector who are working on climate solutions in the sectors of food, water, energy and transportation.

EX OFFICIO MEMBERS

Janet Weiss of Anchorage. Weiss is the President of BP Alaska Region and has worked in the energy industry for over 30 years, with experience in Alaska, Wyoming and the Gulf of Mexico. Janet is a member of the Alaska Oil and Gas Advisory Board and the University of Alaska Fairbanks Advisory Board.

Duncan Fields of Kodiak. Fields is a technical advisor to the Gulf of Alaska Coastal Communities Coalition and the owner of Shoreside Consulting, a natural resources consulting firm based in Kodiak, Alaska. Duncan is an attorney and fisheries advocate, former member of the North Pacific Fisheries Management Council and former president of the Kodiak Island Borough School District.

Jim Johnsen of Fairbanks and Anchorage. Johnson is the current President of the University of Alaska, as well as a commissioner on the Denali Commission and a member of the Alaska Aerospace Corporation Board. Jim’s many executive roles in higher education have included statewide academic initiatives to align primary and secondary education sectors and to achieve higher attainment levels throughout Alaska.

Reginald (“Reggie”) Joule of Kotzebue. Joule is a former state legislator in the Alaska House of Representatives and former Mayor of the Northwest Arctic Borough, as well as a member of the UK-based Polar Research and Policy Initiative. While serving as Mayor, Reggie was appointed by President Obama to the President’s State, Local and Tribal Leaders Task Force on Climate Preparedness and Resilience.

Sam Schimmel of Kenai Peninsula and St. Lawrence Island. Schimmel is a student and alumni of the Center for Native American Youth (CNAY) Champions for Change Program. Sam has worked on numerous legislative and executive initiatives for Native youth, including a 2016 bill establishing the Alyce Spotted Bear and Walter Soboleff Commission on Native Children and a roundtable discussion with Alaska’s congressional delegation and Governor at the 2017 Alaska Federation of Natives conference.

Fran Ulmer of Anchorage. Ulmer is Chair of the U.S. Arctic Research Commission and former Lieutenant Governor of Alaska. Fran is a member of the Global Board of the Nature Conservancy and the Board of the National Parks Conservation Commission, and was appointed to the National Commission on the BP Deepwater Horizon Oil Spill and Offshore Drilling.

Snapshot: Revenue forecast shows gov’s tax plan (still) not needed

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Revenues to the State of Alaska are on the upswing, due to higher oil prices and more robust oil production.

The Alaska Fall 2017 Revenues Sources Book was released by the Alaska Department of Revenue on Wednesday, two days in advance of the governor’s proposed budget for the fiscal year that will begin in June.

Walker’s budget will be debated and passed in some form in the coming legislative session, starting Jan. 16.

The Governor and the Democrats may make another run for an income tax, although that is unlikely during an election year.

The Revenues Sources Book shows that an income tax would indeed be a tough sell, considering these points:

  • For 2018, (the fiscal year that ends June 30, 2018), general fund unrestricted revenues are expected to be $750 million higher than they were for 2017: $2.1 billion is anticipated for this year.
  • That is a jump of $247 million more than the state’s draft report six weeks ago.
  • For 2019, the department projects revenue of $2.0 billion.
  • Last year, the Revenue Department predicted $9.9 billion in revenue, but instead received $12 billion.
  • Last year’s forecast also said Trans Alaska Pipeline System would move 490,300 barrels for FY 17, and 455,600 barrels for FY 18. Instead, TAPS averaged 526,500 barrels in 2017.
  • Revenue now projects 533,400 barrels per day in FY18 and 525,700 barrels in FY19.
  • The difference between what it projected last year for 2018 and what it’s projecting now is 77,800 barrels per day. That’s a 17 percent swing.
  • The Permanent Fund returned over 12 percent, and Revenue says it expects total revenue of $10.3 billion in FY18, and $11 billion in FY19.
  • Revenue forecasts an annual average price for North Slope crude at $56-57 per barrel for the next two fiscal years. Of all the predictions, this is perhaps the most difficult one to make. Today’s price is over $63, but it has been as low as $48 during the past year.
  • Revenue projects prices will stabilize around $60 per barrel and increase to $75 per barrel during the next 10 years.

DATA POINTS FOR ARMCHAIR BUDGETERS

  • The Permanent Fund has $63.2 billion, as of last week.
  • The Earnings Reserve Account holds $14 billion of the Permanent Fund balance.
  • The Constitutional Budget Reserve has $3 billion, which is not part of the Permanent Fund balance.

WHAT GOV. WALKER SAID IN 2016

Gov. Walker has made a hard push for taxes since taking office in 2014.

In 2016, he said that without taxes and restructuring how the Permanent Fund helps pay for government operations, the state budget would need to be cut to $1.5 billion.

“The CBR will be completely depleted by 2018,” his office said in a dire statement in 2016. “After that, Alaska’s current revenue structure will produce approximately $1.5 billion in unrestricted general funds (UGF), assuming oil price returns to $55/bbl. Petroleum based tax and royalty at $55/bbl produce about $950 million and all other taxes; corporate, excise, fees, and investment income, are $550 million.”

Read the 2016 Office of Management and Budget prediction here.

Legislators are up against the wall with the budget this year, and will likely need to use the Percent of Market Value method in using the Earnings Reserve Account to help pay for services. Cuts to the operating budget, according to many Republicans, are also overdue. Some Republicans believe that trimming state operations by $250-500 million is an essential first step.

Gov. Walker has been unable to reduce operating costs in government. In December, 2016, he offered a $4.2 billion operating budget, but by June, 2017 he signed off on $4.9 billion in spending, with no vetoes.

In June of 2015, he signed a $4.95 billion operating budget for the year that ended June 30, 2016.

The vetoes he has made were to Alaskans’ Permanent Fund dividends and to the small oil producers who are owed tax credits for coming north to help Alaska goose more production out of the North Slope.