The polling forecaster FiveThirtyEight is projecting the Republican Party will win control of the U.S. Senate comfortably.
FiveThirtyEight says the Republicans have a 55% chance of having a majority, a change from when FiveThirtyEight made a projection on Oct. 15, when it gave Democrats a 55% chance of taking the Senate. GOP is now “slightly favored” to win the majority.
In the House, the Republicans have an 84% chance of reclaiming leadership from Rep. Nancy Pelosi and the Democrats.
Joe Rogan, who has a pulse on the national mood, said on his podcast, “The red wave that’s coming is going to be like the elevator doors opening up in ‘The Shining,'” in reference to the 1980 Stanley Kubrick horror film scene depicting a river of blood rushing out of hotel elevator doors.
Rogan said the election could be dominated by those in the silent majority.
“There are a lot of people that are afraid of talking about it. But they’re not afraid of voting about it,” Rogan said of the more controversial topics of the election season. “Because there’s a lot of people that are afraid of the reprisal. They’re afraid of getting attacked and they’ll silently, when they’re amongst friends going, ‘What the f— is going on? Like, what is going on?’ And those people — that’s gonna be responsible for the red wave.”
“That’s what I think. I think people are just like, ‘What the f— are you saying?’ They’re making Republicans,” Rogan said.
Former House Speaker Newt Gingrich predicted on Fox News that the Senate will be between +3 to +5, with Senate seat pickups in New Hampshire, Nevada, Arizona, Georgia, and +44 seats in the House.
As the Tuesday election nears, President Joe Biden is campaigning in typically blue strongholds like New Mexico, skipping over swing states. It’s an indication that the Democrats have given up on swing states and are now just attempting to shore up their reliably Democrat seats. Biden will be heading from New Mexico to California, but will skip Arizona and Nevada, where two close Senate seats could determine the control of the Senate.
Biden is also being deployed away from states and races where it’s feared he can do more harm than good. In his recent trip to Oregon, neither Democrat candidate in competitive congressional districts joined him at his scheduled events, which were sparsely attended by under 200 people.