Alaska’s congressional race has been moved to “tilt Republican” by Inside Elections. Earlier, the election analysis organization had the race between incumbent Democrat Mary Peltola and Republican Nick Begich in the “toss up” lane.
“Peltola may be the most endangered Democratic incumbent on the map,” wrote Nathan Gonzalez of Inside Elections. If it’s a race that is driven by national issues, “she will likely lose.”
As conservatives break tradition and vote early in Alaska — and about 45,000 voters have already cast their ballots — polling and analysis companies can look at who has voted and what their voter registration is, as well as how many times they’ve voted in the past.
What the analysts are seeing shows that more conservative voters are motivated in Alaska to bank their votes early. Some 50% of the early votes are being cast by those over the age of 62, an important number in Alaska, as weather gets more wintery.
Voting becomes the ultimate poll in any race. However, it doesn’t yet look like either Peltola or Begich will win outright in the ranked-choice scenario.
“Private polling shows the Republican with a narrow advantage in a simulated version of Alaska’s unique ranked choice voting system, but neither candidate looks likely to win outright due to the presence of two minor candidates on the ballot,” Gonzalez wrote.
Earlier this week, Peltola was placed by Cook Political Report into the top-10 most vulnerable incumbent list, and Roll Call gave her the same bleak news — she is in trouble. She has been caught in numerous lies, including taking credit for the Willow project being unfrozen by the Biden Administration. President Biden said that the reason he unfroze the project is that his lawyers told him he would lose in court.
Peltola endorsed Joe Biden for president, but now won’t say who she will vote for, as she tries to appear moderate.
“Alaskans are rallying behind Nick Begich, who enters the final stretch with strong momentum to win Alaska’s House seat and grow the Republican majority. Despite massively outspending Begich with false attacks, Mary Peltola has faltered as voters evaluated her failed, out-of-touch record of backing Biden, Harris and the radical Left,” said NRCC spokesperson Ben Petersen.
Just had a young gal show up on our snowy doorstep, holding a bunch of Peltola brochures…she was not thrilled to hear we voted early and for Begich. Since she asked directions to a local street we figure Peltola hired people to do this job.
Yes hired by Peltola.
Has anyone else noted the constant ads for John Wayne Howe (claiming to be the real conservative in this race)? These ads are not cheap so who is funding them? Likely Peltola and company.
Peltola camp is running these ads directly to try to confuse voters to rank Howe first.
Plus George Soros is putting tons of money in her campaign. #1 reason not to support her!
So here is the scenario for the RCV argument, neither of the “lesser known” candidates have a snowball’s chance, but we will take 2 extra weeks to determine that.
Yes, and rank choice voting takes the vote away from the voter and gives it to the system. The system can twist the vote anyway they want. I don’t like having my vote being controlled by someone else or the system. It against the law to have your vote taken away from you, and given to a system that somebody decided was better. That somebody has taken votes and using them to their advantage.
She is the most irrelevant, the most irrational, the most useless person in public office. Looo a serrr!!!!
No, that would be Suzanne LaFrance. But she is a close second.
She lost my Jewish vote when she couldn’t give a straight informed answer when asked about Israel. She’s a proxy for the Islamic regime like her woke ignorant friends.
Doesnt take any imagination at all to guess who Mary will be voting for.
She just doesnt want to say it.
Peltola is one of those candidates that you end up scratching your head, how did she get this far politically?? I was really uninformed on both Peltola and Begich. I watched the October debate between them. Peltola didn’t blow it, but Begich was smooth. He really was very well spoken, knew the issues, was calm and poised. Smart guy, quick on his feet. She would get rattled. Her answers were superficial. She really has found herself in a position that is out of her league. Easy choice, Begich!
The absolute lies put out on media is over the top. Accusing Nick of being everything including the antichrist. Enough already. We are all in for nick. Win this election nick
The mainstream media is done for after this election. They have lied bent and purgered themselves at the cost of our nations integrity. We are looking like complete asses to the rest of the world. Our once intelligent country has been reduced to a bunch of whiny wimps delivering a message of twisted lies. Then we go to the VIEW and our intelligence is completely compromised by whoopy the racist devil who remarkably was an amazing actress and comedian before going criminally insane.
Hey everyone: we cannot let the system vote for us. We must vote. We must get 10 like minded people to vote too. Make a call to your friends, family and others and help them get to the polls. Let’s make the win “to big to rig” and Vote Nick!