While Democrats blast Republicans for electing a president who is under investigation for various alleged crimes, in Alaska, many Democrats voted for a felon who sits in a federal prison out of state as their second choice for Congress.
According to election tabulation work by CINYC9, who runs a data-rich account on X/Twitter, about 65% of Alaska voters who cast a vote in the congressional race only picked one candidate — they “bullet voted.”
The voters who picked Republican Nick Begich as their first choice on the ranked-choice ballot were most likely to bullet vote: 77% of them bullet voted, and just 10% ranked all four candidates in the race.
As CINYC9 explains, 15% voters who chose Begich first ended up choosing John Wayne Howe, of the Alaskan Independence Party, second.
In contrast, slightly more than half of Peltola votes bullet voted.
26% of Peltola supporters voted for Eric Hafner second. Hafner is the man who is sitting in a New York federal penitentiary for making violent threats against elected officials and judges.
Those who voted for Howe first and then ranked other candidates after that, voted for Begich over Peltola by a margin of about 2.5 to 1.
CINYC9 is using a computer script of his making that can analyze the raw data being posted by the Division of Elections. The files he analyzes are not understandable to the average viewer, as they are complex codes. But CINYC9 was accurate in 2022 with his script application and feels confident he is close on the numbers this time as well.
The final results won’t be known until Nov. 20, when the Division of Elections runs its own script and determines where the second-, third-, and fourth-place votes go. But so far, others who have run programs that analyze the raw data are in agreement with CINYC9.
Even FairVote.org, which is part of the dark-money network that pushed ranked-choice voting on Alaskans, ran an analysis and agrees that Begich is heavily favored to win.
