Randy Daly: Ballot Measure 1 is a bad idea. Here’s why

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Kenai Walmart sign in June, 2024.

By RANDY DALY

Ballot Measure Number 1, an act increasing the minimum wage in Alaska, does not get much discussion, which may lead to it passing, and that would be a bad thing for Alaska.

As an Alaskan business owner, I know firsthand that increasing expenses without an increase in value to the consumer leads to price increases for customers. Alaskans have experienced a 20% increase in consumer prices over the last four years.

Ballot measure 1 is a poorly timed bad idea. But hey, don’t take my word for it, there are many wiser and well qualified folks like Thomas Sowell, Tim Harford, and Charles Wheelan who all agree: 

Thomas Sowell, the famous economist and author of Wealth, Poverty and Politics, opposes raising the minimum wage because he argues that it leads to higher unemployment, especially for low-skilled workers. According to Sowell, minimum wage increases make it more costly for businesses to hire employees, which often leads them to reduce hiring, cut hours, or even lay off workers.

These policies can be especially detrimental to young and minority job seekers, as they may find fewer entry-level opportunities. Sowell suggests that market-based wages are more effective in promoting economic growth and improving overall employment rates.

Tim Harford, who wrote The Undercover Economist, opposes raising the minimum wage due to concerns about job loss and economic inefficiency. He argues that minimum wage increases often result in reduced employment opportunities, particularly for young and low-skilled workers. Harford emphasizes that wage floors interfere with market dynamics by distorting the natural balance between supply and demand for labor. This interference can lead businesses to cut back on hiring or to replace workers with automation.

Harford contends that such policies can ultimately harm the individuals they aim to help, as they reduce overall economic efficiency and job availability.

Charles Wheelan, author of Naked Economics, argues that raising the minimum wage can have unintended consequences that may harm those it aims to help. Wheelan believes that if the minimum wage is set above a worker’s marginal productivity (the value they bring to their job), businesses might respond by cutting jobs or automating roles to reduce labor costs. He also emphasizes that wage hikes can lead to fewer entry-level opportunities, which are crucial for unskilled workers to gain experience.

Instead, he suggests focusing on policies that enhance worker skills and productivity, addressing poverty more effectively without risking job losses.

Sowell, Harford, Wheelen, and I agree, increasing wage without increasing economic output, measured in quality, quantity, speed, or a combination of these things, creates higher prices, reduces economic efficiency and risks job loss.

These guys know what they are talking about. You might say they wrote the book on it. 

Ballot measure 1 is a poorly timed bad idea. Vote no on Ballot Measure 1.

Thomas R. “Randy” Daly is originally from Tok and now lives in Kenai. A graduate of East Anchorage High School and University of Alaska Anchorage, he is a former Marine, E Company 4th Recon., 4th Mar. Div., Elmendorf AFB; Communications Chief, Airborne, SCUBA, WSSI; Founder / Owner HiSpeed Gear! Inc.; former owner of a statewide business equipment dealership founded in 1998; former producer of Tom Randell Daly’s Show on KWHQ FM / Host on Sound Off KSRM AM; founder of Randy’s Garage, car sharing service founded in 2020; past president, Alaska Film Group; past president, Rotary Club of Kenai / Paul Harris Fellow; past president, Kenai Peninsula Economic Development District Board; married to his high school sweetheart and is the father of two.

9 COMMENTS

  1. I believe it was Thomas Sowell that said something to the effect that the real minimum wage is $0.00/hr. Increases in government mandated minimum wage will increase the number of unemployed earning the real minimum wage of 0 dollars per hour.

  2. Many are deaf to logic. Mandating wages by the government with the notion of propping up society has so many negatives and no legitimate positives. In the end, you pay, businesses become burdened, some businesses close, first time training jobs become scare, for others, hours are cut and robot replacement is expedited. You think mandatory wages is helpful but it is not. Don’t be part of the Totalitarian State, vote No to increase minimum wage. Vote No on 1…. and Yes on 2.

  3. If anyone can name a single product or service that will not go up in price because of a minimum wage hike, I might consider voting for it.
    One single product or service.
    .
    Anyone?
    Anyone???

  4. Even if a lack of automation replacement were the result of such a mandate, of which it shall not be, hiring practices shall eschew the formally popular practice of hiring those that are in need of basic working and employment skills so as to further their own path within their employment journey from the most basic skills of showing up for work on time, participating within a team concentric setting, and learning how to be a self-starter, within an adult minded level of self-governance that makes that individual an asset, rather than a detriment, unto the operation as a whole.

    Once the GOVERNMENTAL MANDATE of pay unto the most basic and beginning of employment, even without automation, businesses shall begin to seek out applicants that ALREADY have the most basic skills established within their application, or resume, meaning this.

    ANY job shall be given unto not the beginner within their employment future, but unto the applicant that shows that they have already passed that point within their employment timeline, and given the nature of the job itself, those that have already worked most of their lives. Within other words, it shall be the retirees, or soon to be retirees that are about to collect their SS benefits, that have that lifetime of experience within the job market, or those that are looking for a part time job so as to supplement their income within an economy that seems to demand a second job due unto increased prices across the spectrum within the cost of living.

    The kids, as I call them, although said term seems to reach upwards of 30 years old that still live with their parents, shall not have a chance, as they hold NO job experience to validate said ‘minimum’ wage unto business owners, nor the customers OF that business, that shall come to pay unnecessary higher prices without ANY increased value of product or a better priced product.

    It is no simpler than that.

  5. Down here, raising the minimum wage has lead to $7 quarter pounders and $3 fries. Nevertheless, workers have a need to pay rent and other living expenses. If employers would keep up with compensatory pay raises, I can see why a minimum pay raise isn’t necessary. Many business owners don’t however, and as a result, they have a revolving door of employees. So, the state feels a need to step in. I understand a need to raise wages to stay up with inflation.

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